Complex-Nursing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-10 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

29% 100% +$14

Tech

9% — —

Sports

5% 33% $-1,038

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$3.2K	1,934	1,601	+333	open	—	03-11 08:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	14	$2.3K	1,238	1,238	+0	open	—	02-19 19:45
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	02-01 04:34
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	17	$1.3K	709	709	+0	open	—	02-26 07:19
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	12	$1.1K	652	652	+0	open	—	02-26 07:15
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	2	$1.1K	578	578	+0	open	—	02-28 16:08
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	open	—	02-28 07:23
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$995	696	696	+0	open	—	02-21 02:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$919	510	510	+0	open	—	02-28 07:52
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$723	497	497	+0	open	—	03-08 01:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$710	411	411	+0	open	—	04-30 12:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$691	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 03:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$689	390	390	+0	open	—	04-22 21:05
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	5	$659	843	0	+843	Sean Strickland	$-659	05-10 04:26
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$600	312	312	+0	open	—	03-03 03:58
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$512	349	349	+0	open	—	02-20 18:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$501	328	328	+0	open	—	05-09 03:18
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$500	544	0	+544	open	—	02-01 04:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$466	267	267	+0	open	—	02-28 06:53
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$461	280	280	+0	open	—	02-28 06:38
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$425	958	0	+958	Joshua Van	$-425	05-10 03:32
will uk strike iran by march 31	3	$412	215	215	+0	open	—	03-28 23:18
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$411	212	212	+0	open	—	03-28 23:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$407	215	215	+0	open	—	05-05 21:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$405	220	220	+0	open	—	03-08 01:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$324	169	169	+0	open	—	04-30 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$304	205	205	+0	open	—	05-09 03:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$300	375	0	+375	open	—	04-17 02:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$300	185	185	+0	open	—	04-02 01:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$266	166	166	+0	open	—	04-30 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:26:15	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x547f3b…
05-10 04:21:00	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xa4e6dd…
05-10 03:59:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xae9f91…
05-10 03:48:13	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0x4dc3a6…
05-10 03:47:55	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x7f0c6f…
05-10 03:47:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	400	94¢	$376	0x65715a…
05-10 03:32:10	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xe154a1…
05-10 03:31:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	111	95¢	$106	0x48ca6f…
05-09 03:23:54	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	107	57¢	$61	0xa27a5f…
05-09 03:23:00	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	542	60¢	$325	0x4a1ea0…
05-09 03:22:47	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	152	82¢	$125	0xcfbe01…
05-09 03:18:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	205	68¢	$139	0xc5f43d…
05-09 03:18:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	328	75¢	$246	0xb6537c…
05-09 03:18:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	209	44¢	$92	0xc87bf1…
05-07 20:17:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1c1a90…
05-07 20:17:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd5d984…
05-07 20:16:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xca2c27…
05-07 20:16:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	467	7¢	$30	0xaba204…
05-05 21:15:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	467	45¢	$208	0x8c61d8…
05-05 21:14:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	215	96¢	$207	0x64dda2…
05-01 00:31:50	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2446c8…
04-30 20:23:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x33cf9e…
04-30 20:23:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x1353f4…
04-30 12:36:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9dd5f9…
04-30 12:36:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xf1ed63…
04-30 12:35:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0xef4de9…
04-30 12:35:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xb508e3…
04-30 12:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xfb12fe…
04-30 12:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xa75880…
04-30 12:33:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0x82c0a4…
04-30 12:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	411	100¢	$410	0xf96d06…
04-30 12:32:58	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x088359…
04-30 12:32:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xdaed9a…
04-30 12:32:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$47	0xf960b5…
04-30 12:32:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xd80d98…
04-30 12:24:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5910c2…
04-30 11:26:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	98¢	$143	0xbd4191…
04-30 11:26:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x1cd69d…
04-30 11:26:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7496a2…
04-27 04:34:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	75¢	$112	0x13b9e0…
04-27 04:34:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	91	43¢	$39	0xa73959…
04-26 20:57:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0xc99540…
04-23 23:34:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	284	76¢	$216	0x2f4990…
04-22 21:05:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	390	100¢	$389	0xd52584…
04-22 04:44:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	136	93¢	$126	0x74201f…
04-17 02:48:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xac59e7…
04-17 02:48:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x846d73…
04-17 02:48:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x46a663…
04-17 02:47:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xbd239d…
04-17 02:47:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7a876b…
04-17 02:47:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xc486fd…
04-17 02:46:54	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0xf99dc4…
04-17 02:46:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x267564…
04-17 02:45:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xdae348…
04-16 00:55:44	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xf9247d…
04-16 00:31:48	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	189	37¢	$70	0xcb451e…
04-15 19:10:36	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0x33a30c…
04-15 19:10:20	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xda25cd…
04-13 19:24:39	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	189	23¢	$43	0xdac1a1…
04-13 19:24:21	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xfe6a2b…
04-13 19:24:15	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xe35fd2…
04-09 05:30:17	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	226	56¢	$126	0x670c47…
04-07 05:13:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	226	25¢	$56	0x850a66…
04-07 05:12:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xb60efd…
04-03 23:38:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xff068c…
04-02 01:14:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	185	81¢	$150	0xe68ea6…
03-31 14:19:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0x3052de…
03-31 14:18:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xa8c39d…
03-31 14:17:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0x447215…
03-29 22:14:18	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	132	22¢	$29	0xdc097c…
03-29 21:07:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x32b46b…
03-28 23:42:20	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d0e9b…
03-28 23:41:34	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8d742b…
03-28 23:18:48	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x71b884…
03-28 23:18:38	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	212	99¢	$211	0x790249…
03-28 23:18:34	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	215	99¢	$212	0x54ede5…
03-15 18:02:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	241	87¢	$210	0x35c7d9…
03-15 17:46:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4bdb4f…
03-15 17:46:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf1bfb6…
03-11 09:21:25	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x402a53…
03-11 09:17:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x3d9d8c…
03-11 09:16:11	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x21100c…
03-11 09:16:05	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x07c968…
03-11 09:14:35	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd3b2e1…
03-11 09:12:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x4327be…
03-11 09:11:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xb28cf4…
03-11 09:10:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x6b2f43…
03-11 09:06:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd58b14…
03-11 08:54:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x3ddd31…
03-11 08:53:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,601	100¢	$1,596	0x30f52d…
03-08 17:50:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	511	97¢	$496	0xb6bde4…
03-08 17:49:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x2563b2…
03-08 17:48:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x9f4fa0…
03-08 15:46:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0x133e87…
03-08 01:33:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	166	97¢	$161	0x4ecc05…
03-08 01:33:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	446	97¢	$434	0x3f87f2…
03-08 01:29:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x3e8e0e…
03-08 01:29:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc792aa…
03-08 01:22:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0x0c6ae1…
03-08 01:14:21	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc8334b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	86	$300.7K	25,489	05-04 12:29
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	82	$23.0M	37,259	06-02 17:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	79	$975.9K	16,498	06-01 06:21
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	75	$9.39K	2,548	05-14 01:17
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	63	$92.0K	9,334	03-28 10:26
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	62	$124.0K	870	05-30 20:33
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	58	$36.0K	7,580	05-06 11:14
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	57	$30.0K	10,644	04-16 16:19