Cautious-Paint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,453

Trades

2,664

lifetime

Volume

$118.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$49

Sports

15% 100% +$18

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-27 17:22
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 10:41
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	7	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	04-25 02:48
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$100	50	50	+0	Krueger	+$0	03-03 15:42
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:01
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	12	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-10 22:21
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	10	$100	50	50	+0	Under	+$0	04-25 02:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x011b38…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb0b3b5…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1f199…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x882142…
10-25 16:03:56	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a0761…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe5fc4e…
10-25 04:37:36	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1c9944…
10-24 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea3baa…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9d434e…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x468432…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4b3de…
10-23 19:56:17	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3f1329…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe5f466…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4eb5b2…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc59d6…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd147b4…
10-22 20:24:05	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf746e4…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf0c00…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x372263…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc07235…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2a9ee…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8da38…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbf032b…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059e18…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x17f11c…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x639b5f…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5827b…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaa4cf4…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa312fe…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd58a5a…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0bd019…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x559aec…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71d206…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc86a2b…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcbf5ec…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x94c596…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2fc6e8…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a798e…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6fd5e9…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3834c0…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x15a9f8…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d2d48…
10-13 16:29:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec04f1…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x370a97…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef0c67…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40559c…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xefeb42…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0dd170…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x516073…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbb9c19…
10-11 10:26:15	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x203ecd…
10-11 05:33:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x673e1a…
10-11 05:33:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c0ca6…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b5c67…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x240579…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x190810…
10-10 11:09:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb7e2d0…
10-09 14:48:54	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f4ec1…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c2e43…
10-08 05:28:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdea6cb…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x88ede0…
10-07 14:01:44	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x70cd0f…
10-07 13:04:47	Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski	Philip Henning	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5c10d2…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xaf15b3…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3944dd…
10-06 20:44:39	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x574e10…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa99c6c…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8e0d33…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8e59f0…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x779868…
10-05 06:24:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xae59c9…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0bd25c…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcf4a4a…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3b6d2e…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42bcc7…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x858f59…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd0d383…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd87958…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x18eaf5…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa845b1…
10-02 14:15:24	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0555ad…
10-02 14:12:35	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x971205…
10-02 13:03:29	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1767a5…
10-02 06:25:15	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe235cf…
10-01 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b80d…
10-01 22:24:59	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x62ba2e…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f1aae…
10-01 21:02:27	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7c217b…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x301679…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x171be7…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2324b0…
10-01 17:38:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb0e629…
10-01 17:28:57	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x14b79c…
10-01 14:34:00	cs2 maybe ep 2026 10 01	maybe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2faaa6…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40663c…
10-01 11:30:50	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda26ef…
10-01 11:30:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc07adf…
10-01 11:30:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x378db4…
10-01 09:00:11	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1fd4c4…