Realized P&L
+$208
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
54
Trades
9,856
lifetime
Volume
$40.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$36
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 07-20 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 36% $-46
Politics
2% 100% +$254
Other
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +46 $10 24¢ $11 +$1 07-17 19:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +133 $5 $6 +$1 07-14 17:01
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +173 $16 $5 $-11 07-14 14:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -45 $-2 11¢ $-5 $-3 07-18 05:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 26¢ $-4 $-2 07-04 07:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +28 $8 11¢ $3 $-6 07-10 13:23
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +133 $2 $2 $-0 07-14 16:17