Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$529

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

251 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.75K

$27.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$856

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 11-06 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

65% 56% +$307

Other

35% 80% +$66

Tech

0% 100% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes		+566	$493	80¢	$450	-$43	10-21 06:37
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No		+449	$439	90¢	$406	-$33	11-06 12:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$2.5K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$55	10-24 12:54
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$47	10-31 00:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,082	1,082	+0	No	+$38	10-22 07:19
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	13	$1.8K	1,212	763	+449	open	—	11-06 12:31
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	5	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$25	10-30 10:40
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	3	$1.3K	748	748	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 07:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	649	649	+0	open	—	10-19 10:17
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	674	674	+0	No	-$27	10-22 14:03
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	3	$1.1K	630	528	+103	Yes	-$29	10-26 02:32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	581	581	+0	open	—	11-03 11:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$1.0K	561	561	+0	Yes	+$8	10-22 10:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	1	$1000	1,013	0	+1,013	Yes	+$13	10-17 11:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$999	602	602	+0	open	—	11-03 11:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	2	$983	893	893	+0	open	—	11-06 01:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$983	889	889	+0	open	—	10-21 11:43
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	3	$697	514	514	+0	open	—	11-02 01:01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$500	543	0	+543	No	+$43	10-22 03:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$500	757	0	+757	No	+$257	10-21 02:53
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	1	$494	524	0	+524	No	+$30	10-21 09:12
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	3	$493	566	0	+566	open	—	10-21 06:37
Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	2	$429	232	232	+0	No	+$31	11-02 01:01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$394	249	249	+0	No	-$6	10-22 10:44
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$390	277	277	+0	No	-$8	10-22 10:44
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	1	$299	348	0	+348	No	+$49	10-26 02:33
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	3	$255	176	126	+50	No	+$7	10-23 02:24
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$249	282	0	+282	No	+$33	10-26 01:48
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	3	$234	361	361	+0	No	-$86	10-21 10:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$198	112	112	+0	Yes	-$2	10-22 10:44
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$176	152	152	+0	Yes	-$24	10-22 06:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	10-15 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:31:27	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x69a820…
11-06 12:18:31	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xa98db7…
11-06 09:12:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x3d628d…
11-06 09:12:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x2a2962…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0xfbd433…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0xd584fd…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0xc530b8…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x9b5ac4…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x51799c…
11-06 04:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x0dee32…
11-06 01:19:34	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	469	88¢	$414	0xab5a21…
11-06 01:19:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	893	54¢	$483	0x551f14…
11-03 11:51:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	602	83¢	$500	0x43ec37…
11-03 11:51:12	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	581	88¢	$511	0xf29d29…
11-02 01:01:30	Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	No	SELL	232	99¢	$230	0xff2b2e…
11-02 01:01:03	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	514	54¢	$276	0xc07449…
10-31 00:29:42	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xd11123…
10-31 00:29:09	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xced656…
10-31 00:28:00	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeeea24…
10-31 00:21:58	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe70d85…
10-31 00:05:03	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdbf129…
10-31 00:04:36	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x42c6f1…
10-31 00:04:36	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x321d2e…
10-31 00:04:25	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x86d0b9…
10-31 00:04:12	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfb6402…
10-31 00:03:57	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb83701…
10-31 00:03:34	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x931208…
10-30 19:34:51	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	782	100¢	$780	0x62d6d2…
10-30 10:40:43	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	905	99¢	$900	0xe62ae2…
10-26 05:57:50	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	232	83¢	$192	0x9e1706…
10-26 05:57:02	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x1f11ea…
10-26 02:33:23	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	348	86¢	$299	0x390497…
10-26 02:32:59	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9ba6fc…
10-26 01:48:45	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	282	88¢	$249	0xc53c82…
10-25 19:28:14	Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe4630d…
10-25 19:00:15	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4dc046…
10-25 17:25:47	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1 Levante UD?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa2c226…
10-25 16:21:50	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa14d8a…
10-25 16:21:36	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x87f32b…
10-25 16:09:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3c8789…
10-25 15:53:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b345e…
10-25 15:01:53	Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x05c839…
10-25 14:11:27	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75d0ed…
10-25 13:53:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4d6ed6…
10-25 13:51:32	Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)	Venezia FC	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x36655f…
10-25 13:11:20	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf42928…
10-25 11:22:32	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 ACF Fiorentina?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11ca45…
10-25 11:06:12	Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x69dac6…
10-25 10:15:51	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x649319…
10-25 10:06:06	Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)	PSV	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ba9f2…
10-25 08:54:50	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Frosinone Calcio?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x568379…
10-25 07:59:26	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x031811…
10-24 18:52:36	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 1 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d50a3…
10-24 15:02:33	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfc7c97…
10-24 14:47:12	Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x169430…
10-24 14:25:35	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00f38e…
10-24 13:37:35	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x89b4f2…
10-24 13:25:48	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Everton FC?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x093c11…
10-24 12:54:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,307	99¢	$1,297	0x59444a…
10-24 08:02:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x53e3db…
10-24 05:22:42	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x668ef7…
10-24 03:39:33	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	282	81¢	$228	0xa8b693…
10-23 18:56:26	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x15f802…
10-23 17:14:03	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb344a5…
10-23 17:01:11	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-3.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x87dca4…
10-23 14:35:18	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 4 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x22c8ff…
10-23 11:14:41	Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 3 - 0 Málaga CF?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x65b4ac…
10-23 07:22:54	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x43adbb…
10-23 07:06:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x33ce3a…
10-23 02:24:54	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8c3553…
10-23 01:27:39	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	148	89¢	$131	0xcb18dc…
10-22 14:59:38	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	464	97¢	$450	0xd55dff…
10-22 14:42:11	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	528	89¢	$469	0x4a9999…
10-22 14:03:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	674	85¢	$573	0x2fbe6d…
10-22 11:37:18	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	1,064	93¢	$990	0x63c2e8…
10-22 10:44:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	87¢	$98	0x80bdbc…
10-22 10:44:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	277	69¢	$191	0x95068e…
10-22 10:44:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	249	78¢	$194	0x83d5e3…
10-22 10:43:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	561	90¢	$507	0x4e2deb…
10-22 07:33:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	149	95¢	$142	0x75bf60…
10-22 07:33:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,158	95¢	$1,100	0xfbe697…
10-22 07:28:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	SELL	126	84¢	$106	0xd77922…
10-22 07:20:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	748	86¢	$643	0x29f7a2…
10-22 07:19:50	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	541	91¢	$493	0xfc4e01…
10-22 07:09:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	218	88¢	$193	0x81ab4b…
10-22 06:20:43	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	152	50¢	$76	0xd0af36…
10-22 03:22:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xc30959…
10-22 02:21:54	Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	No	BUY	232	86¢	$199	0xa7c32b…
10-22 01:57:06	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xdd56a6…
10-21 16:07:35	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	568	94¢	$534	0x202b42…
10-21 11:43:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	889	54¢	$483	0xa52345…
10-21 10:58:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	541	85¢	$459	0x7048b0…
10-21 10:38:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	361	20¢	$74	0x0da87a…
10-21 10:09:11	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xab7257…
10-21 09:26:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3127c1…
10-21 09:26:21	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2b40c1…
10-21 09:26:18	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x637bf3…
10-21 09:26:17	Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.5B?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc1a01a…
10-21 09:26:15	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x9cebb3…
10-21 09:26:12	Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 235?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa34c83…