Famous-Dependency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-17 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

48% 0% $-1

Other

35% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	10	$960	504	504	+0	open	—	04-27 02:33
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$874	462	462	+0	Yes	$-1	03-15 14:42
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$583	299	299	+0	open	—	03-15 05:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$575	309	309	+0	open	—	03-29 05:20
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$565	290	290	+0	open	—	03-24 17:55
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$564	294	294	+0	No	$-1	03-28 07:45
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$444	230	230	-0	open	—	04-10 11:02
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$434	230	230	+0	open	—	03-31 06:36
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$359	187	187	+0	No	$-0	03-31 00:27
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$321	165	165	+0	open	—	03-06 23:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$318	166	166	+0	open	—	03-04 11:50
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	5	$314	168	168	+0	open	—	03-07 20:49
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$314	161	161	+0	open	—	03-08 18:06
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$313	164	164	+0	open	—	03-06 12:18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$312	167	167	+0	open	—	03-03 15:12
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$309	159	159	+0	open	—	03-11 13:33
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$290	149	149	+0	open	—	03-17 00:23
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$287	148	148	+0	open	—	03-29 22:23
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$285	146	146	+0	open	—	03-20 03:03
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$284	145	145	+0	open	—	03-22 08:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$284	147	147	+0	open	—	03-22 00:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$279	146	146	+0	open	—	03-17 23:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$278	146	146	+0	open	—	03-21 07:38
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$278	143	143	+0	open	—	03-16 05:42
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$277	143	143	+0	open	—	03-26 02:27
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$276	154	154	+0	open	—	03-23 15:34
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$275	143	143	+0	open	—	03-21 00:07
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$269	139	139	+0	open	—	03-27 17:48
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	06-04 03:45
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	05-29 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 19:17:19	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xf66bce…
06-17 13:09:02	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x0f01cc…
06-16 04:31:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$49	0x260c82…
06-15 23:29:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x75bda7…
06-05 23:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x69913b…
06-05 19:00:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$53	0x08a041…
06-05 08:17:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xdfae1b…
06-05 03:42:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x139522…
06-05 03:32:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xaa899f…
06-05 03:14:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x4d9f6e…
06-04 03:45:51	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x70211f…
06-03 21:40:19	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x57edab…
06-02 17:10:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0x154037…
06-02 10:05:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xebcc73…
05-29 22:05:25	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x012ee7…
05-28 23:58:18	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xa0c2b0…
05-15 06:57:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x59be03…
05-12 11:02:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x77effb…
04-27 22:21:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x57bd7f…
04-27 15:13:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x9bb9d6…
04-27 15:13:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x223c89…
04-27 02:33:44	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	153	93¢	$142	0x17251e…
04-25 04:11:40	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0xe61822…
04-13 15:58:07	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xaa351b…
04-13 10:53:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x5fea7e…
04-12 08:03:47	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0xdfe018…
04-12 00:55:37	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x48c06a…
04-11 18:46:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x7b63b1…
04-11 10:44:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x75b0de…
04-11 06:32:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x8237e6…
04-10 21:44:49	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0xc8ddc1…
04-10 21:39:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x823e4b…
04-10 17:37:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x42fb7d…
04-10 11:02:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x2b33ad…
04-10 04:32:59	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa7479c…
04-10 03:28:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x9521ea…
04-10 03:27:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xd3b138…
04-09 03:15:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xb68c8e…
04-08 21:50:35	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x972baf…
04-07 11:02:51	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xbcb9db…
04-01 00:32:17	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xdbde1a…
03-31 06:36:23	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x1a0f34…
03-31 01:20:57	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x26671b…
03-31 00:27:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x387e66…
03-30 20:14:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x6e5a21…
03-30 17:41:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x59844d…
03-30 08:42:34	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x965162…
03-29 22:23:32	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0x6178c3…
03-29 14:56:04	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x92702d…
03-29 14:55:54	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4d9e98…
03-29 05:20:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	157	95¢	$149	0xcc2715…
03-29 00:52:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x5048c7…
03-28 15:36:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	152	94¢	$143	0x21b8c0…
03-28 09:51:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	152	90¢	$137	0x5e57b5…
03-28 07:45:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$134	0x27b936…
03-28 01:56:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0xb694d9…
03-27 17:48:19	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	139	97¢	$135	0x5877f1…
03-27 12:15:03	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x5b1565…
03-26 17:57:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	142	96¢	$136	0xd242ca…
03-26 09:48:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$137	0x79299e…
03-26 02:27:13	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	143	97¢	$138	0x4346ab…
03-25 20:21:35	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x46e922…
03-24 17:55:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0x5b5ee9…
03-24 09:41:35	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xda00e1…
03-23 15:34:09	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	118	88¢	$105	0xce6c9f…
03-23 15:33:27	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x09b765…
03-23 06:02:53	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	154	91¢	$140	0xd81073…
03-22 08:57:11	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xa222b4…
03-22 02:29:27	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xc290f9…
03-22 02:23:59	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xe1d342…
03-22 00:44:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	96¢	$142	0x73f764…
03-21 17:52:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	147	96¢	$142	0x5fb280…
03-21 07:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	146	95¢	$139	0xf3748e…
03-21 01:32:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	95¢	$139	0x756ee3…
03-21 00:07:23	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0x7e0958…
03-20 18:32:41	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf8d7c4…
03-20 17:56:25	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x43f905…
03-20 03:03:47	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	146	98¢	$142	0x02cc37…
03-19 21:15:09	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	146	98¢	$142	0xa71d38…
03-19 03:53:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	96¢	$142	0x1d8c64…
03-18 23:42:19	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	147	96¢	$142	0x9aaec0…
03-18 17:47:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	154	95¢	$147	0xca9853…
03-18 11:48:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xae2c8f…
03-18 11:48:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc69f6f…
03-18 11:48:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x66d0e0…
03-18 11:45:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa70e5b…
03-18 03:55:55	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$140	0x551615…
03-17 23:56:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xb6f161…
03-17 23:41:11	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0x5e6b38…
03-17 23:34:33	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x91ffd6…
03-17 23:10:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0x561571…
03-17 16:05:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	146	96¢	$139	0x09371c…
03-17 00:23:19	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0xf6be67…
03-16 20:17:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$145	0x50fab7…
03-16 05:42:51	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0x683e26…
03-15 22:30:55	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x195c1a…
03-15 14:42:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	147	95¢	$139	0x95df30…
03-15 06:26:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0xd9035d…
03-15 05:57:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	144	97¢	$141	0xc1a655…
03-15 00:49:33	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0xcad5af…