Normal-Border — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

139

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-04 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

37% 43% +$448

Crypto

36% 48% +$699

Politics

19% 50% -$153

Tech

6% 100% +$42

Sports

1% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,235	1,235	+0	Yes	+$207	06-15 14:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$2.1K	12,846	12,846	+0	open	—	05-10 11:54
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	4	$642	2,250	2,250	+0	Usyk	+$242	05-23 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:20 UTC	14	$616	1,457	1,332	+125	Down	+$16	06-16 12:24
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$600	301	301	+0	No	$0	01-17 10:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$599	304	304	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 10:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$405	206	206	+0	Yes	+$5	01-27 22:17
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	2	$402	210	210	+0	Yes	+$5	01-17 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:20 UTC	2	$396	357	357	+0	Down	+$196	06-15 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:15 UTC	4	$307	159	159	+0	Down	+$7	06-16 14:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$300	358	0	+358	No	-$300	10-04 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:10 UTC	4	$253	320	275	+45	Down	+$33	06-16 14:13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	3	$249	588	588	+0	No	+$49	07-18 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:20 UTC	3	$221	284	118	+167	Down	+$11	06-16 14:24
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$215	159	159	+0	No	+$15	06-19 13:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$214	228	228	+0	open	—	10-04 19:23
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$205	109	109	+0	Yes	+$5	01-27 22:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$204	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	01-27 22:18
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$202	111	111	+0	Yes	+$2	01-27 22:18
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	2	$201	122	122	+0	open	—	11-04 09:44
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	01-27 22:17
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	2	$199	123	123	+0	open	—	11-04 09:44
will cda be part of the next government of the netherlands	2	$198	101	101	+0	Yes	-$2	01-27 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	8	$180	236	187	+49	Down	+$40	06-16 14:59
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$173	1,613	1,613	+0	No	-$27	06-27 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$150	101	101	+0	Down	+$50	10-21 20:49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$141	270	270	+0	Yes	-$59	10-04 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:10 UTC	5	$138	192	192	+0	Up	+$65	06-16 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:20 UTC	3	$123	137	137	+0	Up	+$23	06-20 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:30 UTC	7	$122	136	136	+0	Up	+$62	06-15 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:44:09	Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	123	80¢	$99	0x1d2464…
11-04 09:44:03	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	122	83¢	$101	0xd586c0…
10-21 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	74	16¢	$12	0xeecdb9…
10-21 21:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5f3a89…
10-21 21:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x2cfcae…
10-21 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xee4b54…
10-21 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe1b673…
10-21 20:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x29e1f8…
10-21 20:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x7047cf…
10-21 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xa4566a…
10-21 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x847e9d…
10-21 20:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x67a228…
10-21 20:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfa5796…
10-21 20:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xa30ab2…
10-05 08:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xd1dbc6…
10-05 08:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x65cfdd…
10-05 08:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x115b8b…
10-04 22:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8c5f08…
10-04 22:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf51267…
10-04 22:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x914ee5…
10-04 21:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6d826e…
10-04 21:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xed691f…
10-04 21:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	69	67¢	$47	0x3de2e8…
10-04 21:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xde95d1…
10-04 21:54:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x407923…
10-04 21:53:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	270	15¢	$41	0x67df6b…
10-04 19:23:47	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	228	50¢	$114	0x95ac17…
10-04 19:23:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x151e3c…
10-04 08:43:35	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x486b93…
10-04 08:42:01	Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x7db24b…
08-06 19:08:12	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0xc80bd5…
07-18 22:38:45	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	588	25¢	$149	0xc5bc7b…
07-18 21:20:24	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x71ae70…
07-18 21:20:03	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x85a446…
07-11 21:55:37	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	SELL	167	22¢	$37	0xab2d6b…
07-11 21:55:25	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	SELL	154	18¢	$28	0xce4d6e…
07-11 21:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x364769…
07-11 21:32:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3fa58e…
07-11 21:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xde0e75…
07-11 08:24:02	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x92107b…
07-11 08:23:46	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x96e051…
07-11 08:23:38	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x56e7df…
07-10 19:05:02	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbd7b17…
07-10 19:02:29	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf63f96…
07-10 19:02:20	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc3364e…
07-10 19:02:10	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0f3de6…
07-10 19:02:04	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xdd7437…
07-10 19:01:59	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x02c0f7…
07-10 18:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe38aa0…
07-10 18:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6361c5…
07-10 18:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x506ff7…
07-10 18:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xcc9a73…
06-28 12:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdf1f65…
06-27 07:18:38	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,613	4¢	$73	0xfabdc8…
06-20 23:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	137	53¢	$73	0x8ec328…
06-20 23:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x1aa6fe…
06-20 23:20:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x0ab662…
06-20 23:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb75747…
06-20 23:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x9dd1cf…
06-19 13:12:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	159	72¢	$115	0x5858e4…
06-17 21:24:13	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x132a41…
06-17 08:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf74f0f…
06-17 08:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xb3525e…
06-17 08:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x43d160…
06-17 08:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xa45636…
06-17 08:11:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x94e491…
06-17 08:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x56efa8…
06-17 08:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7d7dd2…
06-17 08:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3e5be2…
06-17 08:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe58608…
06-17 08:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0edd25…
06-17 08:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xffae62…
06-17 08:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x63a884…
06-17 08:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xaa79b9…
06-17 08:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x424b9f…
06-17 08:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x801c1a…
06-17 08:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6de8e2…
06-17 07:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc3b456…
06-16 15:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x00fa7f…
06-16 15:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x96eaae…
06-16 15:01:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2d6d14…
06-16 15:01:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2dfa8a…
06-16 15:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc4d686…
06-16 15:01:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb68285…
06-16 14:59:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5c78a5…
06-16 14:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x67f166…
06-16 14:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x8ba681…
06-16 14:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x204ceb…
06-16 14:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xacb6ce…
06-16 14:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	147	56¢	$82	0xe90125…
06-16 14:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x900d41…
06-16 14:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xa66fcb…
06-16 14:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xeec522…
06-16 14:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0532d8…
06-16 14:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe1210c…
06-16 14:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbfbd2a…
06-16 14:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6ef471…
06-16 14:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1b3d62…
06-16 14:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x27c219…
06-16 14:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9186ae…