Deficient-Artist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

103

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$394

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-08 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 30% -$81

Other

25% 32% -$9

Politics

7% 11% -$16

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No		+14	$10	98¢	$13	+$3	05-11 08:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$2	05-11 07:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-11 07:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	3	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	03-27 10:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:20 UTC	2	$13	62	0	+62	Up	-$1	03-27 10:23
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 07:47
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 07:49
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	63	0	+63	No	-$10	04-12 22:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-11 08:12
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	-$10	05-19 22:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-11 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	Down	-$4	05-17 20:22
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:25 UTC	3	$9	14	5	+9	Up	+$4	03-26 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:15 UTC	2	$9	12	0	+12	Down	+$3	03-26 15:18
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	2	$7	303	0	+303	Down	-$7	03-27 10:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:30 UTC	3	$6	18	2	+15	Up	-$2	03-26 14:34
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$6	11	0	+11	Yes	+$5	05-19 22:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	05-19 21:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:50 UTC	1	$6	9	0	+9	Up	-$6	03-26 12:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$5	17	17	+0	No	-$5	04-12 19:48
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Down	-$5	05-11 13:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	95	0	+95	Down	-$5	05-17 20:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:55 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	03-26 15:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:55 UTC	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	-$5	03-27 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Down	-$5	05-17 20:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	03-27 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	05-17 20:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-17 20:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:40 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	03-26 12:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-17 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	-$5	05-18 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:02:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x4d5bed…
05-31 19:36:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x4ce223…
05-30 07:08:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbfc6fb…
05-30 07:08:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x781cbe…
05-30 07:05:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x52a99f…
05-19 22:09:28	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe698dc…
05-19 22:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x58b42d…
05-19 22:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdf30f7…
05-19 22:03:27	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0f772b…
05-19 21:58:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8666b1…
05-18 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x809d10…
05-18 13:55:55	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd3ed0b…
05-17 20:39:41	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5a9b21…
05-17 20:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3ebbfd…
05-17 20:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcb8fcb…
05-17 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3a0191…
05-17 20:12:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x92948c…
05-17 20:12:25	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x254640…
05-17 20:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8662ac…
05-17 20:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xbfa505…
05-17 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa6777c…
05-11 13:56:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x966392…
05-11 13:49:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1bb4dd…
05-11 08:19:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf362cd…
05-11 08:18:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xca6fa9…
05-11 08:18:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xe91d13…
05-11 08:17:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x5424e3…
05-11 08:17:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2837f8…
05-11 08:17:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x349915…
05-11 08:16:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6a07c5…
05-11 08:15:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xca6240…
05-11 08:12:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb8086a…
05-11 08:08:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xce5ed2…
05-11 08:06:04	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc31a56…
05-11 08:02:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3e674e…
05-11 07:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x67de78…
05-11 07:58:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x00224a…
04-28 15:03:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x32631b…
04-28 15:02:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6b25ab…
04-28 15:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xcae68f…
04-14 07:49:49	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x1291df…
04-14 07:47:01	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x15c4ef…
04-12 22:22:35	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x6f16e2…
04-12 22:22:27	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x374830…
04-12 19:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x03b029…
04-12 19:52:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x95e403…
04-12 19:49:35	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce5891…
04-12 19:48:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x85bd9e…
04-12 19:48:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xfe06ed…
04-11 21:50:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72b760…
04-11 15:58:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x246f79…
04-11 15:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8e8c47…
04-10 11:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7314fe…
04-10 09:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdab18b…
04-10 09:48:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xecce9b…
04-10 09:46:33	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xac45d0…
04-10 09:44:41	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbd752e…
04-10 09:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x150404…
04-10 09:29:29	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x75c8e4…
04-04 21:13:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa71481…
04-01 13:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x079b85…
04-01 13:40:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaf3ee1…
04-01 13:40:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2bf66f…
03-27 21:21:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd3bf5d…
03-27 12:07:43	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd45809…
03-27 10:59:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x1fa753…
03-27 10:59:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xafb9fe…
03-27 10:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ad963…
03-27 10:51:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb1d21a…
03-27 10:50:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6dfbe3…
03-27 10:49:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5eaf03…
03-27 10:49:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x158af2…
03-27 10:43:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1f3e87…
03-27 10:43:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x586c65…
03-27 10:42:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3b8a8d…
03-27 10:23:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2de0ce…
03-27 10:23:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6fca71…
03-27 10:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae1bb5…
03-27 10:18:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1474ce…
03-27 10:10:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f83ad…
03-27 10:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda0c05…
03-27 09:32:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0b949b…
03-27 09:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xee21c2…
03-27 09:29:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x11b83d…
03-27 09:29:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3e9b42…
03-27 09:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x086631…
03-27 09:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcbffe4…
03-27 09:28:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29ca7e…
03-27 09:27:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1416f3…
03-27 08:12:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x879144…
03-27 08:12:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd69092…
03-27 08:10:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf3b2b3…
03-27 08:10:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf6f871…
03-27 08:09:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x509311…
03-27 08:08:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x83af55…
03-27 08:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x643b64…
03-27 07:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x36db87…
03-26 16:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb41084…
03-26 16:01:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x926712…
03-26 15:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x15399a…