Alienated-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

17,345

Trades

45,086

lifetime

Volume

$140.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-27 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$2,935

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$255	188	187	+1	Down	+$5	09-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$181	183	182	+0	Up	-$29	09-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$180	151	151	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:55 UTC	6	$176	114	114	+0	Up	+$16	06-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$171	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	09-13 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	3	$167	193	105	+88	Up	-$33	06-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$166	129	129	+0	Down	+$46	09-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	6	$161	126	126	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$161	108	101	+7	Up	+$1	09-13 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:30 UTC	7	$157	134	129	+5	Down	-$8	06-08 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$154	126	126	+0	Down	+$34	06-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	5	$152	107	107	+0	Down	+$22	06-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:15 UTC	6	$150	115	115	+0	Down	-$10	06-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	3	$150	187	81	+106	Up	-$50	07-18 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:15 UTC	6	$148	116	116	+0	Up	-$12	06-08 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	7	$146	107	107	+0	Up	-$4	06-08 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	7	$143	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	06-12 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	4	$141	113	113	+0	Down	+$21	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	6	$139	95	95	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	5	$138	105	105	+0	Up	+$18	06-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC	2	$137	93	93	+0	Up	+$37	06-12 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$133	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$132	118	118	+0	Down	-$28	09-14 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:25 UTC	3	$131	80	80	+0	Down	+$11	06-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:40 UTC	2	$131	82	82	+0	Up	+$31	06-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	6	$129	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	06-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:25 UTC	2	$128	88	88	+0	Down	+$28	06-12 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:45 UTC	4	$128	80	80	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	3	$128	93	88	+5	Down	+$23	06-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:00 UTC	4	$126	67	67	+0	Down	+$6	06-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdffeba…
10-27 08:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1367c7…
10-27 08:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x222927…
10-27 08:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcc566c…
10-27 08:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6a66a4…
10-27 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcfa61a…
10-27 07:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd395f0…
10-27 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd478ac…
10-27 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45c765…
10-27 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f0c58…
10-27 07:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x17ff14…
10-27 07:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd7f2bd…
10-27 07:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x43885b…
10-27 06:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf28ce6…
10-27 06:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x127f97…
10-27 06:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7fd266…
10-27 06:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x57b4ce…
10-27 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba0679…
10-27 06:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa70c3f…
10-27 06:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x56d8c5…
10-27 06:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0xbe20a5…
10-27 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x230d37…
10-27 06:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x968f95…
10-27 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xef122f…
10-27 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x064a70…
10-27 06:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4ebfaf…
10-27 06:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x84a800…
10-27 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x82581e…
10-27 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfe45bf…
10-27 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xe37c26…
10-27 06:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfcb2a3…
10-27 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7842a1…
10-27 06:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x32b761…
10-27 06:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x09ad41…
10-27 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe71079…
10-27 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x615402…
10-27 06:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xe66da7…
10-27 06:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbdc544…
10-27 06:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x035515…
10-27 06:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6fada0…
10-27 06:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x64bc7e…
10-27 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x94c5ed…
10-27 06:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x91665e…
10-27 05:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc42b33…
10-27 05:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc34aca…
10-27 05:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x56f3e0…
10-27 05:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe2d4c3…
10-27 05:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x419592…
10-27 05:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f0e95…
10-27 05:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x23d327…
10-27 05:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3d53fd…
10-27 05:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xf00d5e…
10-27 05:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x996b4a…
10-27 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8684ed…
10-27 05:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda7a74…
10-27 05:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x08c42f…
10-27 05:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1f8154…
10-27 05:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe2aa73…
10-27 05:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xad2448…
10-27 05:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x13d0f2…
10-27 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xea5a73…
10-27 05:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd17300…
10-27 05:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc40b7d…
10-27 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x637e5f…
10-27 05:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x224831…
10-27 05:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcca256…
10-27 05:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeec0e8…
10-27 05:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x352206…
10-27 04:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc95c63…
10-27 04:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xfb4038…
10-27 04:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xdd0ec8…
10-27 04:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x32ce2e…
10-27 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1ee37b…
10-27 04:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x11f3fa…
10-27 04:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9bf83b…
10-27 04:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd76dc7…
10-27 04:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xda4b9a…
10-27 04:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8f270f…
10-27 04:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1473de…
10-27 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5815c6…
10-27 04:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7cbd27…
10-27 04:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd48041…
10-27 04:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbef77c…
10-27 04:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf0ed1b…
10-27 04:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x21cb56…
10-27 04:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0881ec…
10-27 04:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc4812c…
10-27 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbf4a82…
10-27 03:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x416d8f…
10-27 03:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x133838…
10-27 03:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3e01db…
10-27 03:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3d8ab8…
10-27 03:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x027f5c…
10-27 03:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbd0eb3…
10-27 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1c6467…
10-27 03:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2cb869…
10-27 03:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd98c14…
10-27 03:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd0a14f…
10-27 03:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f060b…
10-27 03:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xb5e255…