Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

Trades

546

lifetime

Volume

$7.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-03 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 67% $-45

Other

38% — —

Crypto

9% 0% $-26

Tech

6% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	7	$544	528	523	+5	open	—	02-23 05:00
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	4	$362	400	400	+0	open	—	03-05 05:54
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	6	$280	251	200	+51	open	—	03-03 14:05
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	10	$268	200	800	-600	open	—	02-19 07:54
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$244	180	180	+0	open	—	03-31 15:08
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	16	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 06:58
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	6	$224	200	150	+50	open	—	03-05 12:52
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	4	$223	400	400	+0	open	—	03-04 15:21
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	7	$218	145	145	+0	open	—	03-04 08:38
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$216	200	200	+0	open	—	03-24 12:03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$201	125	125	+0	open	—	02-11 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	19	$194	508	354	+154	open	—	03-14 18:30
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	20	$185	2,079	2,070	+10	open	—	02-20 04:23
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$167	200	200	+0	open	—	02-20 07:25
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	4	$149	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 00:16
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	6	$144	250	200	+50	open	—	04-01 15:48
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$136	118	118	+0	open	—	02-23 07:21
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$133	500	250	+250	open	—	03-03 07:44
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	3	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 11:47
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	7	$117	120	120	+0	open	—	03-22 03:21
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	11	$105	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 18:08
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	01-31 03:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 12c	89	$98	390	390	+0	open	—	03-21 12:45
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 08:01
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 15:20
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	03-11 11:54
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 13c	6	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 14:27
will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	3	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 13:14
will trump say winston or churchill during events with rutte	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 20:00
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	4	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 20:35:36	Will Trump say "Train" this week?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe5e838…
05-03 09:40:22	Will Trump say "Train" this week?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x5ef41d…
05-03 07:17:04	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xb6dda8…
05-03 07:16:34	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x6f34d0…
05-03 04:00:04	Will Trump say "Uncle" this week?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xac2b68…
05-02 10:33:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xb1d9aa…
04-25 08:38:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x5a8aed…
04-25 08:30:02	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c4e43…
04-25 08:30:02	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6460bd…
04-25 08:30:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x81692c…
04-25 08:30:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x35968a…
04-25 08:30:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x1efe7a…
04-25 08:27:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x59ae73…
04-24 00:05:48	highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xffa122…
04-23 18:34:50	highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xaad72c…
04-19 13:20:00	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	Yes	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x32ffe1…
04-18 19:29:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xf66723…
04-16 22:08:48	will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xd8a38b…
04-16 21:58:32	will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbbbe83…
04-16 21:57:56	will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x664d69…
04-16 21:14:22	will trump say russia during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x8026e9…
04-16 20:25:36	will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xb81cc4…
04-16 19:15:20	will trump say russia during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x9f9c9e…
04-16 19:15:20	will trump say russia during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x6b284a…
04-16 19:15:20	will trump say russia during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3310ca…
04-16 19:08:16	will trump say russia during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1039f1…
04-12 17:52:33	will trump say epic fury this week april 19	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x7ad55f…
04-12 13:46:51	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0xe3d39d…
04-12 08:32:29	will trump say epic fury this week april 19	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x478b63…
04-12 08:10:27	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xb12b53…
04-09 11:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x373f32…
04-08 20:00:35	will trump say winston or churchill during events with rutte	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xc882da…
04-08 19:38:17	will trump say kharg or island during events with rutte	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x5148a3…
04-08 18:09:49	will trump say out of nato or withdraw during events with rutte	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x040511…
04-08 18:06:17	will trump say out of nato or withdraw during events with rutte	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x6fa189…
04-08 14:49:41	will trump say out of nato or withdraw during events with rutte	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x0bd6ad…
04-08 14:49:31	will trump say out of nato or withdraw during events with rutte	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x73ed19…
04-08 10:36:59	will trump say winston or churchill during events with rutte	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x30bf98…
04-08 10:23:53	will trump say jd or vance during events with rutte	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xf25bd1…
04-08 10:23:13	will trump say nuclear 3 times during events with rutte	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb70ade…
04-06 14:57:49	will trump say weather or rain or raining during the white house easter egg roll	No	SELL	60	79¢	$47	0x4229d5…
04-05 14:10:23	will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	34	37¢	$13	0xff56ff…
04-05 12:13:39	will trump say weather or rain or raining during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xf35d0c…
04-05 10:42:29	will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc0b235…
04-05 09:39:29	will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x33bd04…
04-05 09:09:07	will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xa224cf…
04-05 05:20:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	167	9¢	$15	0x6b455c…
04-01 15:48:13	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xd29f56…
04-01 15:47:25	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x01ef94…
04-01 11:08:23	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf3466d…
03-31 15:08:21	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x6cdad1…
03-31 15:05:03	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x6c5073…
03-31 14:36:27	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x2da64c…
03-31 13:50:17	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$2	0x442ce6…
03-31 13:45:13	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x7259a0…
03-31 04:40:07	will trump say ufc this week april 5	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x54a388…
03-30 16:36:33	will trump say gay this week april 5	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5d201a…
03-30 15:14:19	will trump say gay this week april 5	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x20dd66…
03-30 14:03:13	will trump say epic fury this week april 5	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7a5e17…
03-30 14:02:39	will trump say epic fury this week april 5	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xdd6a3f…
03-30 14:02:03	will trump say congo this week april 5	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x7d8eed…
03-30 13:58:31	will trump say filibuster this week april 5	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfc054b…
03-30 13:47:43	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xf53765…
03-28 10:27:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x3fd41c…
03-28 04:27:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xdacc18…
03-28 04:18:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x937399…
03-27 14:47:39	will trump say epic fury during the fii priority summit	No	SELL	55	67¢	$37	0x91d01e…
03-27 12:29:49	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbec556…
03-27 12:12:33	will trump say epic fury during the fii priority summit	No	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x14665b…
03-26 15:32:09	will trump say hottest during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xa1aadb…
03-26 14:08:35	will trump say cuba during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x6dccda…
03-26 14:01:53	will trump say hottest during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xcb9829…
03-25 20:16:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x5ad887…
03-25 15:26:59	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6fb901…
03-25 14:47:27	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8a9e43…
03-25 14:46:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xed3b88…
03-25 14:46:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb25b80…
03-25 14:46:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	367	8¢	$29	0x260cf5…
03-25 14:07:01	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xc393fc…
03-24 14:06:17	will melania say son or barron during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0x62361e…
03-24 14:00:49	will melania say intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x51b12d…
03-24 13:51:01	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xfd1596…
03-24 13:48:37	will melania say son or barron during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0xe8b570…
03-24 13:37:15	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xdeac47…
03-24 13:14:47	will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x56c39b…
03-24 13:03:43	will melania say son or barron during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x9a7d8b…
03-24 12:57:03	will melania say son or barron during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdd80b8…
03-24 12:54:03	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x27272c…
03-24 12:38:53	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc5266e…
03-24 12:33:49	will melania say son or barron during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	16	67¢	$10	0x28d4fa…
03-24 12:17:05	will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x98fa24…
03-24 12:16:33	will melania say ai or artificial intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x27f561…
03-24 12:03:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	99	84¢	$83	0x426f81…
03-22 05:57:27	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x0bf2ed…
03-22 03:34:17	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x0dae10…
03-22 03:29:19	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xc37550…
03-22 03:27:57	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x304516…
03-22 03:27:15	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	74	28¢	$21	0xb5066d…
03-22 03:21:51	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x7991d7…
03-22 03:11:39	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xf79ff8…