Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$71

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved (7d)

113

Trades (7d)

450

779 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.22K

$2.02K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$46

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 11-01 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

61% 47% -$19

Politics

21% 65% +$5

Sports

10% 47% -$6

Tech

4% 100% +$16

Crypto

4% 50% +$19

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+35	$23	56¢	$19	-$3	10-31 10:09
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+7	$2	97¢	$7	+$5	10-25 10:29
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+17	$6	40¢	$7	+$1	10-30 23:16
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+25	$6	24¢	$6	+$0	10-31 10:09
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+10	$6	60¢	$6	+$0	11-01 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$73	70	70	+0	No	+$4	10-25 22:25
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	22	$61	60	50	+10	No	+$13	10-23 04:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	18	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$6	10-28 10:26
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	5	$44	106	0	+106	No	+$61	10-30 19:55
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	16	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-29 00:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$38	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	10-25 23:10
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?	5	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$3	10-25 11:16
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	3	$32	30	25	+5	open	—	11-01 13:58
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	10-31 21:33
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 1?	2	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	11-01 06:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	22	$30	55	50	+5	Yes	-$3	10-29 19:06
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	4	$28	18	16	+2	No	+$0	10-27 18:31
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	12	$27	45	45	+0	open	—	10-31 21:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	2	$23	35	0	+35	open	—	10-31 10:09
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1?	1	$22	25	0	+25	Yes	+$3	11-01 05:33
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	7	$20	40	7	+33	open	—	10-31 05:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	6	$20	20	10	+10	No	+$4	10-28 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	5	$19	25	10	+15	No	+$5	10-30 05:59
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	6	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	10-29 04:52
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$19	15	15	+0	No	+$6	10-27 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	3	$18	20	10	+10	Yes	-$7	10-26 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	3	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-27 22:30
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$17	25	0	+25	No	+$8	10-22 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	5	$16	16	5	+11	No	+$4	10-25 07:18
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 05:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	8	$15	35	5	+30	Yes	+$18	10-26 01:05
Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	4	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	10-29 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	6	$15	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	10-24 10:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	4	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	10-30 08:08
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	4	$14	20	0	+20	No	-$14	10-30 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:30:33	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb5387c…
11-01 15:03:42	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfdcdd4…
11-01 13:58:46	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x48a6ef…
11-01 13:58:25	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2b82a0…
11-01 10:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x38b40b…
11-01 09:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa099f5…
11-01 08:03:31	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc81373…
11-01 06:22:07	will ethereum reach 2350 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x643cad…
11-01 06:22:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x481d42…
11-01 06:22:06	will ethereum reach 2350 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xdfa68e…
11-01 06:22:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x4dbf87…
11-01 05:33:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x5f7748…
11-01 04:51:52	Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x2d676b…
11-01 04:40:33	Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x13afec…
11-01 04:22:48	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x2b8db8…
11-01 03:16:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x014000…
11-01 03:06:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x048b7f…
11-01 02:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x18f2cd…
11-01 02:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7c1593…
11-01 01:46:48	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xa43047…
11-01 01:46:42	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x7f7619…
11-01 01:46:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xa273c7…
11-01 01:46:37	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xd2cfac…
11-01 00:32:13	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xe7d779…
11-01 00:32:13	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x8f99f3…
11-01 00:31:57	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x57fb1f…
11-01 00:31:57	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x543c5c…
10-31 23:22:37	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x17767a…
10-31 23:04:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x872941…
10-31 21:33:49	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeaeb51…
10-31 21:33:49	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdfc52e…
10-31 21:33:49	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3877cd…
10-31 21:33:49	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ff69e…
10-31 21:08:16	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x57e25e…
10-31 21:08:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x34886c…
10-31 19:32:16	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x47479d…
10-31 19:31:58	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x065ee8…
10-31 19:31:57	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x99e303…
10-31 19:31:54	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xfcfe82…
10-31 19:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5b52a6…
10-31 16:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x591636…
10-31 11:40:42	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x5ad92e…
10-31 10:09:25	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xee5c6b…
10-31 10:09:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xe232f6…
10-31 09:36:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $270 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3e6c37…
10-31 09:16:19	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xb778d0…
10-31 08:47:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc4b831…
10-31 07:52:07	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb996c0…
10-31 07:52:07	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x849c5f…
10-31 07:52:07	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x221417…
10-31 07:52:01	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xfbb461…
10-31 07:50:48	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf87521…
10-31 06:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x50548d…
10-31 06:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x207c91…
10-31 05:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x2642f3…
10-31 05:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x698841…
10-31 05:13:21	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x0c5857…
10-31 05:13:19	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x8e279d…
10-31 05:13:00	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf5b682…
10-31 05:13:00	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xe5d209…
10-31 05:13:00	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x836913…
10-31 05:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf52dae…
10-31 05:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x14da95…
10-31 04:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x047192…
10-31 02:52:21	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x978d65…
10-31 00:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9876a5…
10-30 23:16:01	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xc52b9d…
10-30 22:00:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x724463…
10-30 22:00:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x941fee…
10-30 22:00:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7cb8d7…
10-30 22:00:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xf382d8…
10-30 19:55:10	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x51952f…
10-30 19:55:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x2514a7…
10-30 19:55:09	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xc92db1…
10-30 19:55:09	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xbedb33…
10-30 19:55:07	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x61cf85…
10-30 19:55:07	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x5c4c5c…
10-30 18:19:58	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa11644…
10-30 15:51:18	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xb4d0ab…
10-30 15:26:15	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbf91bd…
10-30 13:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0fdd21…
10-30 13:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x137844…
10-30 11:02:10	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xba6931…
10-30 10:01:13	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x984870…
10-30 10:01:13	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8c23b8…
10-30 09:12:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x6919a2…
10-30 08:08:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf486f9…
10-30 08:08:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xabb8d0…
10-30 08:08:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xde8422…
10-30 07:57:28	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5ab492…
10-30 07:57:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x95d4d5…
10-30 07:57:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x643346…
10-30 07:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6d7e6a…
10-30 05:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xa7f837…
10-30 05:57:00	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xab7cba…
10-30 05:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x2581a0…
10-30 05:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xd5689b…
10-30 05:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60c8b8…
10-30 05:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x1da638…
10-30 05:28:33	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe55fa6…