Realized P&L
-$149
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
358
Trades
1,244
lifetime
Volume
$6.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$254
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 11-15 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
55% 45% -$139
Politics
25% 52% -$51
Crypto
9% 44% +$11
Tech
7% 100% +$37
Sports
3% 47% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more? No +56 $54 99¢ $55 +$2 11-06 21:19
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026? Yes +45 $40 98¢ $44 +$3 11-15 04:12
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 22, 2026? Yes +34 $29 98¢ $33 +$4 11-15 04:13
Will "Reminders of Him" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? No +36 $25 93¢ $33 +$8 11-15 04:27
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? No +40 $25 64¢ $26 +$1 11-15 04:46
Will Ann Kao win Hsinchu City and Hsu Hsin-ying win Hsinchu County? No +25 $16 71¢ $18 +$1 11-13 06:40
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? Yes +18 $16 84¢ $16 -$1 11-08 04:18
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? Yes +20 $3 31¢ $6 +$3 11-07 16:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 15? No +10 $3 35¢ $4 +$1 11-15 04:48
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on November 15? No +5 $3 67¢ $3 $0 11-15 04:15
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +27 -$6 12¢ $3 +$9 11-07 10:46
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 11-07 16:03
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 11-14 19:25
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 21¢ $2 -$2 10-25 15:45
Will "Reminders of Him" be the top US Netflix movie this week? No +11 -$6 10¢ $1 +$7 11-14 13:52
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $192 in November? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 11-12 14:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on November 19? No +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 11-15 03:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +6 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 11-07 02:36
Will Iran target Bahrain by November 30, 2026? No +21 $3 3¢ $1 -$3 11-15 03:22
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +26 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 11-13 10:04
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in November? Yes +5 $2 5¢ $0 -$1 10-27 06:55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-28 20:11
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $392 in November? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-27 06:41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election? No +20 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 01:10
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November? Yes +5 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 10-27 12:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-27 08:41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in November? Yes +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-27 07:40
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +2 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-07 08:35