Clumsy-Bottom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$268

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,492

lifetime

Volume

$190.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$663

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

46% 80% +$236

Politics

41% 100% +$15

Sports

7% 100% +$18

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+700	$653	95¢	$663	+$10	06-27 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	17	$15.0K	15,200	0	+15,200	open	—	01-28 14:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	52	$14.9K	14,600	1,500	+13,100	open	—	01-31 16:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	37	$14.9K	7,776	7,576	+200	open	—	03-10 18:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	28	$12.0K	7,700	7,700	+0	open	—	02-28 15:45
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	61	$11.2K	5,981	5,981	+0	open	—	02-01 13:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$7.4K	5,600	2,100	+3,500	open	—	02-02 22:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$5.3K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	01-31 13:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.5K	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	06-03 21:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-26 19:43
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	26	$3.9K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-15 17:32
ucl olm1 liv1 2026 01 21 liv1	16	$3.6K	3,656	0	+3,656	open	—	01-21 21:47
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	02-03 19:15
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-08 17:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	19	$2.9K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-21 20:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-31 02:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-29 00:29
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	41	$2.1K	2,200	200	+2,000	Yes	+$264	03-08 19:03
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	26	$2.0K	1,635	988	+648	open	—	03-22 17:50
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$1.9K	900	1,300	-400	open	—	03-17 09:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$1.8K	1,800	100	+1,700	open	—	02-22 15:36
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	36	$1.8K	1,093	1,980	-887	open	—	04-23 00:08
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	14	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	02-26 12:45
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	5	$1.7K	1,746	0	+1,746	open	—	01-10 15:44
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$1.4K	701	701	+0	open	—	06-21 17:12
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	12	$1.3K	750	750	+0	open	—	02-28 11:36
lol t1 dk 2026 01 31	7	$1.2K	616	616	+0	open	—	01-31 10:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-18 06:46
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	15	$1.1K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-17 08:27
lol kc vit 2026 03 28	35	$1.1K	858	858	+0	open	—	03-28 18:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-02 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 21:56:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xd4e834…
07-02 19:50:04	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x5e7b8f…
07-01 19:34:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0xdbc0e4…
07-01 17:51:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x10f757…
07-01 17:39:43	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	England	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3359e7…
07-01 17:39:31	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	England	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2517e6…
07-01 16:27:31	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x06cb65…
07-01 16:03:53	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x10f077…
06-30 23:23:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xeb88c0…
06-30 23:08:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xb7cff6…
06-30 20:57:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x7fe774…
06-30 20:39:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x566e0e…
06-30 20:30:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x85e9d9…
06-30 20:09:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8b300d…
06-30 19:56:25	atp navone cobolli 2026 06 29	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x055156…
06-30 17:08:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd57abc…
06-29 23:27:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x4de113…
06-29 23:26:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xbc013d…
06-29 23:24:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1071df…
06-29 23:24:07	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x662ae1…
06-29 23:06:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xcee150…
06-29 23:06:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xf4dfd9…
06-29 22:46:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x5eee71…
06-29 21:33:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0xf672c4…
06-29 20:11:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xb81c2c…
06-29 20:10:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8aa64d…
06-29 18:54:43	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1da9bf…
06-29 18:44:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xdbb31a…
06-29 18:37:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x37e781…
06-29 18:17:55	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6407b7…
06-29 17:08:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xe8bc3b…
06-28 20:42:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16dd0c…
06-28 20:42:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7da21a…
06-28 20:42:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59d42c…
06-28 20:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf28134…
06-28 20:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2604e…
06-28 20:35:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xdbcfa9…
06-27 16:48:52	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xd892e8…
06-27 08:37:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x6cd4ea…
06-27 01:14:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$280	0x1757c0…
06-26 17:40:20	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x41ac3b…
06-26 02:55:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	610	100¢	$609	0x470fd5…
06-26 01:17:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x02ddbf…
06-25 20:27:47	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Ecuador	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xe41519…
06-25 19:05:59	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x88767b…
06-25 19:03:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbd58f8…
06-25 17:52:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$467	0xdff1d3…
06-25 10:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xf29ead…
06-24 20:57:52	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5b662c…
06-24 20:57:16	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2254e4…
06-24 20:24:17	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbea897…
06-24 18:47:17	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf2dc9e…
06-24 01:28:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x92bb2f…
06-23 20:47:41	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Ghana	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x448b31…
06-23 19:58:52	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Ghana	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xfb3eb6…
06-23 19:57:10	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Ghana	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x761a2b…
06-23 19:03:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	458	100¢	$457	0x452126…
06-23 19:02:59	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	360	100¢	$360	0x65aba6…
06-23 19:02:47	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x3a17e0…
06-23 18:57:50	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x244317…
06-23 18:57:31	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x5f8fa1…
06-23 18:56:19	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0x079e81…
06-23 18:52:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8e51b2…
06-23 18:50:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x584f5a…
06-23 18:48:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xed4591…
06-23 18:47:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x40cc3d…
06-23 18:46:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x31b44c…
06-23 18:40:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x7907cc…
06-23 18:24:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb31279…
06-23 18:21:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xbb715c…
06-23 18:21:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x628c3d…
06-23 17:28:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7ba5e5…
06-23 17:28:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x0f54f8…
06-23 17:28:05	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x634111…
06-23 17:27:25	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x06623f…
06-23 05:47:44	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	73	73¢	$53	0x0dbd80…
06-23 05:21:23	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x52577b…
06-23 05:21:22	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0x008f3b…
06-23 05:15:26	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	162	73¢	$119	0xf4639c…
06-23 04:30:38	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x379ce4…
06-23 04:24:59	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x699761…
06-23 04:24:41	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x7ded12…
06-23 04:15:46	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x52ccf4…
06-23 04:15:25	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x98bd2d…
06-23 04:09:59	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x87bbb5…
06-23 04:09:41	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf10b9f…
06-23 04:09:23	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x463461…
06-23 03:58:19	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xbee3f7…
06-23 03:49:17	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	209	41¢	$85	0x239591…
06-22 20:57:34	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x439824…
06-22 18:40:44	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xcd5f45…
06-22 18:40:44	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x09cf9c…
06-22 17:38:38	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9dbfac…
06-22 14:32:20	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x34e8da…
06-21 22:56:02	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8ac0a3…
06-21 22:55:23	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2df3fc…
06-21 20:56:47	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa76d0b…
06-21 20:44:31	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xfd2fa7…
06-21 20:43:59	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x8b5ca1…
06-21 20:22:14	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa302ca…