Modest-Journal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

806

Trades

7,430

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-04 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 66% $-118

Other

13% 50% $-3

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 917 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775955900	53	$123	235	0	+235	open	—	04-12 01:09
btc updown 5m 1775953500	40	$111	190	0	+190	open	—	04-12 00:30
btc updown 5m 1775962200	37	$109	170	0	+170	open	—	04-12 02:55
btc updown 5m 1775952600	43	$102	198	0	+198	open	—	04-12 00:15
btc updown 5m 1775960100	32	$93	155	0	+155	open	—	04-12 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	30	$89	48	48	+0	open	—	04-28 09:03
btc updown 5m 1775958600	37	$86	155	0	+155	open	—	04-12 01:54
btc updown 5m 1775958900	43	$82	170	0	+170	open	—	04-12 01:59
btc updown 5m 1775954100	29	$81	135	0	+135	open	—	04-12 00:39
highest temperature in lagos on april 20 2026 28corbelow	33	$81	44	43	+0	open	—	04-21 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 27?	36	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	04-27 07:27
btc updown 5m 1775955300	25	$80	120	0	+120	open	—	04-12 00:59
btc updown 5m 1775956200	35	$79	167	0	+167	open	—	04-12 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	35	$75	40	39	+0	open	—	04-27 17:47
btc updown 5m 1775957100	35	$74	132	0	+132	open	—	04-12 01:29
btc updown 5m 1775956500	26	$74	130	0	+130	open	—	04-12 01:19
btc updown 5m 1775956800	27	$72	122	0	+122	open	—	04-12 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	13	$66	50	32	+18	Up	$-1	05-06 01:24
highest temperature in lagos on april 23 2026 33c	21	$66	36	35	+0	open	—	04-24 00:16
btc updown 5m 1775958300	32	$64	122	0	+122	open	—	04-12 01:47
btc updown 5m 1775960400	23	$63	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 02:23
btc updown 5m 1775959500	23	$62	105	0	+105	open	—	04-12 02:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	48	$59	36	36	+1	open	—	04-20 07:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 21c	7	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	04-19 05:43
btc updown 5m 1775960700	24	$56	110	0	+110	open	—	04-12 02:29
btc updown 5m 1775955600	20	$55	80	0	+80	open	—	04-12 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 25?	9	$55	30	29	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
highest temperature in lagos on april 20 2026 33c	22	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	04-20 23:21
btc updown 5m 1775962500	22	$53	95	0	+95	open	—	04-12 02:58
btc updown 5m 1775968200	45	$52	95	0	+95	open	—	04-12 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780539900	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x604ab7…
06-04 02:29:28	btc updown 5m 1780539900	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeb1ea3…
06-04 02:18:52	sol updown 5m 1780539300	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c8d37…
06-04 01:59:10	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc76d38…
06-04 01:58:52	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6babe4…
06-04 01:39:06	sol updown 5m 1780536900	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb12813…
06-04 01:33:51	btc updown 5m 1780536600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9eeac0…
06-04 01:29:06	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x41e7ad…
06-04 01:23:52	btc updown 5m 1780536000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x364847…
06-04 01:18:57	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb89a48…
06-04 01:13:51	btc updown 5m 1780535400	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x63cfab…
06-04 01:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780535100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf777fa…
06-04 01:04:15	eth updown 5m 1780534800	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x185b6a…
06-04 01:03:49	eth updown 5m 1780534800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7195a0…
06-04 00:59:07	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xba5c07…
06-04 00:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd5b90b…
06-04 00:53:52	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae4a7b…
06-03 23:53:54	btc updown 5m 1780530600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a8471…
06-03 23:49:10	sol updown 5m 1780530300	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8a7972…
06-03 23:29:00	btc updown 5m 1780529100	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a0c88…
06-03 23:23:58	btc updown 5m 1780528800	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa9b4cc…
06-03 23:18:49	btc updown 5m 1780528500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d4c91…
06-03 22:59:25	btc updown 5m 1780527300	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xb833ad…
06-03 22:58:52	btc updown 5m 1780527300	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c90fb…
06-03 22:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780527000	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3d9dd…
06-03 22:49:16	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x96ef13…
06-03 22:48:58	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x941ad9…
06-03 22:44:43	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad912d…
06-03 22:34:27	btc updown 5m 1780525800	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75d633…
06-03 22:29:25	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ea5e5…
06-03 22:24:42	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc8809…
06-03 22:19:15	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3bd6f…
06-03 22:09:00	eth updown 5m 1780524300	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x958f12…
06-03 22:03:54	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7026e0…
06-03 21:43:55	sol updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x53e9fe…
06-03 21:38:55	btc updown 5m 1780522500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27368c…
06-03 21:38:49	eth updown 5m 1780522500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04d528…
06-03 21:34:18	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xffba5a…
06-03 20:59:33	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24ecb0…
06-03 20:59:12	sol updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64a405…
06-03 20:54:04	eth updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe2d6dc…
06-03 20:53:58	sol updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2101ec…
06-03 20:49:15	sol updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x947901…
06-03 20:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce4d38…
06-03 20:09:07	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21642f…
06-03 19:59:22	sol updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x58ed1d…
06-03 19:39:19	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57f0ac…
06-03 19:34:25	btc updown 5m 1780515000	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x45f2a8…
06-03 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29d90e…
06-03 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d2986…
06-03 18:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a14b7…
06-03 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6f1314…
06-03 17:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8039d6…
06-03 17:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6dbf53…
06-03 17:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdba48a…
06-03 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8c91b…
06-03 17:09:28	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x5909f6…
06-03 17:09:06	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x019cdf…
06-03 17:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ee020…
06-03 16:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x290731…
06-03 16:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcdf023…
06-03 16:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfeea06…
06-03 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x642d04…
06-03 16:29:01	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4e009c…
06-03 16:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc73eea…
06-03 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfc25d3…
06-03 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77f9e0…
06-03 14:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c10e7…
06-03 14:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x248951…
06-03 14:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x871272…
06-03 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc397cb…
06-03 14:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e1afd…
06-03 14:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd53af4…
06-03 14:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x6c09bc…
06-03 14:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf173c1…
06-03 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x296526…
06-03 14:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb0695…
06-03 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd0205a…
06-03 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d0648…
06-03 13:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x02e10f…
06-03 13:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a29b0…
06-03 13:49:29	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x5d0546…
06-03 13:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x66e1b0…
06-03 13:49:10	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4515d7…
06-03 13:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29d6e8…
06-03 12:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x028776…
06-03 11:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe3d4e4…
06-03 11:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb64fcb…
06-03 10:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ea499…
06-03 10:49:14	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4d704e…
06-03 10:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe40036…
06-03 10:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf92c06…
06-03 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe24630…
06-03 10:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81757a…
06-03 10:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x529263…
06-03 09:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x181692…
06-03 09:09:29	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa02e52…
06-03 09:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3c6e7d…
06-03 08:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f9e89…
06-03 08:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2fb13f…