Realized P&L
-$88
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
16.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$205
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$30
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-23 14:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
90% 50% $-94
Other
8% 100% +$6
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +38 $10 17¢ $7 $-3 07-04 10:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +15 $2 30¢ $5 +$3 07-04 10:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 07-01 03:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +19 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 07-01 03:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 36¢ $4 $-1 07-01 03:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +30 $5 11¢ $3 $-2 07-01 03:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 23¢ $2 $-0 07-01 03:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-23 14:14