Tangible-Discovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

10,066 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$457

$62.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-01 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 87% -$843

Other

5% 81% -$45

Sports

1% 40% +$119

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	15	$165	160	160	+0	No	-$1	04-27 19:51
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$104	369	369	+0	No	$0	04-28 10:39
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$88	155	155	+0	No	+$0	04-27 19:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$81	105	105	+0	No	+$1	04-28 14:28
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$80	75	75	+0	Yes	-$1	04-27 16:57
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$72	1,080	1,080	+0	No	$0	04-27 14:38
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$68	0	1,308	-1,308	No	+$68	04-28 13:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$56	0	727	-727	No	+$56	04-28 13:15
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$51	1,091	1,213	-122	No	+$3	04-27 13:48
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	17	$51	522	554	-31	No	-$2	04-27 21:32
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$50	408	248	+160	No	-$12	04-27 19:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	6	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	09-21 20:35
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	8	$42	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	09-19 20:27
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$40	55	55	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$38	235	235	+0	No	-$5	04-28 14:42
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$32	375	750	-375	No	+$8	04-27 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:30 UTC	3	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	06-09 13:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:50 UTC	3	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-09 09:55
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$24	233	233	+0	No	$0	04-27 19:52
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$23	324	324	+0	No	-$1	04-27 13:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:50 UTC	3	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET	2	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	09-23 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC	13	$23	35	30	+5	Up	-$5	08-29 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	2	$23	26	0	+26	Down	+$4	09-23 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12AM ET	2	$23	24	0	+24	Up	-$23	09-24 04:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:05 UTC	4	$22	28	0	+28	Up	+$5	06-09 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$22	16	8	+8	Down	-$7	05-18 12:29
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$22	297	297	+0	No	-$1	04-27 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 01:06
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 cel4	4	$22	14	50	-36	No	+$8	04-03 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:40:43	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xcdbd9b…
11-01 06:52:57	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	21	54¢	$12	0x429c18…
11-01 06:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7b7fd2…
11-01 06:50:51	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x94a256…
11-01 06:40:06	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x944aa0…
11-01 03:08:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x28f393…
11-01 00:01:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6ce2f1…
10-31 23:50:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xde740f…
10-31 21:40:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x439bcf…
10-31 21:24:51	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x47d873…
10-31 17:18:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xed9730…
10-31 17:18:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x246584…
10-30 23:06:01	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x10fb1d…
10-30 21:51:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x35773e…
10-30 18:21:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x311d2d…
10-30 07:26:31	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xe2be35…
10-30 04:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4fa7b6…
10-30 02:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x8f8008…
10-30 02:51:42	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x856ef8…
10-29 21:40:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x172850…
10-29 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x03b02a…
10-29 11:45:55	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x79efae…
10-29 10:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x841fe5…
10-29 04:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x46f8b8…
10-29 00:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7469d6…
10-28 22:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xbb4e8b…
10-28 22:23:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4e41ad…
10-28 21:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x835a5f…
10-28 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6ce300…
10-28 16:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6b8c24…
10-28 11:55:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x8d7886…
10-28 11:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7c9852…
10-28 01:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdb23f7…
10-28 00:50:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x667fb1…
10-28 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfe72a9…
10-28 00:01:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x4bdee4…
10-27 23:23:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6d2ed0…
10-27 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6294e2…
10-27 20:50:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x77e530…
10-27 19:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6864b6…
10-27 18:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x629364…
10-27 17:53:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x5fe9d3…
10-27 17:52:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xc4d85e…
10-27 16:22:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb94fda…
10-27 09:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb8acf0…
10-27 04:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe96c71…
10-27 04:02:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x12e2f7…
10-27 03:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0a515d…
10-26 22:31:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8ffa13…
10-26 21:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xb2fe7c…
10-26 21:35:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x60e28e…
10-26 21:35:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xcdeda4…
10-26 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf05e0e…
10-25 21:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xcf616c…
10-25 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8d42ad…
10-25 16:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf4d90b…
10-25 13:23:20	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x59ed89…
10-25 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe00529…
10-25 04:39:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa1d16a…
10-25 01:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x490fa2…
10-25 01:07:38	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x2ea968…
10-25 00:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x20a99a…
10-25 00:00:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x6fcc82…
10-24 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xa6d0ca…
10-24 21:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xcd8e91…
10-24 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3e1470…
10-24 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x534d11…
10-24 14:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd68da2…
10-24 09:11:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-24 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x04948b…
10-24 08:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x5aa9e6…
10-24 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf21460…
10-24 05:21:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc3e4c1…
10-24 05:01:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x6f95ec…
10-24 04:38:53	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xaebc79…
10-24 03:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3cad64…
10-24 03:50:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8c27aa…
10-24 02:49:03	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6ba950…
10-23 23:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x706790…
10-23 22:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x10bcb3…
10-23 09:26:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xaa62ff…
10-23 03:46:24	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x669c7c…
10-23 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8c38bb…
10-23 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x7232cf…
10-23 01:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xb4c27d…
10-23 00:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe16640…
10-22 22:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1833b5…
10-22 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x58a2ca…
10-22 21:52:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x15381d…
10-22 11:57:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x8eed12…
10-22 09:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x40bc7c…
10-22 09:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x82cfde…
10-22 06:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb8e668…
10-22 05:12:57	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x9e7eac…
10-22 04:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x378c57…
10-21 19:56:09	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x06015c…
10-21 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x8f3cb7…
10-21 11:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa27712…
10-21 07:30:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x7340b3…
10-21 06:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0291a5…
10-21 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa3f8f4…