Realized P&L
-$222
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
12.2%
Resolved
28
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$626
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$70
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-09 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
69% 24% -$114
Politics
24% 0% -$104
Sports
7% 33% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? No +52 $16 31¢ $16 +$0 10-08 05:22
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +100 $19 12¢ $12 -$7 09-29 12:31
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $9 2¢ $10 +$1 06-11 02:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +35 $12 24¢ $8 -$4 06-28 11:30
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $13 8¢ $8 -$5 07-14 17:40
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +21 $2 24¢ $5 +$3 09-14 14:32
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $9 15¢ $4 -$5 10-08 05:01
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +35 $12 11¢ $4 -$8 06-13 11:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $13 2¢ $2 -$11 06-10 22:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 07-03 09:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +30 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-09 15:12