Sharp-Yurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$30.5K

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

362

1,780 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$36.6K

$306.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

$1.45K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-10 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

46% 89% +$39,205

Politics

45% 67% +$3,547

Crypto

8% 35% +$601

Sports

1% 50% -$1,930

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-16,129	$29,068	9¢	$-1452	-$30,519	11-10 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	135	$83.1K	309,068	325,197	-16,129	open	—	11-10 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	57	$76.2K	50,044	50,044	+0	No	+$22,582	07-26 10:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$42.7K	29,291	29,291	+0	No	+$13,000	06-23 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	22	$38.6K	26,703	26,703	+0	No	+$3,360	04-23 17:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	87	$17.3K	14,879	14,879	+0	No	+$268	04-28 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$10.4K	6,035	6,035	+0	No	+$959	05-15 08:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	16	$6.8K	9,471	9,471	+0	open	—	11-10 20:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$2.3K	0	15,652	-15,652	No	+$2,348	04-28 13:45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.0K	35,583	0	+35,583	No	-$2,026	06-25 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 11:25 UTC	63	$1.5K	5,075	0	+5,075	Down	-$1,515	06-19 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 11:35 UTC	55	$1.4K	5,256	0	+5,256	Up	+$3,901	06-19 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:30 UTC	57	$1.3K	2,536	0	+2,536	Up	-$1,348	06-24 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:10 UTC	43	$1.1K	2,342	0	+2,342	Down	+$1,290	06-24 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:25 UTC	39	$971	3,180	0	+3,180	Up	-$971	06-24 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:05 UTC	39	$952	5,072	0	+5,072	Down	-$952	06-24 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:35 UTC	66	$944	8,380	0	+8,380	Up	-$944	06-19 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:30 UTC	67	$915	5,080	0	+5,080	Down	-$915	06-19 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:05 UTC	39	$915	4,220	0	+4,220	Up	+$3,305	06-19 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:00 UTC	35	$854	4,308	0	+4,308	Up	-$854	06-24 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:10 UTC	38	$846	4,097	0	+4,097	Down	+$3,251	06-23 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:10 UTC	33	$825	5,032	0	+5,032	Down	-$825	06-19 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:40 UTC	35	$791	1,967	0	+1,967	Down	-$791	06-24 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 11:20 UTC	38	$779	6,477	0	+6,477	Up	-$779	06-19 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	30	$737	2,070	0	+2,070	Up	-$737	11-10 20:47
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$718	1,072	0	+1,072	Spain	+$354	07-19 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 16:55 UTC	36	$717	2,564	0	+2,564	Down	-$717	06-24 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:05 UTC	35	$686	2,278	0	+2,278	Down	-$686	06-23 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:35 UTC	25	$625	4,144	0	+4,144	Down	-$625	06-24 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	26	$590	2,120	0	+2,120	Down	-$590	11-10 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC	31	$531	3,698	0	+3,698	Up	-$531	06-19 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 21:04:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	118,713	5¢	$6,073	0xf55071…
11-10 21:04:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	89,867	7¢	$6,030	0x6d0400…
11-10 20:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6409a1…
11-10 20:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3fa9a8…
11-10 20:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7ff124…
11-10 20:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xb3b3b8…
11-10 20:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xd97acc…
11-10 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xc66ba4…
11-10 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xeaedab…
11-10 20:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xe73f18…
11-10 20:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf4f6ac…
11-10 20:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x56efeb…
11-10 20:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	25¢	$25	0xf23845…
11-10 20:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0xbff566…
11-10 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x5ad01c…
11-10 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x363614…
11-10 20:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x26c783…
11-10 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x58a702…
11-10 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7e9eb7…
11-10 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x422647…
11-10 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x21e189…
11-10 20:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xeee11f…
11-10 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xfcf2c1…
11-10 20:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x08df62…
11-10 20:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x71a852…
11-10 20:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xfde9d5…
11-10 20:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x494790…
11-10 20:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xa2b7c5…
11-10 20:55:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe0cb15…
11-10 20:55:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x782bb5…
11-10 20:55:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,754	8¢	$620	0x778c71…
11-10 20:55:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x08c752…
11-10 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcd7392…
11-10 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x495ad9…
11-10 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x5497c0…
11-10 20:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xe386bd…
11-10 20:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xa0240d…
11-10 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xf9d820…
11-10 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xece376…
11-10 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xaa4279…
11-10 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x2c57bb…
11-10 20:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x4f7c2c…
11-10 20:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x473441…
11-10 20:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x1a3c22…
11-10 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xcea4cc…
11-10 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x978690…
11-10 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa7113c…
11-10 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x519e3c…
11-10 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x093630…
11-10 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa05240…
11-10 20:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xa78dd4…
11-10 20:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	135	18¢	$25	0x00dcf7…
11-10 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x58b8cc…
11-10 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x2c4379…
11-10 20:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xbaffab…
11-10 20:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x142b6b…
11-10 20:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x5d0a32…
11-10 20:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xdf4c9c…
11-10 20:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xb116cd…
11-10 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x6af66c…
11-10 20:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x296bc6…
11-10 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xaa9f2a…
11-10 20:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xbebbe1…
11-10 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x483b6a…
11-10 20:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x18ffff…
11-10 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xcc37a0…
11-10 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xeae4c0…
11-10 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x6872e0…
11-10 20:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xe5e1b5…
11-10 20:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x15c188…
11-10 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xe9bb66…
11-10 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x32174e…
11-10 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x30ec12…
11-10 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0xa54f83…
11-10 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x649ce8…
11-10 20:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4926eb…
11-10 20:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xed5419…
11-10 20:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4fe936…
11-10 20:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x28b273…
11-10 20:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xd4b523…
11-10 20:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xd06411…
11-10 20:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbd4a75…
11-10 20:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa7a604…
11-10 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcab136…
11-10 20:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd99258…
11-10 20:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3ba3a7…
11-10 20:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x692fa8…
11-10 20:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb8fa60…
11-10 20:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x9173bc…
11-10 20:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x6551ac…
11-10 20:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xf92a7f…
11-10 20:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x0c30f4…
11-10 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xbc44d3…
11-10 20:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x226c19…
11-10 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	142	18¢	$25	0x8cdb0c…
11-10 20:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	124	20¢	$25	0x1aa0f6…
11-10 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xaae868…
11-10 20:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x3c635e…
11-10 20:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x4cca55…
11-10 20:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xaa6140…