Realized P&L
-$3.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
1,280
Trades
7,026
lifetime
Volume
$78.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$125
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 10-12 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
40% 51% -$1,318
Sports
27% 58% +$604
Crypto
26% 44% -$2,077
Politics
8% 37% -$241
Tech
1% 0% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond? No +33 $25 76¢ $25 $0 09-29 21:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19 $16 82¢ $16 $0 10-12 16:23
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +44 $10 24¢ $11 +$1 08-26 08:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +13 $5 61¢ $8 +$3 10-08 21:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +36 $5 18¢ $7 +$2 08-27 07:06
New pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-04 20:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 08-26 21:20
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 90¢ $5 $0 10-08 15:01
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 79¢ $5 $0 09-24 20:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 84¢ $5 $0 09-19 00:42
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +12 $1 38¢ $5 +$4 09-29 21:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +47 $5 10¢ $5 $0 08-31 20:55
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 09-22 21:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-04 09:00
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-01 18:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +24 $5 16¢ $4 -$1 08-29 03:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 65¢ $4 -$1 08-26 23:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +16 $7 16¢ $3 -$4 09-22 17:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 22¢ $2 -$3 08-31 11:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +7 $5 13¢ $1 -$4 08-28 19:06
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +12 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 09-14 19:23