Quarrelsome-Nucleotidase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

284

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$8.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-23 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

93% 67% +$33

Sports

5% 82% +$66

Crypto

1% 50% -$17

Politics

1% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		+23	$20	95¢	$22	+$2	09-14 03:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-18	-$2	6¢	$-1	+$1	07-25 15:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	4	$381	235	235	+0	No	-$19	03-31 14:45
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	1	$300	337	0	+337	No	+$37	03-22 10:49
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	2	$300	308	0	+308	No	+$8	03-28 02:06
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	6	$277	286	286	+0	No	-$103	04-03 08:19
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	2	$210	111	111	+0	Yes	+$10	03-30 15:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$10	04-01 15:36
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	2	$201	224	222	+1	Yes	-$199	04-01 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	1	$200	212	0	+212	No	+$12	03-26 01:45
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	03-25 07:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	1	$200	214	0	+214	No	+$14	03-27 01:39
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	03-25 06:35
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	1	$200	211	0	+211	No	+$11	03-31 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	2	$200	210	0	+210	No	+$10	03-20 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	11	$115	429	429	+0	No	+$15	09-19 13:19
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	3	$107	133	29	+104	No	+$0	03-24 11:45
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	2	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 02:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$85	46	46	+0	No	+$5	05-08 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$78	44	44	+0	No	-$2	05-12 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	5	$71	230	230	+0	Yes	+$11	09-18 11:15
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	3	$66	123	67	+56	No	+$2	03-26 14:47
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	3	$65	111	71	+39	No	+$14	03-27 13:14
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	3	$59	124	100	+24	No	-$21	03-18 03:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	5	$55	65	65	+0	No	+$15	09-22 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	6	$55	67	67	+0	Yes	+$13	09-14 12:44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	8	$53	273	78	+195	No	-$17	09-23 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$52	82	63	+19	No	+$10	09-18 14:41
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$51	32	32	+0	Yes	+$11	04-24 03:27
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	1	$50	54	0	+54	Yes	+$4	03-15 08:25
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	03-28 02:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	04-06 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 00:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf7919d…
10-22 08:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa015b0…
10-21 14:50:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x759947…
10-21 14:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x21693e…
10-21 03:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x00351a…
10-20 02:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x11b280…
10-20 02:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb42c62…
10-19 13:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x3a72d8…
10-19 07:51:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0c0c92…
10-19 07:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xe79991…
10-19 00:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x228e08…
10-17 11:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0xd54f98…
10-17 03:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcab2cd…
10-17 02:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x6641f6…
10-17 02:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xc295b0…
10-16 00:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xefbee8…
10-14 05:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	77¢	$14	0xe5fdfd…
10-14 05:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x277139…
10-14 05:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xf9e3bf…
10-14 03:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe42701…
10-14 02:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4078a4…
10-14 00:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x99bcb9…
10-13 13:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x9b4c5f…
10-13 10:40:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc9ba56…
10-13 03:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	19¢	$16	0x3e3cb6…
10-13 02:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x121c8b…
10-12 22:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9ce95b…
10-12 22:39:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0x0336d2…
10-12 06:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x9cc6f7…
10-12 06:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	8¢	$12	0x609682…
10-12 04:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x70e33b…
10-10 23:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x2cd953…
10-10 14:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0xfc00df…
10-10 13:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdd5a04…
10-10 13:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x2ac322…
10-10 01:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0x75c061…
10-10 00:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x1ed8b8…
10-09 22:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x1c74b4…
10-09 11:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0x04b792…
10-09 11:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x9e03f5…
10-09 00:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb81df9…
10-09 00:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x67dd08…
10-09 00:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfa0cc3…
10-09 00:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x34e4b3…
10-08 23:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xd9ba8f…
10-08 23:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xa91c8f…
10-08 23:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xf4ee2a…
10-08 23:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xdf4fb7…
10-08 16:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xd6936d…
10-08 13:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x6781a3…
10-08 13:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x61461d…
10-08 10:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0xd1ad49…
10-08 06:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$2	0xad379d…
10-08 05:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xce1c21…
10-08 05:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x9c9d5b…
10-08 05:26:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xcbf968…
10-08 05:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	9¢	$6	0x2bddf9…
10-08 05:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x123f41…
10-08 05:21:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x32961b…
10-08 00:22:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9c0e34…
10-07 15:09:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0xb66b9e…
10-07 10:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x610c2d…
10-07 10:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x732ec3…
10-07 02:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x73c3bd…
10-07 02:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc03582…
10-06 08:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xe0c92c…
10-06 08:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x0f24be…
10-06 08:51:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xff9b3b…
10-06 01:47:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x12266a…
10-05 23:25:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4651f9…
10-05 14:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x59deca…
10-05 14:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0xc88bd8…
10-05 03:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x482eb1…
10-05 03:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x173d9f…
10-05 03:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9736fc…
10-05 00:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x7c9dd0…
10-05 00:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xa865e7…
10-04 16:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0x6a2681…
10-04 15:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$9	0xb8ec73…
10-04 13:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xc52fb8…
10-03 23:21:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x85241c…
10-03 14:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xddc149…
10-03 14:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x890b7a…
10-03 14:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	1¢	$2	0xcb94ab…
10-03 09:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2b3674…
10-03 05:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x7479e3…
10-02 10:10:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7d2b53…
10-01 08:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8db8e9…
10-01 08:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xf72158…
10-01 08:12:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	32¢	$19	0x885d3a…
10-01 08:11:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0xf9425d…
09-30 03:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0x20ef2d…
09-29 09:13:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xc8d2a1…
09-29 03:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x55afb0…
09-29 02:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x331a79…
09-29 02:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x99597e…
09-28 03:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0x4fceba…
09-28 03:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x7cf549…
09-27 09:45:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xa50a69…
09-26 23:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdaac1e…