Ambitious-Landscape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$42.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 50% +$2

Crypto

33% 100% +$0

Politics

32% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	27	$4.7K	2,375	2,375	+0	open	—	01-15 12:51
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	10	$2.2K	1,123	1,123	+0	open	—	02-16 07:38
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	6	$1.9K	975	975	+0	open	—	01-03 06:53
Netanyahu out by May 31?	3	$1.8K	1,822	622	+1,200	open	—	05-04 02:31
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	7	$1.6K	810	810	+0	open	—	02-03 22:53
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.6K	802	802	+0	open	—	01-11 03:27
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$1.6K	799	799	+0	open	—	03-08 02:36
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	6	$1.6K	799	799	+0	open	—	01-10 03:12
trump out as president by march 31	5	$1.5K	792	792	+0	open	—	02-19 14:07
idOS FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$1.5K	755	700	+55	open	—	03-07 04:59
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-07 14:41
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$805	410	410	+0	open	—	01-22 15:04
will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	1	$798	799	0	+799	open	—	03-08 02:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$795	412	412	+0	open	—	02-17 13:38
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	3	$792	400	400	+0	open	—	01-12 08:22
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$792	396	396	+0	open	—	01-02 00:26
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$784	393	393	+0	open	—	02-19 02:09
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$783	393	393	+0	open	—	02-21 02:55
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$779	390	390	+0	open	—	02-09 11:36
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$779	405	405	+0	open	—	02-05 03:44
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$779	390	390	+0	open	—	02-10 02:01
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	3	$748	375	375	+0	open	—	01-07 13:02
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$743	743	0	+743	open	—	03-07 05:04
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	2	$707	354	354	+0	open	—	02-27 03:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$618	313	313	+0	open	—	04-17 03:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$588	298	298	+0	open	—	03-07 14:43
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$522	273	250	+23	open	—	01-04 03:39
will trump say mistake during 2pm signing	2	$499	250	250	+0	open	—	02-04 03:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$492	253	253	+0	open	—	04-08 02:20
Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$477	239	239	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:58:37	will wti dip to 45 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe68f4c…
06-29 14:19:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x72290b…
06-23 12:40:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x98315a…
06-22 14:25:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xcd852a…
06-18 14:43:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x8b651d…
06-14 12:21:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc05024…
06-11 14:32:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0xdb2678…
06-10 08:25:58	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0cf981…
06-10 08:25:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7bd364…
06-10 08:23:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xe40923…
05-30 05:51:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xdd927b…
05-30 05:24:55	Will Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4855c5…
05-25 12:08:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x543236…
05-25 12:08:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6ee2a…
05-22 11:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xb187c9…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$214	0xf8ecc8…
05-16 03:26:42	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfcbfd4…
05-16 03:26:14	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb56cae…
05-05 03:38:30	Will Chappell Roan attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xf28131…
05-05 02:33:54	Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x860756…
05-05 02:14:32	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3e043a…
05-05 02:13:42	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x022be9…
05-05 02:13:28	Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd3ae8a…
05-05 02:13:16	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x40d076…
05-05 02:13:08	Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x63fa5e…
05-05 02:11:56	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x851708…
05-05 02:11:40	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x27427c…
05-05 02:10:24	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x22971e…
05-05 02:10:04	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x022aef…
05-05 02:09:46	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9e7314…
05-05 02:09:42	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x6349d0…
05-05 02:08:24	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	209	99¢	$208	0x3e2735…
05-05 02:01:54	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x05861f…
05-05 02:00:56	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe997d1…
05-05 02:00:44	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8b3b2f…
05-05 01:58:50	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x642cc1…
05-05 01:58:36	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe12c54…
05-05 01:56:54	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbbda8b…
05-05 01:54:46	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa78318…
05-05 01:43:20	Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf3f1e9…
05-05 01:35:38	Will Chappell Roan attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xaf4cce…
05-05 01:31:44	Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x53557b…
05-04 02:31:56	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	622	98¢	$609	0x3d9168…
05-04 02:16:40	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0xebcef9…
05-02 20:09:02	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	1,222	98¢	$1,193	0x87b644…
04-27 12:15:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0xa81a3a…
04-25 05:03:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0x51c4a9…
04-20 13:42:50	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0xa1accb…
04-20 03:14:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x7cea1b…
04-18 03:53:32	will trump say no no no during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x81f80c…
04-17 03:54:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x16db51…
04-15 04:18:02	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x908dcf…
04-13 13:53:01	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0xfe0ac2…
04-12 15:10:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0xc901c4…
04-11 02:06:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb506d8…
04-10 14:59:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x488bdd…
04-10 02:38:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x418be6…
04-10 02:38:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x5e4090…
04-09 01:40:11	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x859f61…
04-09 00:31:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x356831…
04-08 12:13:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0xcd85ee…
04-08 02:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x8baff2…
04-07 13:29:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x5b4475…
04-06 10:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0x2bbe03…
04-05 15:18:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc17cf1…
04-05 14:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xfad2b1…
03-29 05:35:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x15e7d7…
03-28 12:57:31	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x56316b…
03-28 12:57:03	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8132f6…
03-28 07:31:51	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x0752ce…
03-27 13:13:29	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in march 993	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbb284e…
03-27 13:12:51	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x228a40…
03-27 13:11:53	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x3c42d6…
03-27 13:11:21	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7984c6…
03-27 13:10:59	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8f3864…
03-25 05:54:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb63a95…
03-25 05:53:47	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4563f…
03-25 05:53:35	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x48b178…
03-25 05:52:39	will melania say career during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf626be…
03-25 05:52:07	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x35bef7…
03-25 05:51:31	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf77f0c…
03-23 13:15:15	will trump say finish the job this week march 22	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xc57b04…
03-23 13:14:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x552daa…
03-22 03:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x22f638…
03-22 03:15:25	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaea3ba…
03-22 03:08:53	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd09c55…
03-22 03:08:09	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 21	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5cb300…
03-14 16:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x91b07a…
03-14 16:51:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x0edcf7…
03-14 16:48:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x7adff3…
03-12 12:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb802f3…
03-12 12:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x79d936…
03-12 12:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x6e6c14…
03-12 12:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$14	0x4d6e5d…
03-10 16:46:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x31ea2d…
03-10 13:40:13	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x299e0d…
03-10 10:37:05	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x8da778…
03-08 04:54:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xf823de…
03-08 02:37:27	will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	No	BUY	799	100¢	$798	0x9d1cec…
03-08 02:36:13	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	799	100¢	$797	0xfee5ee…