Alienated-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

19,380

Trades

50,805

lifetime

Volume

$152.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-14 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$3,283

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$255	188	187	+1	Down	+$5	09-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$181	183	182	+0	Up	-$29	09-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$180	151	151	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:55 UTC	6	$176	114	114	+0	Up	+$16	06-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$171	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	09-13 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	3	$167	193	105	+88	Up	-$33	06-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$166	129	129	+0	Down	+$46	09-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	6	$161	126	126	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$161	108	101	+7	Up	+$1	09-13 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:30 UTC	7	$157	134	129	+5	Down	-$8	06-08 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$154	126	126	+0	Down	+$34	06-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	5	$152	107	107	+0	Down	+$22	06-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:15 UTC	6	$150	115	115	+0	Down	-$10	06-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	3	$150	187	81	+106	Up	-$50	07-18 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:15 UTC	6	$148	116	116	+0	Up	-$12	06-08 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	7	$146	107	107	+0	Up	-$4	06-08 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	7	$143	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	06-12 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	4	$141	113	113	+0	Down	+$21	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	6	$139	95	95	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	5	$138	105	105	+0	Up	+$18	06-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC	2	$137	93	93	+0	Up	+$37	06-12 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$133	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$132	118	118	+0	Down	-$28	09-14 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:25 UTC	3	$131	80	80	+0	Down	+$11	06-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:40 UTC	2	$131	82	82	+0	Up	+$31	06-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	6	$129	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	06-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:25 UTC	2	$128	88	88	+0	Down	+$28	06-12 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:45 UTC	4	$128	80	80	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	3	$128	93	88	+5	Down	+$23	06-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:00 UTC	4	$126	67	67	+0	Down	+$6	06-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x416b5d…
11-14 11:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x853ac0…
11-14 11:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x723dc2…
11-14 11:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x302886…
11-14 10:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8fa1c2…
11-14 10:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x880ea1…
11-14 10:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc345f7…
11-14 10:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x427c70…
11-14 10:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x707497…
11-14 10:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x59aa03…
11-14 10:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfaa565…
11-14 10:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7a1fe6…
11-14 10:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcf7211…
11-14 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd3308…
11-14 10:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf498f9…
11-14 10:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x958243…
11-14 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeeacfb…
11-14 10:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3a518a…
11-14 10:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe06dfe…
11-14 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcdb1e8…
11-14 10:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8d9c21…
11-14 09:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe3e7ba…
11-14 09:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2fa1ad…
11-14 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x7100e3…
11-14 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f39b5…
11-14 09:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe501ae…
11-14 09:26:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc9a0ae…
11-14 09:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5b46aa…
11-14 09:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xfd9398…
11-14 09:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb15ea1…
11-14 09:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe934d…
11-14 09:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2903fb…
11-14 09:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x386cf8…
11-14 09:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x171a99…
11-14 09:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x349d48…
11-14 09:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xfbd071…
11-14 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x501f57…
11-14 09:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x94e773…
11-14 09:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf02e1b…
11-14 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x21b037…
11-14 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1c11f8…
11-14 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff453f…
11-14 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xd3238f…
11-14 08:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf704c6…
11-14 08:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc91982…
11-14 08:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d819c…
11-14 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x47908f…
11-14 08:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x442ec3…
11-14 08:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc8bf50…
11-14 08:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xea7f96…
11-14 08:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xf9044a…
11-14 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7d1830…
11-14 08:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xb728e9…
11-14 08:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6038e4…
11-14 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5fc949…
11-14 08:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xcb3618…
11-14 08:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5dc50a…
11-14 08:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d503e…
11-14 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3eefa2…
11-14 08:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x6d3d1f…
11-14 08:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68fa39…
11-14 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a0ccc…
11-14 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xeac476…
11-14 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8141ec…
11-14 07:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf9e7d1…
11-14 07:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4b2961…
11-14 07:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x2ac11d…
11-14 07:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe7dbe9…
11-14 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xff8749…
11-14 07:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xac1dc3…
11-14 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x557b2c…
11-14 07:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc365bc…
11-14 07:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x63c3cc…
11-14 07:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd06607…
11-14 07:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x009184…
11-14 07:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0f8aed…
11-14 07:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf7b3ae…
11-14 06:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x6ffe1c…
11-14 06:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf467f8…
11-14 06:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x5d7008…
11-14 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7514d0…
11-14 06:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6a0130…
11-14 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x282311…
11-14 06:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd87fde…
11-14 06:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x564126…
11-14 06:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9c0df7…
11-14 05:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x07b147…
11-14 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb1c43d…
11-14 05:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x72eae2…
11-14 05:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5a35dc…
11-14 05:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1efb2d…
11-14 05:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdfd8a6…
11-14 05:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x311024…
11-14 05:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9477fa…
11-14 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x36db78…
11-14 05:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x40603f…
11-14 05:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x744ddf…
11-14 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe9a1cb…
11-14 05:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9ded70…
11-14 05:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x665581…