Outstanding-Jellybeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-13 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Crypto

36% 50% $-19

Other

8% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+4	$1	11¢	$0	$-1	06-13 01:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	25	$432	557	32	+525	open	—	03-25 13:45
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by 9 or more 953	18	$335	225	131	+93	open	—	02-22 14:15
bitcoin up or down february 25 10am et	7	$171	117	101	+16	open	—	02-25 16:07
will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	3	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	02-25 02:21
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	4	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	03-09 01:45
will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	3	$108	58	58	+0	open	—	02-25 03:45
will trump say charlie kirk during the state of the union address 326	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	02-25 03:26
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-01 18:39
will wesley hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 texas republican primary	3	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	03-01 18:39
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	02-25 04:03
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$81	59	59	+0	open	—	02-27 14:21
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	2	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	02-25 03:30
will trump say marco or rubio during the state of the union address 331	2	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	02-25 03:28
will trump say gas or gasoline in corpus christi on friday 557 382	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	02-27 22:02
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	03-17 17:54
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	02-15 15:33
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	02-13 00:10
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	1	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	02-25 03:49
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	02-25 04:10
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	03-25 00:06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	03-04 07:41
btc updown 5m 1773270900	2	$35	39	0	+39	open	—	03-11 23:19
btc updown 5m 1773187500	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	03-11 00:10
btc updown 5m 1773267600	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	03-11 22:23
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	02-13 00:17
will trump say drill baby drill in corpus christi on friday 744 189	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 22:02
will cd win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-09 01:44
will trump say texas in corpus christi on friday 699 511	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-27 22:08
btc updown 5m 1773591900	3	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	03-15 16:30
btc updown 5m 1773272700	3	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	03-11 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:11:24	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5a8e6e…
06-13 02:09:37	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x98caa0…
06-13 01:55:42	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1be17f…
06-02 11:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x99ec88…
06-02 11:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb0ffa1…
05-28 10:16:47	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xef9c42…
05-27 15:37:54	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xaece45…
05-27 02:41:38	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x429430…
05-27 02:40:00	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x85a375…
05-27 02:30:43	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xc34a69…
05-25 14:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x1add94…
05-25 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x324848…
05-25 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xa8c692…
05-25 14:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x60ee29…
05-25 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf49a6b…
05-25 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x6b48c9…
05-25 14:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8e194e…
05-22 01:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x7fca90…
05-22 01:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3daf1c…
05-22 01:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xb56547…
05-22 01:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7ebe0b…
05-22 01:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81ed26…
05-19 03:36:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x40005e…
05-17 19:12:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x809c6a…
05-16 02:26:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xeaf5a7…
05-15 22:28:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x2db565…
05-14 20:38:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xd80a59…
05-14 15:59:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x81bd93…
05-13 19:05:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbde937…
05-13 11:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0d9290…
05-13 01:13:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xb43f14…
05-13 01:08:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb5c13…
05-10 20:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0e9e1f…
05-10 18:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe176a6…
05-10 18:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdef69c…
05-10 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfab5b0…
05-09 21:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e3239…
05-09 21:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc63f1c…
05-09 21:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5aa2c8…
05-09 04:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x216be7…
05-05 23:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a76b8…
05-05 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d093c…
05-05 23:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x763155…
05-05 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xab6aa0…
05-05 22:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x556174…
05-04 14:16:14	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x265507…
05-04 14:15:44	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x827462…
03-25 13:45:51	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xe8f914…
03-25 13:15:59	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x9b82fa…
03-25 00:06:23	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0x08f18a…
03-23 17:04:05	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9d9601…
03-23 17:02:37	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb07410…
03-23 17:02:29	will giulio centenaro win the 2026 selvazzano dentro by election	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcb843c…
03-22 22:25:03	will giulio centenaro win the 2026 selvazzano dentro by election	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0bb04e…
03-22 22:21:39	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd61671…
03-21 21:54:05	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x91053e…
03-21 00:21:01	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa81e66…
03-19 16:04:07	btc updown 5m 1773936000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb1b90b…
03-19 13:17:29	btc updown 5m 1773926100	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x64ebc7…
03-19 13:16:45	btc updown 5m 1773926100	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa3a771…
03-18 02:04:55	btc updown 5m 1773799200	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x21aaeb…
03-18 01:59:49	btc updown 5m 1773798900	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6713d5…
03-18 01:50:39	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x071a0d…
03-17 21:38:37	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x7e2fff…
03-17 21:38:13	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1bbde1…
03-17 21:38:07	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbbdf72…
03-17 18:28:17	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x948732…
03-17 18:28:11	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3c2c15…
03-17 18:27:59	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x56c487…
03-17 18:27:55	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6959b4…
03-17 18:27:25	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x046d75…
03-17 18:27:13	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8e2efa…
03-17 17:54:25	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x476e84…
03-17 17:54:09	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x863e4f…
03-17 17:23:59	btc updown 5m 1773768000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1f8093…
03-17 03:39:53	btc updown 5m 1773718500	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0e6b57…
03-17 03:29:39	btc updown 5m 1773717900	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xab0e06…
03-17 03:23:59	btc updown 5m 1773717600	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5066e6…
03-17 01:03:41	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x6004df…
03-15 16:30:03	btc updown 5m 1773591900	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xedee7d…
03-15 16:29:57	btc updown 5m 1773591900	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6c6166…
03-15 16:29:41	btc updown 5m 1773591900	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2f1c2c…
03-15 15:39:55	btc updown 5m 1773588900	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x50e57b…
03-15 15:33:53	btc updown 5m 1773588600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18366a…
03-15 15:19:55	btc updown 5m 1773587700	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd2caa2…
03-15 15:14:39	btc updown 5m 1773587400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d221b…
03-15 03:59:55	btc updown 5m 1773546900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef73eb…
03-15 03:59:49	btc updown 5m 1773546900	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6f36d9…
03-15 02:44:35	btc updown 5m 1773542400	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xabcc7e…
03-15 00:59:57	btc updown 5m 1773536100	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa06bfb…
03-15 00:54:45	btc updown 5m 1773535800	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xab4192…
03-15 00:45:01	btc updown 5m 1773535200	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2c5932…
03-15 00:44:55	btc updown 5m 1773535200	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc71aba…
03-15 00:34:57	btc updown 5m 1773534600	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xa4a7f7…
03-14 22:54:59	btc updown 5m 1773528600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x026693…
03-14 22:54:53	btc updown 5m 1773528600	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x043ba6…
03-14 22:34:59	btc updown 5m 1773527400	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1874b5…
03-14 22:29:39	btc updown 5m 1773527100	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9dd24b…
03-14 22:24:59	btc updown 5m 1773526800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc5f66…
03-14 21:59:51	btc updown 5m 1773525300	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x86f84f…