Tame-Roast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-26 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

73% 4% -$109

Politics

24% 50% +$3

Other

3% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+10	$8	79¢	$8	$0	10-26 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	-$1	06-02 02:49
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.8K	1,840	1,840	+0	No	-$2	06-02 00:58
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.6K	780	780	+0	No	-$1	06-02 03:55
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.4K	690	690	+0	No	-$1	06-01 16:56
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.1K	750	750	+0	No	-$1	06-02 02:23
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	-$1	06-02 05:13
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$919	460	460	+0	No	$0	05-31 18:53
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$777	720	720	+0	open	—	07-08 06:01
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$737	560	560	+0	open	—	07-05 16:36
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$724	990	990	+0	open	—	07-08 21:19
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$718	360	360	+0	No	$0	05-31 08:18
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$581	730	730	+0	No	-$1	06-01 11:11
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$499	250	250	+0	No	$0	05-31 04:09
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	$0	06-01 22:52
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$457	230	230	+0	open	—	05-31 13:13
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$457	230	230	+0	No	$0	05-31 12:24
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-30 19:56
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$417	210	210	+0	open	—	06-01 15:30
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$399	370	370	+0	No	$0	05-31 13:55
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$396	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-02 14:05
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$381	420	420	+0	open	—	06-24 09:37
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$380	360	360	+0	open	—	06-26 10:45
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-31 04:03
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$340	350	350	+0	open	—	06-27 00:59
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$340	170	170	+0	No	+$0	06-09 10:45
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$326	730	730	+0	open	—	07-10 10:21
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:56
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-30 22:55
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$317	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-31 18:11
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	04-02 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:52:06	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x033fb0…
07-10 10:21:32	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x63b599…
07-10 06:36:16	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x44e7b4…
07-09 12:47:05	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0x2f7a56…
07-09 10:05:38	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x62a003…
07-08 21:19:38	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0xf83a1a…
07-08 12:59:01	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x4d3502…
07-08 06:01:02	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x928835…
07-08 04:37:40	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x19a6f2…
07-06 20:19:47	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x02d4e4…
07-06 17:02:58	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xfacfc7…
07-05 16:36:58	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0x8405f6…
07-05 14:32:40	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x4c1e09…
07-05 03:27:35	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0x8bce5e…
07-05 01:41:08	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xeda244…
07-03 23:30:04	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xa1596a…
07-03 22:02:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x9119be…
07-03 18:46:35	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0xefb831…
07-03 14:21:35	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x479406…
06-30 20:12:14	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$1	0x14dba5…
06-30 19:43:44	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x0239b2…
06-30 18:30:47	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x5e76d4…
06-30 15:42:50	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x1ade6e…
06-30 10:59:56	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x680725…
06-30 09:39:22	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x891e62…
06-30 08:25:02	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0xcd584c…
06-30 07:49:19	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xfe872b…
06-30 06:43:38	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x77757c…
06-30 04:42:59	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x460edd…
06-30 04:11:11	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x6ad52c…
06-30 02:35:35	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x1a58d4…
06-29 17:55:04	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0xf1de47…
06-29 16:05:28	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x9e98b2…
06-29 13:40:32	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xa42442…
06-29 12:49:11	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x8353aa…
06-29 08:15:07	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x75205e…
06-29 06:38:26	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x905e90…
06-29 04:15:50	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x9c5ee5…
06-29 00:10:23	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3c5311…
06-28 19:32:01	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x4072ff…
06-28 16:54:29	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x88a2eb…
06-28 12:42:46	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$1	0x4a0739…
06-28 09:37:44	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x07c235…
06-28 05:47:20	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xbaac12…
06-28 04:07:53	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xba442f…
06-28 01:06:46	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x6c3f8c…
06-27 19:10:47	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x820283…
06-27 15:59:43	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x33a935…
06-27 10:22:32	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x76dae2…
06-27 00:59:41	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$2	0x03b7cc…
06-26 23:17:43	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x1b3b7e…
06-26 10:45:55	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x9574bd…
06-26 10:18:16	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xb20f38…
06-26 08:59:49	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x2e1b45…
06-26 08:41:02	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf009b7…
06-25 15:08:10	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xaf0cc2…
06-25 13:31:28	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x072fe1…
06-24 09:37:10	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0xf8e4b9…
06-24 02:22:22	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0xdf26e8…
06-24 02:20:23	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x82635b…
06-24 01:42:44	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x7bd8e1…
06-24 00:38:37	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x4372a3…
06-23 21:50:11	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x03fad5…
06-22 01:18:13	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xf2ba79…
06-22 00:17:46	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x0aa79a…
06-22 00:00:20	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x425ac9…
06-21 15:24:49	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfe96dd…
06-18 05:46:32	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	221	1¢	$3	0x2e6fad…
06-18 05:45:13	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$1	0xea7805…
06-09 10:45:03	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x558127…
06-03 08:51:22	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x5f97a6…
06-02 05:29:59	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x8e5511…
06-02 05:13:22	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xeefb21…
06-02 03:56:57	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0x7a905b…
06-02 03:55:31	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x167291…
06-02 02:53:45	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0xd49f06…
06-02 02:49:31	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x95c1df…
06-02 02:23:39	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0x1ac157…
06-02 01:40:20	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0xeb640b…
06-02 01:21:36	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xff0fd0…
06-02 00:58:43	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x82e096…
06-02 00:48:58	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$2	0x296c48…
06-02 00:30:02	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x6d3d63…
06-01 23:48:06	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x2877c4…
06-01 23:36:12	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x9a3920…
06-01 23:24:44	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xc616d6…
06-01 22:52:50	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x205f6c…
06-01 21:51:24	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xbde1af…
06-01 21:42:23	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x278ea0…
06-01 21:24:10	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0x3eebd6…
06-01 20:30:16	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x314bca…
06-01 20:00:43	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x9f90b2…
06-01 19:57:30	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x0a87e9…
06-01 19:53:24	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x09b5a1…
06-01 18:55:25	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x434e00…
06-01 18:48:09	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x23ea18…
06-01 18:14:21	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x8591da…
06-01 17:14:00	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xa2d4e7…
06-01 16:56:30	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x945d19…
06-01 15:52:53	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x0a1352…