Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$362

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-18 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-5

Politics

37% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes		+10	$2	22¢	$2	$-0	07-18 05:03
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+6	$1	16¢	$1	$-0	07-11 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	02-02 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-06 10:53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-13 00:54
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 24?	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	04-24 09:23
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-11 16:17
will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	03-12 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-20 08:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-10 00:27
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-08 16:04
will amzn reach 252 by july 6 2026	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	07-06 04:49
will leavitt say historic during the next white house press briefing 425	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	02-28 15:29
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-01 15:30
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$8	26	+26	open	—	02-28 07:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-01 07:29
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$8	19	+19	open	—	03-01 23:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	06-12 07:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	04-09 08:11
djia up or down on march 9 2026	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	03-06 19:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	04-28 00:12
wti up or down on april 22 2026	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	04-22 09:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-13 03:05
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	04-21 08:45
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-07 23:51
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	03-03 09:44
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	03-04 01:47
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$6	13	+13	open	—	04-23 09:20
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$6	14	+14	open	—	03-12 08:32
trump approval up or down this week 857	1	$5	13	+13	open	—	03-14 01:05
will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	03-06 02:14
coin up or down on march 5 2026	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-04 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 05:03:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0fa39e…
07-17 05:02:39	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x850707…
07-16 05:02:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb21292…
07-12 05:01:35	will world cup be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957175	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3d2729…
07-11 17:01:08	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x30f869…
07-07 04:50:32	xauusd up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x6e271f…
07-06 04:49:23	will amzn reach 252 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x182c46…
06-23 22:20:49	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x642cb3…
06-16 14:54:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xbd90f6…
06-15 17:40:12	will warsh say inflation 50 times during june press conference 20260608181156646	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0ccc55…
06-13 04:20:06	will warsh say asymmetric during june press conference 20260608181156671	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x20cb29…
06-12 07:13:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x37d66f…
06-11 10:06:45	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x740cc8…
05-28 00:48:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x918ca0…
05-27 16:47:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5bcba1…
05-14 01:40:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xc077a2…
05-13 03:05:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x8aa434…
04-28 10:37:06	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1e4215…
04-28 00:12:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe131d4…
04-27 09:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xba77b0…
04-26 17:40:38	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7f9b97…
04-26 01:34:00	Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0xdfe1cd…
04-25 01:24:52	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x190ad4…
04-24 09:23:56	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x6843ab…
04-23 09:20:46	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x4a89a2…
04-23 01:20:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7ab272…
04-22 17:16:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc396b3…
04-22 09:15:18	wti up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x004f68…
04-22 01:03:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x117352…
04-21 17:01:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc8e105…
04-21 08:45:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x8d98d1…
04-21 00:44:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xeabec8…
04-20 16:43:32	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xf77a37…
04-20 08:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x971580…
04-11 18:35:49	will abnb dip to 118 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe3aaf7…
04-10 08:41:41	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0xcb9171…
04-10 00:27:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x42120c…
04-09 16:14:51	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x7e1c6f…
04-09 08:11:15	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xbe0f24…
04-08 16:04:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xca748e…
04-08 07:57:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5f44d7…
04-07 23:51:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9ad3be…
04-07 15:45:13	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe7ca6e…
03-17 22:49:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0063f2…
03-16 10:48:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x68f244…
03-15 22:33:53	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9396ee…
03-15 14:11:37	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xffdacc…
03-15 05:31:53	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x80a50a…
03-14 10:12:07	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd7917a…
03-14 01:05:15	trump approval up or down this week 857	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x830812…
03-13 09:40:47	andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x23f185…
03-13 00:54:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xa23bab…
03-12 16:54:07	will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x325261…
03-12 08:32:15	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x343740…
03-12 00:25:09	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x78e658…
03-11 16:17:59	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x216b67…
03-11 08:15:09	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x3938f0…
03-07 03:11:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x208aae…
03-06 19:06:51	djia up or down on march 9 2026	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x2b2e15…
03-06 10:53:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xe308dc…
03-06 02:14:05	will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x521801…
03-05 18:12:19	ndx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x80faf1…
03-05 10:02:03	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2fec08…
03-05 01:55:11	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa37821…
03-04 17:52:07	coin up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d1ee0…
03-04 09:49:53	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcdd731…
03-04 01:47:31	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xadeaaa…
03-03 17:46:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa95e3e…
03-03 09:44:47	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf7fab4…
03-01 23:30:59	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x0e5312…
03-01 15:30:53	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x432b31…
03-01 07:29:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8fd69c…
02-28 15:29:13	will leavitt say historic during the next white house press briefing 425	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x6d8754…
02-28 07:29:05	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x628849…
02-02 21:02:30	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x3a4fa1…