Threadbare-Cough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

235

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$9.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-11 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

41% 30% -$22

Tech

30% 50% +$5

Crypto

13% 56% +$66

Politics

11% 27% -$6

Sports

5% 50% -$76

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	21	$1.2K	656	632	+24	Yes	+$3	03-26 08:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	12	$1.1K	582	582	+0	Yes	$0	02-27 00:18
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	6	$460	235	235	+0	Yes	$0	03-12 00:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$300	154	154	+0	No	+$0	03-23 07:25
will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	2	$280	141	141	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 05:15
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$268	137	137	+0	Yes	-$2	01-24 11:07
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	2	$260	131	131	+0	No	+$0	01-31 12:46
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$259	133	133	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 09:29
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$250	127	127	+0	Yes	$0	02-07 02:20
will the us strike somalia next 656	2	$242	121	121	+0	Yes	$0	01-24 06:04
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$241	183	122	+61	No	-$1	02-06 09:18
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	2	$220	114	114	+0	No	$0	02-06 12:21
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$205	106	101	+5	Yes	$0	01-23 12:37
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$200	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 08:04
ethereum up or down february 13 7pm et	2	$200	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	02-14 01:03
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	02-14 10:22
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	2	$200	101	101	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:03
will google run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$200	101	101	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 08:45
will sp global say dow jones during earnings call	2	$197	102	102	+0	Yes	-$3	02-07 07:40
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	2	$180	90	90	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 09:34
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$161	81	81	+0	Yes	+$1	01-23 10:11
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	1	$120	121	0	+121	Yes	+$1	02-20 10:53
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	03-13 11:55
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$120	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 13:34
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$120	62	62	+0	No	$0	03-15 11:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$110	55	55	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 09:34
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$101	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 07:24
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	02-13 15:23
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 01:05
will the studio win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	2	$99	52	52	+0	Yes	-$1	03-01 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 02:53:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0xf8ed3d…
07-11 02:52:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x51bea1…
07-11 02:45:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	6¢	$75	0xa75d34…
07-08 02:40:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x1c15f2…
07-08 02:34:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x181958…
07-07 11:15:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x251d69…
07-07 11:13:59	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xfd2419…
06-24 11:38:32	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x7a8df6…
06-21 23:18:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd336af…
06-21 16:48:58	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcafe7d…
06-21 12:53:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x1b642d…
06-21 05:17:35	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xda3589…
06-21 05:17:10	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x7099ad…
06-21 01:58:40	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x52ffb8…
06-20 23:36:55	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x909c06…
06-20 11:58:23	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x58d02f…
06-20 11:58:04	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1fb53a…
06-20 11:57:35	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6460c1…
06-15 21:57:09	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xebfd14…
06-11 00:35:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2b3626…
06-09 00:18:25	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ae402…
06-09 00:17:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x32e230…
06-09 00:17:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x92b405…
06-08 01:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc0be6e…
05-25 10:25:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xcc9670…
05-20 10:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x2785fe…
04-27 01:05:56	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xb8155a…
04-26 00:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x73df36…
04-25 13:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x70b3b0…
04-25 06:45:02	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x6ba2ac…
04-25 06:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1fa484…
03-26 08:44:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xfeb28a…
03-24 00:43:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5d23ee…
03-23 13:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x564a12…
03-23 13:33:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xba54d0…
03-23 07:25:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x9ee077…
03-23 07:24:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x76b35e…
03-22 05:31:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc6d849…
03-22 03:46:59	ethereum up or down march 21 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x653c6c…
03-22 03:14:15	ethereum up or down march 21 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9da0ac…
03-22 03:11:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf454c1…
03-22 03:10:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x26ec54…
03-22 03:09:41	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	SELL	832	1¢	$5	0xf21f86…
03-19 12:11:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa71ca6…
03-19 12:11:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xde26d8…
03-19 12:05:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xde11ef…
03-19 12:03:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1cf6be…
03-19 11:47:33	ethereum up or down march 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ec43f…
03-19 11:45:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x584568…
03-19 11:41:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7c2d14…
03-19 11:39:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe0894c…
03-19 11:32:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c53a7…
03-19 11:28:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1b4b98…
03-19 11:18:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8d44d6…
03-19 11:15:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3dab7a…
03-19 11:08:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7d8c42…
03-19 11:02:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7056f7…
03-19 09:26:25	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	BUY	832	1¢	$5	0xf178e1…
03-19 09:25:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbeb41e…
03-19 09:25:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x916728…
03-15 11:10:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1f8952…
03-15 11:05:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1bb4dc…
03-15 11:01:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xd00c4a…
03-15 11:01:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x96dbbd…
03-15 03:18:23	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd863b0…
03-15 03:17:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x5540a0…
03-13 11:55:29	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x3cfd3f…
03-13 11:55:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xa47d5f…
03-13 05:25:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x14ebcf…
03-13 05:06:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1b36f2…
03-13 04:37:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x16f3bb…
03-13 04:26:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1b4e6a…
03-13 04:24:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xdc6923…
03-13 04:16:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x242875…
03-13 02:01:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x312f82…
03-13 01:50:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xece12a…
03-13 01:42:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xbf26ef…
03-13 01:37:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8afab3…
03-13 01:02:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8e11c…
03-13 00:55:35	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8de6b4…
03-13 00:54:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x87d8f6…
03-12 11:02:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeefa87…
03-12 10:48:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc89776…
03-12 00:32:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcbc8df…
03-12 00:30:11	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x327f29…
03-12 00:29:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0xfb5445…
03-11 11:24:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x544026…
03-11 11:12:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x8054fa…
03-11 11:11:31	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x3f1ce0…
03-11 00:05:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xaaba04…
03-10 00:29:23	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xafabca…
03-10 00:28:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x12d011…
03-01 12:04:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf805d2…
03-01 12:02:31	will the studio win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xabf977…
03-01 08:16:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfae1f8…
03-01 08:10:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xe231be…
03-01 08:05:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc42f8e…
03-01 08:03:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd052e9…
03-01 07:47:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x99e580…
02-28 14:52:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x99eae3…