Realized P&L
+$117
Unrealized P&L
+$947
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
42
Trades
574
lifetime
Volume
$122.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
$16.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 08-18 12:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
79% 59% +$117
Politics
21% 46% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,794 $1,654 97¢ $1.7K +$85 08-18 10:42
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +1,457 $1,382 96¢ $1.4K +$17 08-18 11:39
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +1,427 $1,321 98¢ $1.4K +$72 08-18 10:20
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +1,468 $1,328 95¢ $1.4K +$63 08-18 11:34
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +1,137 $583 82¢ $933 +$350 08-16 22:25
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +1,029 $514 76¢ $787 +$273 08-16 22:59
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +781 $747 99¢ $774 +$27 08-17 09:10
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +885 $536 85¢ $752 +$216 08-17 08:28
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +974 $648 74¢ $716 +$68 08-17 09:21
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +868 $721 82¢ $707 -$14 08-17 22:49
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +833 $533 82¢ $679 +$146 08-17 10:04
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +634 $572 93¢ $588 +$16 08-18 10:33
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +555 $460 100¢ $553 +$93 08-18 10:02
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +1,023 $686 52¢ $527 -$159 08-16 22:32
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +1,023 $337 48¢ $496 +$159 08-16 22:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +435 $248 88¢ $383 +$135 08-17 08:40
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +401 $214 91¢ $365 +$151 08-17 09:22
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +377 $249 92¢ $345 +$96 08-17 09:19
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 No +389 $167 85¢ $331 +$163 08-17 08:29
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +402 $185 74¢ $295 +$110 08-17 09:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +371 $238 79¢ $293 +$56 08-17 09:32
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +974 $326 26¢ $258 -$68 08-17 09:21
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +1,029 $514 24¢ $242 -$273 08-16 22:59
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +1,137 $555 18¢ $205 -$350 08-16 22:24
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 Yes +868 $147 18¢ $161 +$14 08-17 22:49
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 Yes +833 $300 18¢ $154 -$146 08-17 10:04
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +885 $348 15¢ $133 -$216 08-17 08:28
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +159 $76 78¢ $125 +$48 08-15 13:30
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +402 $217 26¢ $106 -$110 08-17 09:41
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 Yes +1,976 $181 5¢ $104 -$77 08-18 11:34