Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

+$31

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$4.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$324

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-27 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 35% -$171

Politics

14% 30% -$37

Other

6% 15% -$85

Sports

4% 33% +$121

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,954	$277	16¢	$311	+$33	10-27 09:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-493	-$9	2¢	$-10	-$1	10-27 12:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-138	-$1	2¢	$-3	-$2	10-27 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$736	589	589	+0	Down	+$300	10-27 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$417	266	266	+0	Up	+$93	10-27 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$368	228	228	+0	Down	+$89	10-27 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$299	192	192	+0	Down	+$23	10-27 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$288	195	195	+0	Up	+$98	10-27 09:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$277	1,954	0	+1,954	open	—	10-27 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$232	136	136	+0	Down	+$37	10-27 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$220	723	173	+550	Down	+$0	10-27 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$207	714	0	+714	Up	-$207	10-27 12:25
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	02-09 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$189	332	0	+332	Up	-$189	10-27 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$163	857	0	+857	Up	-$163	10-27 10:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$118	289	0	+289	Yes	+$171	07-15 21:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$101	62	62	+0	Yes	+$21	04-21 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$78	500	0	+500	Up	-$78	10-27 11:23
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$73	1,087	1,087	+0	No	+$23	03-01 00:08
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$67	61	61	+0	No	+$27	03-19 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$64	51	51	+0	Up	+$37	10-27 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$59	76	0	+76	Down	-$59	10-27 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$53	97	0	+97	Up	-$53	10-27 10:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$40	190	0	+190	Up	-$40	10-27 12:11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	588	0	+588	No	-$40	06-23 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$39	51	31	+19	Down	+$7	10-27 11:49
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$35	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$35	02-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$35	102	0	+102	Down	+$68	10-27 11:05
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$30	105	0	+105	No	-$30	03-03 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	10-27 09:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 09:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$26	44	0	+44	Yes	+$18	03-04 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:35:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	2¢	$9	0x721010…
10-27 12:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	332	57¢	$189	0x3d4140…
10-27 12:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	714	29¢	$207	0x9e89ea…
10-27 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4b5bed…
10-27 12:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd4ec1a…
10-27 12:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x586c29…
10-27 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd817c4…
10-27 12:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xe076d8…
10-27 12:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x426b65…
10-27 12:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3cf553…
10-27 12:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	173	64¢	$110	0xf3f46e…
10-27 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x702dac…
10-27 11:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7f61c3…
10-27 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x9b62d8…
10-27 11:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe6a69c…
10-27 11:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5d574e…
10-27 11:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x778295…
10-27 11:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	72¢	$23	0xa02ad8…
10-27 11:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xdfce8c…
10-27 11:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xccad1f…
10-27 11:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	589	88¢	$518	0x3b3755…
10-27 11:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	525	37¢	$194	0xe6d1c0…
10-27 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0xad8eb9…
10-27 11:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	64	37¢	$24	0x740f83…
10-27 11:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	136	72¢	$98	0xa7bb0c…
10-27 11:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x2f5a08…
10-27 11:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x599070…
10-27 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x120b68…
10-27 11:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5ca63e…
10-27 11:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	333	22¢	$73	0x4de835…
10-27 11:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	102	34¢	$35	0x7bf393…
10-27 10:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x43a97d…
10-27 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	228	61¢	$139	0xdcace1…
10-27 10:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	274	3¢	$8	0x8ae4cd…
10-27 10:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	857	19¢	$163	0xfe351a…
10-27 10:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x65d198…
10-27 10:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb90497…
10-27 10:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1f32db…
10-27 10:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xd53cbf…
10-27 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb53c9f…
10-27 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	702	0¢	$1	0xd6bfd7…
10-27 10:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x8673b9…
10-27 10:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	266	96¢	$255	0x4215d5…
10-27 10:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	266	61¢	$162	0x30539f…
10-27 10:02:42	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$1	0x7e1e0b…
10-27 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	76	77¢	$59	0x5f4f7e…
10-27 09:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x6806c6…
10-27 09:46:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x5de9fd…
10-27 09:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x44abf8…
10-27 09:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	195	99¢	$193	0x17de10…
10-27 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	163	46¢	$75	0x68b6b7…
10-27 09:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2ced13…
10-27 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x17c514…
10-27 09:31:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe0b73e…
10-27 09:30:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xa7f335…
10-27 09:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x5a1e38…
10-27 09:27:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa19329…
10-27 09:27:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xb14afd…
10-27 09:26:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x16cc1e…
10-27 09:24:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf8db72…
10-27 09:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	71¢	$7	0x66ced9…
10-27 09:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbca68a…
10-27 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xc3856b…
10-27 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0xd46f5d…
10-27 09:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,265	1¢	$13	0x8536c4…
10-27 09:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	192	84¢	$161	0x652b81…
10-27 09:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	192	72¢	$138	0x9d4854…
10-27 09:06:15	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,954	14¢	$277	0x4f19ae…
07-19 18:38:37	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	211	4¢	$8	0xef1f3b…
07-19 18:38:18	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xe4aec7…
07-19 18:37:45	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x7bef94…
07-19 18:36:49	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x538117…
07-15 21:15:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x8317e2…
07-15 21:15:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xb33908…
07-10 10:51:53	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x732d40…
07-10 10:51:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xb0a438…
06-23 10:11:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x639a02…
06-23 10:10:47	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xd6840c…
06-23 10:10:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	588	7¢	$40	0xd9d2a4…
04-22 21:19:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	127	1¢	$2	0x96f12a…
04-21 18:59:50	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x5a3274…
04-21 18:57:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x231c24…
03-27 05:03:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	166	9¢	$15	0x7334ab…
03-27 05:01:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb01f60…
03-19 10:18:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	61	78¢	$47	0x8240dc…
03-17 18:26:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x22e015…
03-11 09:48:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xc24a4d…
03-09 09:02:23	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x82f3f9…
03-09 08:59:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	465	1¢	$5	0x4d5005…
03-08 22:34:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xd130f3…
03-05 20:59:17	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xe16e25…
03-05 20:57:25	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	275	2¢	$5	0x2a97b7…
03-04 14:12:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0xe45023…
03-03 10:27:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0x8f5c6e…
03-02 22:59:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x047573…
03-02 22:58:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xba38c9…
03-01 00:24:31	will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	714	3¢	$20	0x3e0ae4…
03-01 00:23:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc4c774…
03-01 00:08:05	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	SELL	1,087	4¢	$48	0x032b70…
02-28 23:29:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9b51dc…