Celebrated-Snowmobiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.7%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-02 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Sports

40% 17% -$45

Other

35% 44% -$27

Politics

24% 50% +$3

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	11	$201	165	165	+0	No	-$10	04-26 13:43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$82	136	136	+0	Yes	-$11	06-01 09:55
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$59	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	05-29 03:30
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	5	$57	43	43	+0	Yes	$0	04-23 22:05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$53	38	38	+0	Yes	-$1	05-25 03:44
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	4	$48	72	48	+25	Yes	-$12	05-24 13:55
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$47	33	33	+0	No	+$1	06-01 10:06
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$46	32	32	+0	No	-$1	05-25 03:44
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	5	$45	52	0	+52	No	+$7	05-24 13:56
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-23 11:31
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	5	$37	40	21	+19	Yes	-$12	05-29 15:48
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	$0	05-23 11:31
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$33	1,680	13	+1,667	No	-$7	05-24 20:58
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$31	21	21	+0	Yes	+$8	05-21 06:40
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$7	05-21 06:40
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	4	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	-$10	05-24 01:34
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	6	$30	30	30	+0	cancelled	$0	06-04 13:47
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	6	$30	30	30	+0	cancelled	$0	06-04 13:36
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	3	$29	41	25	+16	No	+$6	05-23 19:20
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	6	$29	44	44	+0	No	-$1	06-06 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	3	$27	20	20	+0	No	+$7	06-29 01:42
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$20	143	0	+143	Yes	-$20	05-23 16:15
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-01 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	-$1	07-01 04:06
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-22 19:07
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-23 11:32
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-23 11:32
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-23 11:32
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?	2	$10	8	8	+0	No	+$3	06-30 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 13:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x56dc04…
07-02 03:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x02c5a4…
07-02 03:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xa9835b…
07-01 13:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x1a687b…
07-01 13:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 3?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4ec3a8…
07-01 10:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xb4831b…
07-01 10:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8f8d6c…
07-01 10:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x98af03…
07-01 10:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xad690a…
07-01 10:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xdf3ea0…
07-01 06:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe24e29…
07-01 05:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x8ecd14…
07-01 05:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x35f6d0…
07-01 04:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4e81c6…
07-01 04:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x9639e5…
07-01 00:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x786c9d…
06-30 23:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 2?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x1d6380…
06-30 22:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xc76051…
06-30 22:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe8476e…
06-30 20:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xbbb6aa…
06-30 20:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xe1c5cf…
06-30 17:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x7506d7…
06-30 17:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2f6251…
06-30 17:05:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xac2299…
06-30 15:50:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x8dd54f…
06-30 10:41:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	No	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0xef6ef4…
06-30 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	45	8¢	$3	0x7b590d…
06-30 09:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xc75d84…
06-30 08:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x8ab7a5…
06-30 08:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xeb6ec7…
06-30 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb6a5ac…
06-30 08:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x933ff2…
06-30 08:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x685714…
06-30 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x8a358e…
06-29 08:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x68de18…
06-29 07:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x38ecb7…
06-29 04:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xede2e0…
06-29 04:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xa48f3d…
06-29 04:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x9a5081…
06-29 04:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc52cbc…
06-29 02:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa59e51…
06-29 01:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x823fdd…
06-28 15:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe794db…
06-28 15:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf7aecc…
06-28 15:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x1f11ee…
06-28 15:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 29?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9fae1d…
06-28 15:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xbdc1d9…
06-28 14:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3a467c…
06-28 14:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2,967	0¢	$5	0x33df13…
06-28 14:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x209abb…
06-06 18:27:27	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf3a8b4…
06-04 17:16:52	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2c65cd…
06-04 17:16:39	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xe6c899…
06-04 16:55:57	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5e4538…
06-04 13:47:51	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x588cd2…
06-04 13:40:15	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x315fce…
06-04 13:38:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x594f2b…
06-04 13:36:30	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x878913…
06-03 18:32:09	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e6b34…
06-03 18:20:46	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x112e50…
06-03 18:20:45	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0e74e0…
06-03 18:17:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x7609d4…
06-03 18:16:58	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x546a2d…
06-03 18:16:57	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x393ec4…
06-03 18:02:54	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x013b74…
06-02 13:52:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc61148…
06-02 13:49:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xaf5837…
06-02 13:49:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc938c0…
06-02 13:49:16	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6644d0…
06-02 13:37:43	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x851c3a…
06-02 13:37:31	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf923c…
06-02 13:37:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08af7f…
06-01 10:06:44	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x39f60c…
06-01 10:06:30	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x3f07ec…
06-01 09:55:37	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x66a112…
06-01 09:55:23	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0x3e179a…
05-29 15:48:33	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x91b00f…
05-29 15:48:24	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x16eac4…
05-29 04:43:26	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x05d663…
05-29 04:43:22	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf73a60…
05-29 04:43:21	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbaffc0…
05-29 03:30:55	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xbb7437…
05-29 03:30:43	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x8d6f65…
05-29 03:30:34	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xbc7431…
05-29 03:30:24	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x918844…
05-26 15:40:40	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1140f0…
05-26 15:40:38	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf191f0…
05-26 15:40:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6bf4bf…
05-26 15:40:17	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	47	29¢	$14	0x9eb0a4…
05-26 08:33:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xd0769c…
05-26 04:29:40	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5c3769…
05-26 04:29:38	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbca192…
05-26 04:29:36	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3f51b4…
05-26 04:29:36	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3d7be5…
05-25 03:44:14	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x900b63…
05-25 03:44:07	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x72a924…
05-25 03:43:58	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x22a2d7…
05-25 03:41:19	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfdf718…
05-25 03:41:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x23d9c9…
05-25 03:41:08	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8de005…