Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$45.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$827

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

52% 14% $-220

Other

46% 44% $-44

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-858	$-720	90¢	$-776	$-56	06-03 23:17
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	+53	$39	88¢	$47	+$8	06-04 19:19
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$4	12¢	$4	+$0	07-11 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
yoon out of custody by march 31	10	$5.6K	0	5,706	-5,706	open	—	03-19 05:23
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	33	$5.0K	7,138	0	+7,138	open	—	03-04 11:16
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	22	$3.5K	2,216	2,216	+0	open	—	04-21 23:12
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	10	$2.3K	1,113	1,452	-339	open	—	02-08 15:28
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	9	$1.9K	2,161	0	+2,161	open	—	02-19 04:33
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	32	$1.4K	3,561	0	+3,561	open	—	02-06 13:23
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	29	$1.3K	1,523	1,589	-66	open	—	03-09 10:35
will kim keon hee be sentenced to prison by march 31	1	$1.2K	0	1,157	-1,157	open	—	01-28 05:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$996	841	745	+95	Yes	$-42	03-20 04:02
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	8	$974	520	913	-393	open	—	02-08 15:37
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$864	647	716	-69	open	—	02-08 12:16
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	9	$789	509	509	+0	open	—	03-22 21:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$720	0	858	-858	open	—	06-03 23:17
will the democratic party for the people loose any seats in japanese snap election	11	$706	625	625	+0	open	—	02-08 15:46
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$636	369	369	+0	open	—	04-12 19:57
will sanseit win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	8	$589	339	339	-0	open	—	02-05 19:58
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	6	$526	397	699	-302	open	—	03-30 03:41
jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	7	$473	515	59	+456	open	—	06-20 22:02
will russia capture lyman in 2025 816	1	$460	0	461	-461	open	—	01-01 06:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$459	259	259	+0	open	—	03-14 07:58
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	6	$428	481	0	+481	open	—	01-18 04:37
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	6	$366	206	206	+0	open	—	03-01 19:53
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	7	$360	232	232	+0	Yes	$-15	04-25 05:20
will the japan innovation party win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	5	$356	281	281	+0	open	—	02-06 22:12
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	3	$353	229	229	+0	open	—	05-20 07:54
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	1	$330	0	352	-352	open	—	06-23 19:29
will the japan innovation party loose any seats in japanese snap election	6	$330	474	0	+474	open	—	02-07 21:13
jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	6	$317	383	192	+192	open	—	06-23 19:40
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?	1	$305	0	311	-311	open	—	01-12 21:01
will the liberal democratic party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	4	$303	339	77	+262	open	—	02-08 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:40:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	11	66¢	$8	0x200247…
07-19 18:40:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x1ad6af…
07-19 18:39:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x09fc9a…
07-15 19:13:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xddf716…
07-15 19:09:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0x47e4d3…
07-12 02:48:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xfa3722…
07-12 02:48:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x6d9d6e…
07-12 02:48:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x550e62…
07-11 23:11:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x74ee4b…
07-11 14:45:26	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb87e57…
07-09 22:58:04	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0x7d32c2…
07-05 20:59:35	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe5dada…
06-29 18:06:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	115	32¢	$37	0x33d45d…
06-23 19:40:29	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	192	87¢	$168	0x05e018…
06-23 19:35:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x81b6ca…
06-23 19:35:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x66c514…
06-23 19:29:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	352	94¢	$330	0x4ff27e…
06-21 10:46:35	congress approves iran deal in 2026 20260616005217959	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x315be8…
06-21 10:46:29	congress approves iran deal in 2026 20260616005217959	No	BUY	73	73¢	$53	0x304588…
06-21 10:43:46	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	173	40¢	$69	0x10f7c6…
06-20 22:20:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	69	31¢	$21	0x14bddb…
06-20 22:02:11	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x149e22…
06-20 22:02:10	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	125	81¢	$101	0xea356f…
06-20 22:02:07	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0xb4828d…
06-20 22:02:04	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x4fa6e3…
06-20 22:01:55	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x50a829…
06-20 22:01:50	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	155	38¢	$59	0x32d166…
06-09 13:55:36	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xea1aaa…
06-09 13:55:07	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	12¢	$14	0x9bd5fb…
06-09 13:54:48	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x38c5ff…
06-09 13:54:45	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xf6dc27…
06-08 19:03:57	jung chung rae out as dp leader by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3fc680…
06-08 00:38:51	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0xe240fa…
06-04 19:19:34	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x19b35c…
06-04 11:03:13	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x016d18…
06-04 11:03:09	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x49411b…
06-04 10:51:49	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x649a43…
06-04 01:02:46	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$21	0x2f3914…
06-03 23:17:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	858	84¢	$720	0x19fac0…
06-03 21:44:13	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	352	37¢	$129	0x439036…
05-20 07:54:40	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	SELL	229	89¢	$204	0x8cf712…
05-14 18:03:02	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	137	76¢	$103	0x1c872c…
05-11 14:29:59	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x42b19a…
05-10 16:44:57	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	China	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc4d076…
05-10 12:18:24	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x464680…
05-10 12:05:09	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xab3a16…
05-10 12:05:04	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xecd13a…
05-10 04:23:34	WTT - Women's Singles: China vs Japan	Japan	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x502a4f…
05-09 19:05:40	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	France	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x0a8908…
05-09 19:04:07	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	France	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb5c535…
05-09 19:03:44	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	France	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x354c46…
05-09 18:54:54	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	France	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x28fd35…
05-09 16:59:20	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x478a32…
05-09 16:59:13	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xa53aa3…
05-09 16:57:25	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xc079d8…
05-09 16:43:16	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	China	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2ff44f…
05-09 16:22:27	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb4054d…
05-05 00:54:56	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	BUY	51	36¢	$19	0xd78967…
05-01 23:35:04	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	114	14¢	$16	0xaafffd…
05-01 07:40:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x8c2174…
04-25 18:20:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	157	97¢	$153	0x5d85df…
04-25 05:20:08	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	114	73¢	$83	0x7b20b0…
04-25 00:26:18	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$11	0x973030…
04-24 00:48:12	Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x47c58f…
04-24 00:41:24	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x273d39…
04-22 01:23:32	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	SELL	66	78¢	$52	0x5f98c0…
04-22 01:23:04	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	118	76¢	$90	0x4cf4d8…
04-22 00:46:32	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	66	80¢	$53	0xda896c…
04-22 00:45:16	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	37	79¢	$29	0x065a40…
04-22 00:08:22	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	149	72¢	$107	0x7e9acd…
04-21 23:34:42	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	No	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x9b2613…
04-21 23:33:42	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0xf390ec…
04-21 23:12:36	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x79c12c…
04-21 20:37:52	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xce2ad1…
04-21 20:31:52	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	Yes	SELL	46	25¢	$11	0xc7e09a…
04-21 20:28:36	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x17908f…
04-21 19:51:50	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcaed62…
04-21 19:13:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x9b0636…
04-21 16:23:12	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x13455e…
04-21 16:22:20	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x0cbdd3…
04-21 16:21:38	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	176	84¢	$148	0x3a8ea3…
04-21 15:44:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x330602…
04-20 17:16:50	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	118	72¢	$85	0x89d02d…
04-20 17:15:20	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	803	84¢	$674	0x8efa99…
04-19 22:20:08	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x3091f2…
04-19 21:32:02	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	83	85¢	$71	0xd0c9ef…
04-19 21:31:56	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xd82e51…
04-19 21:31:06	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	1,197	85¢	$1,017	0x217128…
04-19 19:16:32	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x6d5058…
04-19 18:13:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	114	37¢	$42	0x4c80f8…
04-19 18:06:16	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb909ba…
04-19 18:03:26	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0xd0297e…
04-17 20:23:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	16¢	$18	0xdbdec9…
04-17 20:21:38	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x63e95a…
04-17 20:20:30	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$14	0xf5c18a…
04-17 00:52:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x5b07cd…
04-17 00:52:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	147	59¢	$87	0x8e8e5a…
04-17 00:35:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x49b23b…
04-17 00:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe4a489…
04-16 18:39:28	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe1c3fb…