Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

+$134

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

133

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$3.93K

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-26 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

71% 45% -$52

Other

28% 80% -$59

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+905	$875	99¢	$898	+$23	10-26 05:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+893	$500	66¢	$585	+$85	10-20 12:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+757	$500	73¢	$553	+$53	10-21 02:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+543	$500	96¢	$521	+$21	10-22 03:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+581	$500	88¢	$511	+$12	10-21 07:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+602	$500	84¢	$509	+$9	10-21 07:33
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+514	$421	68¢	$352	-$69	10-26 05:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$2.5K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$55	10-24 12:54
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	10-22 07:19
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	3	$1.3K	748	748	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 07:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	649	649	+0	open	—	10-19 10:17
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	674	674	+0	open	—	10-22 14:03
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	10-23 01:27
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	3	$1.1K	630	528	+103	Yes	-$29	10-26 02:32
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$1.0K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	10-22 14:59
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$1.0K	561	561	+0	open	—	10-22 10:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	1	$1000	1,013	0	+1,013	Yes	+$13	10-17 11:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$983	889	889	+0	open	—	10-21 11:43
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	4	$875	905	0	+905	open	—	10-26 05:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$500	543	0	+543	open	—	10-22 03:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$500	893	0	+893	open	—	10-20 12:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$500	757	0	+757	open	—	10-21 02:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	581	0	+581	open	—	10-21 07:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	602	0	+602	open	—	10-21 07:33
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	1	$494	524	0	+524	No	+$30	10-21 09:12
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	3	$493	566	0	+566	open	—	10-21 06:37
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$421	514	0	+514	open	—	10-26 05:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$394	249	249	+0	No	-$6	10-22 10:44
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$390	277	277	+0	open	—	10-22 10:44
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	1	$299	348	0	+348	open	—	10-26 02:33
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	3	$255	176	126	+50	No	+$7	10-23 02:24
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$249	282	0	+282	open	—	10-26 01:48
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	3	$234	361	361	+0	No	-$86	10-21 10:38
Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	1	$199	232	0	+232	open	—	10-22 02:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$198	112	112	+0	Yes	-$2	10-22 10:44
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$176	152	152	+0	Yes	-$24	10-22 06:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	10-15 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:57:50	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	232	83¢	$192	0x9e1706…
10-26 05:57:02	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x1f11ea…
10-26 02:33:23	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	348	86¢	$299	0x390497…
10-26 02:32:59	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9ba6fc…
10-26 01:48:45	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	282	88¢	$249	0xc53c82…
10-25 19:28:14	Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe4630d…
10-25 19:00:15	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4dc046…
10-25 17:25:47	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1 Levante UD?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa2c226…
10-25 16:21:50	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa14d8a…
10-25 16:21:36	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x87f32b…
10-25 16:09:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3c8789…
10-25 15:53:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b345e…
10-25 15:01:53	Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x05c839…
10-25 14:11:27	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75d0ed…
10-25 13:53:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4d6ed6…
10-25 13:51:32	Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)	Venezia FC	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x36655f…
10-25 13:11:20	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf42928…
10-25 11:22:32	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 ACF Fiorentina?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11ca45…
10-25 11:06:12	Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x69dac6…
10-25 10:15:51	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x649319…
10-25 10:06:06	Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)	PSV	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ba9f2…
10-25 08:54:50	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Frosinone Calcio?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x568379…
10-25 07:59:26	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x031811…
10-24 18:52:36	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 1 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d50a3…
10-24 15:02:33	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfc7c97…
10-24 14:47:12	Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x169430…
10-24 14:25:35	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00f38e…
10-24 13:37:35	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x89b4f2…
10-24 13:25:48	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Everton FC?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x093c11…
10-24 12:54:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,307	99¢	$1,297	0x59444a…
10-24 08:02:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x53e3db…
10-24 05:22:42	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x668ef7…
10-24 03:39:33	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	282	81¢	$228	0xa8b693…
10-23 18:56:26	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x15f802…
10-23 17:14:03	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb344a5…
10-23 17:01:11	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-3.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x87dca4…
10-23 14:35:18	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 4 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x22c8ff…
10-23 11:14:41	Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 3 - 0 Málaga CF?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x65b4ac…
10-23 07:22:54	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x43adbb…
10-23 07:06:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x33ce3a…
10-23 02:24:54	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8c3553…
10-23 01:27:39	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	148	89¢	$131	0xcb18dc…
10-22 14:59:38	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	464	97¢	$450	0xd55dff…
10-22 14:42:11	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	528	89¢	$469	0x4a9999…
10-22 14:03:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	674	85¢	$573	0x2fbe6d…
10-22 11:37:18	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	1,064	93¢	$990	0x63c2e8…
10-22 10:44:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	87¢	$98	0x80bdbc…
10-22 10:44:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	277	69¢	$191	0x95068e…
10-22 10:44:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	249	78¢	$194	0x83d5e3…
10-22 10:43:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	561	90¢	$507	0x4e2deb…
10-22 07:33:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	149	95¢	$142	0x75bf60…
10-22 07:33:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,158	95¢	$1,100	0xfbe697…
10-22 07:28:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	SELL	126	84¢	$106	0xd77922…
10-22 07:20:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	748	86¢	$643	0x29f7a2…
10-22 07:19:50	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	541	91¢	$493	0xfc4e01…
10-22 07:09:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	218	88¢	$193	0x81ab4b…
10-22 06:20:43	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	152	50¢	$76	0xd0af36…
10-22 03:22:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xc30959…
10-22 02:21:54	Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	No	BUY	232	86¢	$199	0xa7c32b…
10-22 01:57:06	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xdd56a6…
10-21 16:07:35	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	568	94¢	$534	0x202b42…
10-21 11:43:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	889	54¢	$483	0xa52345…
10-21 10:58:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	541	85¢	$459	0x7048b0…
10-21 10:38:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	361	20¢	$74	0x0da87a…
10-21 10:09:11	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xab7257…
10-21 09:26:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3127c1…
10-21 09:26:21	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2b40c1…
10-21 09:26:18	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x637bf3…
10-21 09:26:17	Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.5B?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc1a01a…
10-21 09:26:15	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x9cebb3…
10-21 09:26:12	Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 235?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa34c83…
10-21 09:26:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x94e729…
10-21 09:26:06	Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xfce298…
10-21 09:12:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	561	89¢	$499	0xc2e71a…
10-21 09:12:00	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	No	BUY	524	94¢	$494	0x907300…
10-21 09:11:39	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x54c0f8…
10-21 08:50:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xdb0ea3…
10-21 08:18:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x50aaef…
10-21 08:06:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd1965e…
10-21 08:06:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	249	80¢	$200	0x5a7d8c…
10-21 08:06:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	277	72¢	$199	0xe7aa6d…
10-21 07:33:53	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	889	56¢	$500	0xf88c8a…
10-21 07:33:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xbf5c17…
10-21 07:33:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x822298…
10-21 06:37:12	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x6a06ce…
10-21 06:13:42	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x01550f…
10-21 06:13:39	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	BUY	354	89¢	$314	0x15a80b…
10-21 06:13:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0x9608ec…
10-21 03:58:05	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x33eb07…
10-21 03:41:09	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x9e4447…
10-21 03:40:54	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	BUY	141	80¢	$113	0xac6458…
10-21 03:40:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0x6a1d81…
10-21 02:53:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	757	66¢	$500	0x964ab4…
10-21 02:13:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,082	84¢	$914	0x7c950c…
10-21 02:13:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	530	85¢	$452	0x1318b6…
10-20 23:56:09	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xbcd7c7…
10-20 23:55:03	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xcfcd2e…
10-20 22:36:56	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xec15bd…
10-20 22:35:35	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x451165…
10-20 22:29:26	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x94826e…