(anonymous) 0xe9f3c7…7fc28d
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
18
Trades
327
lifetime
Volume
$2.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$424
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-09 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
34% 88% $-5
Crypto
27% — —
Politics
25% 100% +$1
Sports
9% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +27 $25 96¢ $26 +$1 06-02 23:32
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +22 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 06-01 05:35
Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 05-31 13:28
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-05 22:55
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-03 14:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-01 22:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-01 14:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +20 $20 99¢ $20 $-0 06-02 23:29
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 $-0 06-08 23:59
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +29 $20 68¢ $20 $-0 06-08 23:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +20 $20 97¢ $20 $-0 06-02 23:30
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $-0 06-08 23:58
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 09:43
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-08 23:58
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-09 00:07
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 09:43
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-09 00:07
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-09 00:06
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +16 $10 62¢ $10 +$0 06-08 23:47
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 06-01 15:15
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-09 00:07
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-01 22:55
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-09 00:06
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $-0 06-08 23:53
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +15 $10 66¢ $10 $-0 06-08 23:54
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-09 00:05
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +12 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 06-08 23:49
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +14 $10 70¢ $10 $-0 06-08 23:54
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +14 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 06-08 23:57
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 05-28 09:43