Intrepid-Tugboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$102.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-29 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-1,115

Other

22% 0% $-8

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	45	$16.1K	15,935	15,435	+500	open	—	04-27 18:08
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$12.0K	9,078	9,078	+0	open	—	04-22 00:02
James Comey arrested by April 29?	14	$8.6K	12,061	4,685	+7,376	open	—	04-29 17:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$5.9K	5,754	3,018	+2,736	open	—	05-25 14:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$5.7K	3,051	3,050	+0	open	—	05-01 21:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$5.5K	6,432	6,432	+0	open	—	04-24 19:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$4.4K	4,019	4,019	+0	open	—	04-23 18:10
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$3.8K	2,187	2,187	+0	open	—	04-21 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$3.7K	2,629	2,629	+0	open	—	04-22 16:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$2.9K	3,337	3,335	+2	open	—	05-23 16:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$2.8K	1,960	1,960	+0	open	—	04-12 16:10
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	7	$2.6K	1,460	1,460	+0	open	—	04-09 14:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$2.6K	1,634	1,634	+0	open	—	04-07 23:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$2.5K	1,862	1,862	+0	open	—	04-15 18:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,651	1,651	+0	open	—	04-24 17:36
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	3	$1.9K	960	960	+0	open	—	01-04 17:33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,482	792	+690	open	—	01-23 21:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$1.3K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	3,299	1,983	+1,316	Yes	$-946	05-08 19:27
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$1.1K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	04-24 18:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-24 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.0K	1,176	3,364	-2,187	open	—	07-25 15:09
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	7	$857	1,309	1,299	+10	open	—	04-08 22:13
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	8	$798	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	04-16 15:39
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$777	9,597	8,486	+1,111	open	—	05-05 23:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$701	906	1,715	-809	open	—	05-24 01:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	3	$658	630	630	+0	open	—	06-13 18:36
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$559	3,217	0	+3,217	open	—	01-21 23:08
btc updown 5m 1775786100	2	$500	337	327	+10	open	—	04-10 01:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$412	324	324	+0	open	—	04-20 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:30:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,002	10¢	$100	0x6f227f…
07-29 12:19:35	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xe44fee…
07-27 15:16:01	btc updown 5m 1785165300	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x9509d8…
07-27 15:07:36	btc updown 5m 1785164700	Up	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xe68e7f…
07-27 14:59:18	btc updown 5m 1785164100	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x141e37…
07-27 14:53:01	btc updown 5m 1785163800	Down	SELL	624	31¢	$191	0xd98c01…
07-27 14:51:42	btc updown 5m 1785163800	Down	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x5e27f1…
07-27 14:40:21	btc updown 5m 1785162900	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xb3899c…
07-27 13:49:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x602033…
07-27 13:38:45	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97f5ce…
07-27 13:38:33	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0x28569c…
07-27 13:21:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	3¢	$4	0x333412…
07-27 13:20:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,069	5¢	$100	0xb06dbf…
07-25 15:09:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,364	25¢	$831	0xcea779…
06-19 19:09:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	322	62¢	$200	0x19d913…
06-16 21:37:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,289	7¢	$86	0xb3d821…
06-16 21:37:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0x96c9e5…
06-16 21:37:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x8dcde3…
06-13 18:36:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	630	51¢	$321	0x848698…
06-13 14:50:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	411	56¢	$230	0xa53111…
06-13 14:47:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$100	0xe66bea…
06-13 14:40:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	219	49¢	$107	0x55e8eb…
06-10 21:13:49	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	278	7¢	$20	0x67ef23…
05-31 19:06:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x55908e…
05-31 19:05:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe57055…
05-25 19:55:22	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	531	38¢	$200	0xc1c27d…
05-25 18:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x480b16…
05-25 18:32:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	36¢	$44	0x730f4a…
05-25 14:00:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,735	69¢	$1,900	0x684eb5…
05-25 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x46504c…
05-24 23:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd5ddfc…
05-24 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5e82b0…
05-24 23:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3866c5…
05-24 23:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x3507b0…
05-24 22:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	561	4¢	$25	0x35b1aa…
05-24 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	788	3¢	$25	0xc5c8a3…
05-24 21:49:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,421	2¢	$46	0xc3c3bb…
05-24 21:30:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xc819eb…
05-24 21:26:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9bff10…
05-24 21:25:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,016	75¢	$2,262	0xb6ccbd…
05-24 02:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,304	46¢	$600	0xa288e3…
05-24 01:22:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,715	35¢	$601	0xb1bd89…
05-23 20:45:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	906	11¢	$100	0xa08555…
05-23 16:05:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf51db4…
05-23 16:00:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,503	67¢	$1,010	0xefbdeb…
05-23 15:59:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	209	67¢	$140	0xef43e2…
05-23 15:42:13	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xf131b6…
05-23 15:34:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	204	55¢	$113	0x6e0e0b…
05-22 22:24:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x8a5166…
05-22 22:22:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	336	6¢	$20	0x9d3a39…
05-22 22:17:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb69e33…
05-22 22:09:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x3be3b8…
05-22 22:09:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	286	96¢	$275	0x5d47b5…
05-17 00:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x96775b…
05-17 00:15:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x9e32e0…
05-14 15:11:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4a46cf…
05-11 18:23:38	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	304	49¢	$149	0x800643…
05-08 19:27:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0x6aa3ed…
05-08 19:19:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,368	73¢	$1,000	0xb615da…
05-08 18:33:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa8d71a…
05-06 19:04:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5f80f…
05-06 16:58:43	FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$8	0x7b909e…
05-05 23:31:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$21	0xda2ff3…
05-05 23:26:22	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	304	66¢	$200	0xd216ca…
05-05 23:02:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6,097	0¢	$16	0xc0256c…
05-05 23:01:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	433	4¢	$17	0xa6db16…
05-05 22:58:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,888	13¢	$246	0xfec1c9…
05-05 19:08:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,941	7¢	$200	0xce6ae4…
05-05 18:41:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,149	5¢	$100	0x93a0a2…
05-05 18:24:40	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,462	4¢	$100	0xcb18e3…
05-05 16:15:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	500	11¢	$57	0xa3dccc…
05-05 14:54:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x1b35a5…
05-04 19:23:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,913	6¢	$116	0x5cb169…
05-04 17:25:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,898	5¢	$100	0x599e85…
05-04 15:02:18	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0xe96eee…
05-04 13:54:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x58026f…
05-04 13:42:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,521	50¢	$765	0xbd8429…
05-03 23:00:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0xd898f4…
05-03 23:00:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	124	42¢	$52	0x452e18…
05-03 22:39:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xdb0675…
05-03 22:39:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x2d61a4…
05-03 22:38:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,185	42¢	$500	0x2dcf33…
05-03 22:28:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,324	40¢	$531	0x1c6a04…
05-03 22:18:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,324	38¢	$500	0x619b3d…
05-03 19:53:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xddbe1c…
05-03 18:43:34	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcfd265…
05-03 18:37:14	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x58a02b…
05-03 16:23:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	133	12¢	$16	0xb19fe4…
05-02 15:28:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xd58c7c…
05-02 14:25:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	2¢	$4	0xf4f2be…
05-01 21:23:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	3,050	93¢	$2,841	0x5f90ef…
05-01 21:06:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0x0c165b…
05-01 21:04:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	2,977	94¢	$2,800	0x898878…
05-01 17:17:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xef6b03…
04-29 17:22:54	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	3,630	3¢	$100	0x2459a4…
04-29 17:20:32	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1,036	3¢	$30	0x1e73bc…
04-29 16:57:56	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1,004	26¢	$260	0x07868b…
04-29 16:48:02	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1,732	29¢	$500	0x1a04c8…
04-29 16:43:52	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	4,685	74¢	$3,459	0x8bbe22…
04-29 16:23:20	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x581281…