Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,065 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$153

$1.94K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 11-07 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

71% 37% -$5

Politics

23% 52% +$21

Sports

3% 29% -$6

Crypto

2% 50% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes		+0	$0	60¢	$0	$0	09-21 00:11
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?	No		+0	$0	86¢	$0	+$0	09-23 02:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	30	$254	226	226	+0	Yes	+$37	08-07 15:17
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	25	$235	212	127	+85	Yes	-$7	07-29 16:14
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	44	$108	370	370	+0	No	+$23	08-07 15:16
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?	28	$104	70	63	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 07:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$97	57	57	+0	open	—	08-07 15:16
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	7	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	09-14 15:34
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	12	$62	54	54	+0	No	-$3	08-07 15:16
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$46	61	61	+0	No	-$24	07-31 19:30
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$43	57	0	+57	No	+$15	07-29 13:49
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	7	$40	34	34	+0	open	—	08-07 15:16
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	16	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
will revoluts valuation hit low 80b by december 31 20260701011444456	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	08-07 15:16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	20	$27	38	38	+0	open	—	11-04 21:03
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	8	$27	56	0	+56	No	-$7	08-02 08:26
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	12	$24	27	27	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	10	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?	10	$18	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-07 15:16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	29	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	7	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more?	13	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	12	$13	21	3	+18	No	-$6	08-09 04:02
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	13	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	11-07 20:06
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	8	$10	577	577	+0	open	—	11-07 20:05
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	2	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	07-29 19:29
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	5	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-07 15:16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 250,000 and 275,000?	34	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	09-24 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 20:06:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 850,000 and 900,000?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x51ad16…
11-07 20:06:15	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe5be6a…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3b31d…
11-07 20:06:15	Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc9dd46…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb32b18…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa28020…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 500,000 and 550,000?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x89f759…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7245c8…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6617e8…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be less than 550,000?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x38a3c2…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x2f190f…
11-07 20:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x17a36a…
11-07 20:06:13	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xceaac9…
11-07 20:06:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x980227…
11-07 20:06:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x968d3d…
11-07 20:06:13	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x903d11…
11-07 20:06:13	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8a2f6b…
11-07 20:06:13	Will Makai Lemon win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x609b57…
11-07 20:06:13	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x529972…
11-07 20:06:13	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x36f1cd…
11-07 20:06:13	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2f938d…
11-07 20:06:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf971e2…
11-07 20:06:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xe722ec…
11-07 20:06:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x584568…
11-07 20:06:12	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x583af1…
11-07 20:06:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x32f738…
11-07 20:06:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x2c9697…
11-07 20:06:12	Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x20e9d5…
11-07 20:06:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x1b354b…
11-07 20:06:12	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x05d1f4…
11-07 20:06:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xca6bb4…
11-07 20:06:10	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xc859f5…
11-07 20:06:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xa8d0fb…
11-07 20:06:10	Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x992809…
11-07 20:06:10	Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x807908…
11-07 20:06:10	Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x6bed8c…
11-07 20:06:10	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x4fa366…
11-07 20:06:10	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x359d4c…
11-07 20:06:10	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x278dc1…
11-07 20:06:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 325,000 and 350,000?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xfc10ce…
11-07 20:06:09	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe9e66a…
11-07 20:06:09	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc305a1…
11-07 20:06:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb6c2f7…
11-07 20:06:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x838353…
11-07 20:06:09	Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x7ce4a6…
11-07 20:06:09	Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x72e8d4…
11-07 20:06:09	Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x5b4703…
11-07 20:06:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x591fb4…
11-07 20:06:09	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3c22b1…
11-07 20:06:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,300,000 and 2,450,000?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xd19a6b…
11-07 20:06:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xa107b8…
11-07 20:06:07	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x775a5f…
11-07 20:06:07	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6751b6…
11-07 20:06:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x66fa86…
11-07 20:06:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x287d88…
11-07 20:06:07	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x19f707…
11-07 20:06:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x0bb9a0…
11-07 20:06:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 260,000 and 275,000?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xfcfa63…
11-07 20:06:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb00b27…
11-07 20:06:06	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xac38db…
11-07 20:06:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x7b9ece…
11-07 20:06:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xf446c2…
11-07 20:06:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xe8d377…
11-07 20:06:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x609c99…
11-07 20:06:04	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x40adfa…
11-07 20:06:04	Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x2adca2…
11-07 20:06:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2a54b1…
11-07 20:06:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xec343f…
11-07 20:06:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xa8892f…
11-07 20:06:03	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xa34ab6…
11-07 20:06:00	Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xfa3202…
11-07 20:06:00	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0xb57d7d…
11-07 20:06:00	Will Forgotten Island win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xa0b3d2…
11-07 20:06:00	Will Bakir Izetbegović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x4c2838…
11-07 20:05:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 850,000 and 900,000?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$0	0xf4c1a5…
11-07 20:05:57	Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	577	1¢	$3	0x30b144…
11-07 20:05:57	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x24fb31…
11-07 13:27:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc3caef…
11-04 21:03:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x150908…
11-03 13:13:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x5c432c…
11-02 20:43:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd5ef62…
11-02 20:43:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0a9ac4…
11-02 16:15:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6f70bd…
11-01 12:39:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xf8e961…
11-01 12:39:10	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x0566dd…
11-01 05:04:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x469062…
11-01 03:22:55	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x390811…
11-01 02:51:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9fc5e0…
11-01 02:30:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x21f25e…
10-30 13:49:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x4042f2…
10-30 01:56:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x7704f8…
10-28 17:10:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9a4733…
10-27 20:21:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xf438b3…
10-27 20:17:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x2311bc…
10-27 19:16:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xbc0942…
10-27 19:16:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x9d09cf…
10-27 17:59:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x33949d…
10-27 08:53:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x739356…
10-24 08:44:54	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5ad979…
10-18 22:16:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x248163…