Realized P&L
+$747
Unrealized P&L
+$941
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
7,086
Trades
54,005
lifetime
Volume
$224.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-23 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
92% 45% +$518
Politics
4% 50% +$192
Crypto
3% 44% +$49
Sports
1% 38% -$9
Tech
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1278 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +260 $109 90¢ $236 +$127 08-13 18:38
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +240 $149 83¢ $199 +$50 10-08 14:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +200 $124 98¢ $196 +$72 10-20 14:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +190 $83 98¢ $185 +$102 10-12 18:42
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +180 $72 99¢ $177 +$105 10-12 08:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +160 $117 99¢ $158 +$41 09-05 14:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +184 $108 82¢ $152 +$44 09-29 16:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $77 84¢ $118 +$40 10-10 11:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +140 $81 84¢ $117 +$36 09-06 09:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +111 $76 99¢ $110 +$34 10-21 22:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +156 $56 65¢ $101 +$45 10-20 16:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +120 $60 79¢ $94 +$34 09-21 17:02
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +90 $54 98¢ $89 +$35 08-20 23:26
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +90 $59 98¢ $88 +$29 09-29 19:14
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +90 $46 93¢ $84 +$37 08-27 07:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +79 $50 90¢ $71 +$22 10-22 00:56
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +70 $52 98¢ $69 +$17 10-05 19:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +70 $50 96¢ $67 +$17 09-15 17:54
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +87 $65 77¢ $67 +$2 09-28 11:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +90 $66 72¢ $65 -$1 09-28 14:43
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +65 $24 100¢ $64 +$41 09-18 21:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $46 96¢ $58 +$12 10-21 22:40
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +59 $51 96¢ $57 +$6 10-19 20:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $99 35¢ $53 -$46 10-20 15:12
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +51 $19 99¢ $51 +$33 10-04 22:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +50 $29 98¢ $49 +$20 10-08 00:33
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +50 $41 90¢ $45 +$4 09-21 14:47
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +56 $30 76¢ $43 +$13 10-14 19:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $80 17¢ $41 -$39 10-05 17:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +40 $28 96¢ $38 +$11 10-22 00:29