Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,981

lifetime

Volume

$603.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$305

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-01 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

95% 22% -$51,233

Other

5% 7% -$5,770

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	312	$108.0K	232,209	222,237	+9,971	Yes	-$5,570	04-24 17:46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	155	$81.6K	69,392	72,150	-2,758	Yes	-$7,672	04-19 20:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	210	$79.9K	170,293	169,004	+1,288	Yes	-$4,696	04-24 04:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	130	$68.1K	203,851	59,318	+144,532	Yes	-$7,595	04-24 21:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	111	$56.2K	404,036	185,040	+218,996	Yes	-$5,908	04-24 21:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	39	$23.6K	24,086	19,549	+4,537	No	-$3,427	04-19 19:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	86	$20.8K	89,534	80,749	+8,785	Yes	-$2,418	04-21 01:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$15.0K	13,270	13,270	+0	Yes	-$135	04-02 01:15
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	32	$15.0K	77,095	77,095	+0	No	-$7,118	04-20 19:23
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	33	$13.4K	22,714	22,714	+0	Yes	+$397	04-19 12:19
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	33	$13.1K	19,859	19,859	+0	No	-$3,566	04-07 20:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	27	$12.2K	6,930	6,930	+0	No	-$96	03-31 12:21
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	21	$8.5K	10,506	10,506	+0	No	-$1,231	04-26 11:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	43	$7.5K	26,140	3,224	+22,916	No	-$2,478	05-01 02:00
Iran leadership change by May 31?	22	$4.2K	13,952	13,952	+0	No	-$246	05-01 01:42
Iran leadership change by June 30?	14	$4.1K	4,583	14,674	-10,091	No	+$2,010	05-01 01:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	7	$4.1K	2,904	2,904	+0	No	-$717	04-19 19:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	41	$4.1K	910,704	1,196,535	-285,830	No	-$100	05-01 00:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$3.6K	5,434	5,434	-0	open	—	05-01 01:12
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$3.4K	3,490	3,490	+0	No	-$530	03-21 00:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$3.3K	2,014	2,014	+0	No	-$55	04-19 19:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	13	$3.3K	2,427	2,426	+0	No	-$58	04-23 05:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	5	$3.3K	2,097	2,097	+0	No	+$689	04-26 00:25
Iran leadership change by April 30?	26	$3.0K	69,260	64,734	+4,527	No	-$2,055	05-01 01:58
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$2.8K	2,207	2,207	+0	Yes	+$12	03-18 23:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	8	$2.3K	2,576	2,576	+0	No	-$399	04-24 16:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	47	$2.1K	1,099,030	1,025,205	+73,825	Yes	-$74	04-20 20:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$1.9K	1,478	1,478	+0	No	-$55	04-19 12:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	5	$1.8K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$450	04-26 00:26
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.8K	994	994	+0	Yes	-$6	04-07 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 02:00:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x63dab3…
05-01 02:00:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	435	9¢	$40	0x0685d3…
05-01 01:59:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x155453…
05-01 01:59:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x17ca99…
05-01 01:59:48	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,266	0¢	$2	0xa97efa…
05-01 01:59:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x3db976…
05-01 01:59:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0x0885c8…
05-01 01:58:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x090981…
05-01 01:58:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,137	10¢	$110	0xb392be…
05-01 01:58:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xb39bf8…
05-01 01:58:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	222	8¢	$18	0xb24d10…
05-01 01:58:16	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13,580	0¢	$14	0xf9b3fb…
05-01 01:57:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	262	20¢	$52	0xcc5e3f…
05-01 01:57:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	286	3¢	$10	0x528831…
05-01 01:57:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0xe84ad2…
05-01 01:56:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	3,564	10¢	$365	0x99b429…
05-01 01:55:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	86	80¢	$69	0x697fee…
05-01 01:55:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	167	59¢	$98	0xa0c7c5…
05-01 01:55:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	139	71¢	$99	0xc5c7a2…
05-01 01:55:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	385	26¢	$99	0x5aa39e…
05-01 01:47:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc908e1…
05-01 01:47:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xb96c27…
05-01 01:46:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7,877	9¢	$700	0xa47844…
05-01 01:43:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	262	20¢	$52	0xe2568c…
05-01 01:42:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	130	76¢	$99	0x887c07…
05-01 01:42:38	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,356	20¢	$271	0xd4bdbb…
05-01 01:42:32	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,072	14¢	$290	0xb652ad…
05-01 01:32:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	113	16¢	$18	0x1b5a6c…
05-01 01:32:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	6,161	15¢	$900	0x1dc540…
05-01 01:30:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	255	10¢	$24	0x947d80…
05-01 01:30:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$14	0x6678cf…
05-01 01:29:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	795	10¢	$76	0x50ffae…
05-01 01:28:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	896	11¢	$100	0x799611…
05-01 01:26:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xa4b490…
05-01 01:26:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x90a67d…
05-01 01:24:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	716	14¢	$100	0x461583…
05-01 01:24:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	523	89¢	$466	0xfecb58…
05-01 01:22:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	174	89¢	$156	0x85d488…
05-01 01:21:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	697	90¢	$629	0x1ce4cf…
05-01 01:16:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xb37fb5…
05-01 01:15:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x4704e6…
05-01 01:13:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x28a74d…
05-01 01:13:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	799	88¢	$700	0xdea4bb…
05-01 01:12:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,359	33¢	$448	0x33e32e…
05-01 01:12:48	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,356	20¢	$271	0x285771…
05-01 01:12:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xe65db7…
05-01 01:08:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	533	94¢	$500	0x264269…
05-01 01:07:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe5452e…
05-01 01:07:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x60f341…
05-01 01:07:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x17cdd1…
05-01 01:07:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x773505…
05-01 01:06:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x832ed2…
05-01 01:05:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb7c325…
05-01 01:04:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xb90b40…
05-01 01:04:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x57c374…
05-01 01:04:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2846ac…
05-01 01:03:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x792c5e…
05-01 01:03:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x4c8b25…
05-01 01:02:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	524	21¢	$110	0x9270f5…
05-01 01:02:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0xc9c2a4…
05-01 01:02:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x370d9b…
05-01 00:30:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,359	33¢	$448	0x771f70…
05-01 00:30:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	42,719	0¢	$43	0x64ad87…
05-01 00:29:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	56,958	0¢	$57	0x285c35…
05-01 00:04:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$200	0xdce0e1…
05-01 00:02:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,717	33¢	$897	0xc8f114…
04-30 01:39:52	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,749	5¢	$90	0xde1409…
04-30 01:39:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	882	34¢	$300	0x082dac…
04-30 01:39:08	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,157	12¢	$259	0xb64675…
04-30 01:38:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,176	34¢	$400	0x4ec610…
04-30 01:37:46	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	517	2¢	$10	0xd62f77…
04-30 01:37:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,711	20¢	$542	0x5792f0…
04-30 00:36:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x1c7832…
04-30 00:35:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,364	33¢	$1,122	0x1f869e…
04-30 00:35:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,422	21¢	$1,127	0x76bbe5…
04-29 23:17:34	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	22¢	$28	0xf48bec…
04-29 23:16:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13,917	0¢	$28	0x93e5a4…
04-29 22:20:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	886	22¢	$195	0x0d1dad…
04-29 22:06:44	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	632	2¢	$10	0xaccb1c…
04-29 22:06:38	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	629	2¢	$10	0xa42787…
04-29 22:06:34	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	739	1¢	$10	0xc71776…
04-29 21:59:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	27,833	0¢	$56	0x8a39e2…
04-29 02:04:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	31,141	0¢	$62	0x6727d0…
04-29 02:02:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$20	0x1e0b04…
04-29 02:02:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,080	0¢	$4	0xfa0482…
04-29 02:01:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe8ffde…
04-29 02:00:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x264281…
04-29 01:59:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,990	0¢	$4	0x5317c8…
04-29 01:53:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,070	0¢	$2	0x564f18…
04-29 01:47:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xc99fe7…
04-29 01:40:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x56b763…
04-29 01:39:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0x404db7…
04-29 01:37:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xc6f1d8…
04-29 01:35:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	199	0¢	$0	0x9da845…
04-29 01:34:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	199	0¢	$0	0x6ef6bf…
04-29 01:34:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xda5979…
04-29 01:34:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	199	0¢	$0	0x356d7a…
04-29 01:34:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	199	0¢	$0	0x5644dc…
04-29 01:33:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x5cd26f…
04-29 01:33:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xc94cd2…