Realized P&L
+$231
Unrealized P&L
-$126
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
101
Trades
259
lifetime
Volume
$2.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$123
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 10-15 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
40% 67% +$206
Other
33% 41% +$16
Crypto
14% 40% -$107
Sports
11% 30% +$112
Tech
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $48 44¢ $43 -$4 05-08 16:11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +700 $9 2¢ $14 +$5 04-28 14:20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $6 3¢ $9 +$3 04-28 15:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $56 8¢ $8 -$48 04-28 16:29
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +900 $9 1¢ $7 -$2 04-28 14:34
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $6 5¢ $5 -$1 05-05 20:24
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +30 $6 14¢ $4 -$2 04-28 22:08
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 $0 05-09 10:38
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +700 $10 1¢ $4 -$6 04-28 14:19
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +600 $9 1¢ $4 -$5 04-28 14:30
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $8 0¢ $4 -$4 04-28 14:37
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $9 0¢ $4 -$6 04-28 14:31
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +700 $8 0¢ $3 -$5 04-28 19:35
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +800 $9 0¢ $3 -$6 04-28 14:32
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,200 $8 0¢ $2 -$7 04-28 14:31
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,100 $9 0¢ $2 -$7 04-28 14:35
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +800 $6 0¢ $1 -$4 04-28 15:56
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +800 $10 0¢ $1 -$8 04-28 14:29
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 04-28 16:25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 04-28 14:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +200 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 05-06 17:06