Realized P&L (7d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved (7d)
36
Trades (7d)
91
1,351 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$127
$3.40K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$54
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 11-12 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 31% -$208
Other
40% 69% +$8
Politics
6% 47% -$16
Sports
4% 41% +$13
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 09-21 12:25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? No +10 $7 62¢ $6 -$1 10-29 07:18
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +7 $6 87¢ $6 +$0 11-08 04:47
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 11-08 04:48
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +4 $3 87¢ $3 +$0 11-08 04:54
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) Uroš Medic +5 $3 58¢ $3 $0 11-12 06:30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $2 $0 11-04 16:28
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +6 $2 23¢ $1 -$1 11-08 04:58
Will PARIVISION win 1win Essence III? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 11-07 13:49
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 11-10 10:59
Will the Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes +17 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 11-08 04:56
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 11-11 16:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 11-09 16:51
Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 11-08 04:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 11-08 05:00
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 11-07 13:51
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 11-11 16:23
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 $0 11-08 04:55
Will Montenegro win 2026-27 Nations League Group C2? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-07 18:46
Stevenage FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 0.5 Over +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 11-12 06:32
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 11-08 04:58
Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 11-07 13:54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +16 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-08 18:12
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-06? Yes +1 $1 58¢ $1 $0 11-07 13:51
Will the Golden State Warriors be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes +13 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-08 04:55
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $0 11-08 04:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +13 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-07 13:56
Will Belarus win 2026-27 Nations League Group C1? Yes +2 $1 27¢ $1 $0 10-07 18:45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11? No +1 $1 36¢ $0 -$1 11-10 19:19
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? Yes +7 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-12 06:31