Hurtful-Hornet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

11,306

lifetime

Volume

$45.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-10 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 36% $-46

Politics

2% 100% +$254

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$294	276	276	+0	Yes	+$254	05-09 06:45
Tucker Carlson federally charged?	38	$137	6,797	3,028	+3,769	open	—	07-01 04:52
btc updown 5m 1774109700	4	$119	136	135	+1	open	—	03-21 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$118	84	84	+0	Up	+$48	05-11 16:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$113	1,823	0	+1,823	open	—	03-22 06:17
btc updown 15m 1782837000	8	$110	128	128	+0	open	—	06-30 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$104	82	82	+0	Down	+$58	05-14 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$100	222	199	+23	Down	+$20	05-12 14:54
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$98	121	121	+0	open	—	03-19 15:26
btc updown 5m 1781616600	7	$97	96	96	+0	open	—	06-16 13:35
btc updown 5m 1781450700	5	$96	154	144	+11	open	—	06-14 15:29
btc updown 5m 1781022900	7	$91	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$87	83	83	+0	Up	+$78	05-13 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$87	151	151	+0	open	—	05-30 07:19
btc updown 5m 1781086200	4	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 10:13
btc updown 5m 1782387600	7	$79	62	62	+0	open	—	06-25 11:45
btc updown 5m 1781181000	6	$75	62	62	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
btc updown 5m 1782455100	7	$74	64	64	+0	open	—	06-26 06:29
btc updown 5m 1782395100	3	$72	94	69	+25	open	—	06-25 13:48
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	9	$72	61	61	+0	open	—	07-13 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$72	56	56	+0	Up	+$22	05-11 16:24
btc updown 15m 1782977400	10	$70	74	70	+4	open	—	07-02 07:41
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$70	13,278	0	+13,278	open	—	03-27 09:57
btc updown 15m 1783256400	18	$70	97	94	+3	open	—	07-05 13:14
btc updown 15m 1782810000	7	$69	77	77	+0	open	—	06-30 09:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$69	59	59	+0	open	—	03-02 09:56
btc updown 5m 1781679600	12	$67	92	76	+17	open	—	06-17 07:04
btc updown 5m 1781759100	8	$67	84	84	+0	open	—	06-18 05:09
btc updown 5m 1781286900	9	$66	77	64	+13	open	—	06-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$65	107	107	+0	Down	+$45	05-12 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:02:10	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3b30b7…
08-10 08:02:06	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdff6fb…
08-10 08:01:55	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe47f7d…
08-10 08:01:37	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x22a2eb…
08-10 08:00:34	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x212a19…
08-10 08:00:24	btc updown 15m 1786348800	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xb6c0ef…
08-10 07:35:27	btc updown 15m 1786347000	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1f1b8d…
08-10 07:18:39	btc updown 15m 1786346100	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x30e411…
08-10 07:05:21	btc updown 15m 1786345200	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xdcac41…
08-10 06:56:27	btc updown 15m 1786344300	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9f7882…
08-10 06:53:09	btc updown 15m 1786344300	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8adfbb…
08-10 06:51:19	btc updown 15m 1786344300	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xda0be1…
08-10 06:36:34	btc updown 15m 1786343400	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0ec8a9…
08-10 06:33:54	btc updown 15m 1786343400	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x53fb13…
08-10 06:32:21	btc updown 15m 1786343400	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x864678…
08-10 06:00:22	btc updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2d0139…
08-10 05:30:15	btc updown 15m 1786339800	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xe4f007…
08-10 05:26:52	btc updown 15m 1786338900	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e3a34…
08-10 05:13:40	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x3d1af1…
08-10 05:13:16	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x5a91f3…
08-10 05:12:07	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa83bcd…
08-10 05:12:06	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x9f8cc0…
08-10 05:09:22	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3596aa…
08-10 05:06:03	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc83dc1…
08-10 05:04:54	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfdd6e0…
08-10 04:36:25	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4da9f…
08-10 04:30:54	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8ba47b…
08-10 04:30:33	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x67554e…
08-10 04:28:52	btc updown 15m 1786335300	Down	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x953ff5…
08-10 04:04:24	btc updown 15m 1786334400	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xd90029…
08-09 17:40:03	btc updown 15m 1786296600	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x6318c4…
08-09 16:33:06	btc updown 15m 1786293000	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x739c97…
08-09 15:53:34	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x24b9ee…
08-09 15:53:31	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x5c6b5c…
08-09 15:52:25	btc updown 15m 1786290300	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x2b2d4c…
08-09 15:41:52	btc updown 15m 1786289400	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x26fb48…
08-09 15:41:45	btc updown 15m 1786289400	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x33d5db…
08-09 15:19:55	btc updown 15m 1786288500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0da0ca…
08-09 15:18:42	btc updown 15m 1786288500	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xde6a9b…
08-09 15:10:06	btc updown 15m 1786287600	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x01a9f1…
08-09 14:18:30	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x08b042…
08-09 14:06:46	btc updown 15m 1786284000	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfc15ae…
08-09 13:58:21	btc updown 15m 1786283100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7a6821…
08-09 13:56:16	btc updown 15m 1786283100	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc30fbc…
08-09 13:04:52	btc updown 15m 1786280400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4a263c…
08-09 13:02:04	btc updown 15m 1786280400	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf7fff6…
08-09 12:08:46	btc updown 15m 1786276800	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1ff498…
08-09 11:04:07	btc updown 15m 1786273200	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x3f6c24…
08-09 10:50:22	btc updown 15m 1786272300	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9d1c0b…
08-05 17:13:32	btc updown 15m 1785949200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7487cb…
08-05 17:08:47	btc updown 15m 1785949200	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb8e2ce…
08-05 17:05:41	btc updown 15m 1785949200	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa62f57…
08-05 16:56:50	btc updown 15m 1785948300	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd2a188…
08-05 16:49:41	btc updown 15m 1785948300	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x2b3663…
08-05 16:36:14	btc updown 15m 1785947400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3b7931…
08-05 16:34:39	btc updown 15m 1785947400	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x59fb91…
08-05 16:33:18	btc updown 15m 1785947400	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x35b8d1…
08-05 16:20:11	btc updown 15m 1785946500	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5d5d92…
08-05 16:11:36	btc updown 15m 1785945600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfe5d04…
08-05 15:40:02	btc updown 15m 1785943800	Down	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0xcdfacc…
08-05 15:27:44	btc updown 15m 1785942900	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfcd35d…
08-05 15:06:39	btc updown 15m 1785942000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x36d0b7…
08-05 15:04:53	btc updown 15m 1785942000	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1f785b…
08-05 14:34:33	btc updown 15m 1785940200	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x949f21…
08-05 14:19:06	btc updown 15m 1785939300	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1baf5e…
08-05 14:05:12	btc updown 15m 1785938400	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9f9a15…
08-05 14:05:12	btc updown 15m 1785938400	Up	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x886f7d…
08-05 14:03:09	btc updown 15m 1785938400	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1b9962…
08-05 13:52:36	btc updown 15m 1785937500	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4ac27d…
08-05 13:38:26	btc updown 15m 1785936600	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xcbe25b…
08-05 13:38:24	btc updown 15m 1785936600	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xde5452…
08-05 13:38:24	btc updown 15m 1785936600	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x22118a…
08-05 13:35:57	btc updown 15m 1785936600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xce4676…
08-05 13:35:50	btc updown 15m 1785936600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf94376…
08-05 13:19:21	btc updown 15m 1785935700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x35cca9…
08-05 13:17:35	btc updown 15m 1785935700	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb79043…
08-05 13:07:06	btc updown 15m 1785934800	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9d08e7…
08-05 12:49:08	btc updown 15m 1785933900	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x593ba1…
08-05 12:37:51	btc updown 15m 1785933000	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x58fdaf…
08-05 12:37:48	btc updown 15m 1785933000	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xd67541…
08-05 12:36:17	btc updown 15m 1785933000	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7cd866…
08-05 11:22:56	btc updown 15m 1785928500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x69315b…
08-05 11:21:02	btc updown 15m 1785928500	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xae1e06…
08-05 11:04:32	btc updown 15m 1785927600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x135ee5…
08-05 11:02:14	btc updown 15m 1785927600	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x206f8b…
08-05 10:48:06	btc updown 15m 1785926700	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x2207ba…
08-05 10:39:57	btc updown 15m 1785925800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbeda7c…
08-05 10:33:20	btc updown 15m 1785925800	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3d7d21…
08-05 10:24:45	btc updown 15m 1785924900	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5baf13…
08-05 10:07:06	btc updown 15m 1785924000	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0cddda…
08-05 09:59:39	btc updown 15m 1785923100	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x08c613…
08-05 09:59:17	btc updown 15m 1785923100	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x35a3ef…
08-05 09:51:27	btc updown 15m 1785923100	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc0451a…
08-05 09:43:56	btc updown 15m 1785922200	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6d659b…
08-05 09:17:45	btc updown 15m 1785921300	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x048138…
08-05 09:06:02	btc updown 15m 1785920400	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe8b720…
08-05 08:38:05	btc updown 15m 1785918600	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdfaa99…
08-05 08:33:50	btc updown 15m 1785918600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b9d6d…
08-05 08:32:41	btc updown 15m 1785918600	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8c979a…
08-05 08:27:59	btc updown 15m 1785917700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7ef13a…