Ringed-Heel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

398

Trades

1,022

lifetime

Volume

$139.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-06 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 70% -$4,645

Politics

12% 32% +$1,261

Other

11% 53% -$6,005

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$11.3K	265,231	265,231	+0	No	-$5,568	03-22 20:04
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$5.8K	3,652	3,652	+0	No	+$95	03-23 09:17
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	9	$5.1K	2,888	2,888	+0	No	+$288	02-23 05:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	7	$4.4K	2,842	2,842	+0	Yes	+$1,256	02-06 02:18
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	7	$4.0K	5,242	4,919	+323	Yes	-$1,914	03-27 22:59
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	10	$3.8K	6,356	6,356	+0	Yes	+$1,027	05-06 00:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$3.6K	2,937	2,937	+0	Yes	+$2,260	02-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 17:45 UTC	2	$3.0K	1,526	1,525	+0	Down	+$29	02-16 17:52
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	8	$2.6K	1,699	1,699	+0	Yes	+$776	02-05 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,601	1,233	+368	Up	-$76	02-16 18:07
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	8	$2.4K	2,095	2,095	+0	$80k	-$579	03-19 09:20
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	11	$2.3K	4,388	4,388	+0	No	-$633	02-24 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	7	$2.3K	8,344	8,344	+0	No	-$1,050	02-20 16:25
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,468	1,468	+0	Yes	+$686	02-28 08:47
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	7	$2.1K	10,117	10,117	+0	No	-$1,367	02-16 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:25 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	Down	+$40	02-16 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:20 UTC	2	$1.9K	976	974	+1	Up	+$81	02-16 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:15 UTC	3	$1.7K	897	894	+3	Up	+$97	02-16 14:22
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	7	$1.5K	811	811	+0	Yes	+$104	02-05 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 10:10 UTC	4	$1.5K	854	848	+5	Down	+$95	02-16 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$1.4K	951	951	+0	No	+$192	07-06 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:55 UTC	4	$1.3K	750	745	+5	Up	+$149	02-16 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:40 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,318	0	+1,318	Down	+$239	02-16 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:30 UTC	4	$1.1K	574	572	+2	Up	+$69	02-16 14:35
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$1.0K	4,878	385	+4,494	No	-$349	02-21 02:48
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$1	02-17 21:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 06:40 UTC	3	$1.0K	516	516	+0	Up	+$22	03-02 06:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 06:35 UTC	2	$973	494	494	+0	Down	+$6	03-02 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:50 UTC	2	$971	520	518	+1	Up	+$56	02-16 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:40 UTC	2	$950	480	480	+0	Down	+$0	02-16 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 07:33:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	249	84¢	$210	0x5ea10f…
07-06 07:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	249	80¢	$200	0x758bc8…
07-06 06:59:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe3583a…
07-06 06:54:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	951	85¢	$808	0xcbe2db…
06-24 12:43:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x76f9f8…
06-24 12:33:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14,173	2¢	$225	0x74ed9a…
06-24 12:25:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8,406	2¢	$133	0xd36d23…
06-24 12:23:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	143	98¢	$139	0x12bd5c…
06-12 05:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	420	56¢	$235	0xd4c049…
06-11 03:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	275	75¢	$206	0x49cc80…
06-11 03:15:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0xe3b332…
06-10 05:29:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	143	91¢	$130	0x66181f…
06-10 05:28:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	149	87¢	$130	0x20a934…
06-08 07:19:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf9e053…
06-08 06:04:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6528e1…
06-08 05:37:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x64a7d0…
06-08 05:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x99d5a4…
06-08 04:09:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x3e79ec…
06-07 05:10:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x804fb3…
06-07 05:10:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0xe2d288…
06-07 05:02:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x163d2f…
06-04 14:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x8950ee…
06-03 13:03:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8106ae…
06-03 13:02:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xbd08b1…
06-03 13:01:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x3f3173…
06-03 13:00:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xee5fcb…
05-07 19:21:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x7b7a0f…
05-07 19:15:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa32a9d…
05-07 12:47:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	23¢	$60	0xe81a11…
05-07 12:46:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	187	33¢	$62	0x145843…
05-07 12:44:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	23¢	$60	0x71ebe6…
05-07 12:44:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x2cd95a…
05-07 12:44:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	79	79¢	$63	0x513ecb…
05-07 00:53:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	149	87¢	$130	0x68ff6a…
05-07 00:44:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x61002f…
05-07 00:44:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	317	51¢	$162	0x736c1a…
05-07 00:44:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,756	16¢	$600	0xea4c02…
05-07 00:43:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	366	71¢	$260	0x7abbd1…
05-07 00:43:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	106	84¢	$89	0x22f64e…
05-06 01:32:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	107	65¢	$70	0xabeff5…
05-06 01:31:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x2fa267…
05-06 01:26:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xb9a5b1…
05-06 00:17:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xd506b4…
05-06 00:14:20	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	161	80¢	$129	0x93003a…
05-06 00:13:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xf72897…
05-06 00:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf41e7e…
05-06 00:12:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x12318b…
05-06 00:12:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xbeebed…
04-26 20:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2f9ace…
04-23 23:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xd3175c…
04-21 15:56:12	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x37a79d…
04-08 20:55:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	134	52¢	$70	0x404a4b…
04-08 20:42:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x860f23…
04-08 20:36:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x7dd661…
04-08 20:34:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x86cc4c…
04-08 20:33:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x940dbd…
04-08 20:30:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x1cff3d…
04-08 20:29:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x5427c0…
04-08 20:29:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x14f8bd…
04-08 20:24:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99ecca…
04-08 20:23:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x3b6607…
04-08 20:22:37	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	763	49¢	$375	0xa36281…
04-08 20:21:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	214	75¢	$160	0x22c9ac…
04-08 10:01:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	383	42¢	$161	0x2b5809…
04-08 10:00:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x18e130…
04-07 23:59:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	214	41¢	$87	0x618f4b…
04-02 05:58:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x96eff7…
04-02 05:58:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x6774cd…
04-02 05:58:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x6472e8…
04-02 05:55:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x214d11…
04-02 05:55:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb0fc98…
04-02 05:55:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfd08c3…
03-30 05:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x606688…
03-28 01:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa089c7…
03-27 23:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x05c33d…
03-27 23:03:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9b570a…
03-27 23:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6d9888…
03-27 23:01:27	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$1	0x92c23e…
03-27 22:59:41	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x102447…
03-27 22:59:37	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa1e45c…
03-27 22:59:31	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x24c966…
03-27 22:59:27	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x78db18…
03-27 22:59:27	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5acbf9…
03-27 22:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x242be0…
03-27 11:30:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xe7e80e…
03-27 11:22:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5ea408…
03-27 11:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd7bad0…
03-27 11:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$104	0x35fe6d…
03-27 11:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x50c26d…
03-27 10:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	469	99¢	$464	0x532e1f…
03-27 10:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfb1f1e…
03-27 10:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x295c4c…
03-27 06:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2fe1b5…
03-27 04:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa349cd…
03-27 04:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x916607…
03-27 04:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x511a0a…
03-27 03:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x75b523…
03-27 03:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe565d9…
03-26 00:13:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd3f1fd…
03-25 21:59:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa04db0…