Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
51.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
34
lifetime
Volume
$292
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$170
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-28 14:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% +$106
Other
26% 0% -$10
Sports
19% 25% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $11 2¢ $26 +$14 10-16 13:09
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +93 $20 24¢ $22 +$2 10-16 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $20 72¢ $20 +$0 10-16 14:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $10 68¢ $13 +$3 10-16 13:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +1,714 $20 1¢ $13 -$7 10-16 13:15
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +625 $10 2¢ $11 +$1 09-10 13:05
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +67 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 10-28 14:28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +56 $10 18¢ $10 +$0 10-28 14:27
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-16 13:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $10 43¢ $9 -$1 10-16 13:11
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +85 $10 11¢ $9 -$1 10-28 14:28
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-20 13:58
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-20 13:57
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +598 $11 1¢ $3 -$8 10-16 13:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $1 45¢ $2 +$1 10-27 18:34