Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

16.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$182

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$20

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-01 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

93% 50% $-94

Other

7% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$5	22¢	$5	+$0	07-01 03:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$5	40¢	$4	$-0	07-01 03:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+19	$5	22¢	$4	$-1	07-01 03:31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	+30	$5	12¢	$4	$-1	07-01 03:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+8	$2	24¢	$2	$-0	07-01 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:55:35	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x29e74d…
07-01 03:54:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbe48ce…
07-01 03:48:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x3d0126…
07-01 03:35:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2d3a6e…
07-01 03:34:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb420cd…
07-01 03:31:50	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2e3ee4…
07-01 03:27:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59b843…
07-01 03:22:53	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6f30ae…
04-13 15:25:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0xb7d429…
04-10 19:40:53	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x9e0235…
04-10 19:33:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7bb4a9…
04-10 19:32:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe3cc45…
04-10 19:30:31	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xac6688…
04-05 11:21:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8ac4ca…
04-05 11:11:11	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9aefb3…
04-05 10:50:51	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52950b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$118	130	0	+130	Yes	$-118	04-13 15:25
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$12	18	2	+16	Yes	+$6	04-10 19:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$11	35	0	+35	Yes	+$24	04-10 19:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 19:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 03:27
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-01 03:54
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-01 03:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	07-01 03:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	07-01 03:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	07-01 03:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	07-01 03:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	07-01 03:34