Alienated-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

18,941

Trades

49,530

lifetime

Volume

$149.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-11 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$3,281

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-11 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$255	188	187	+1	Down	+$5	09-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$181	183	182	+0	Up	-$29	09-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$180	151	151	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:55 UTC	6	$176	114	114	+0	Up	+$16	06-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$171	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	09-13 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	3	$167	193	105	+88	Up	-$33	06-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$166	129	129	+0	Down	+$46	09-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	6	$161	126	126	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$161	108	101	+7	Up	+$1	09-13 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:30 UTC	7	$157	134	129	+5	Down	-$8	06-08 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$154	126	126	+0	Down	+$34	06-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	5	$152	107	107	+0	Down	+$22	06-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:15 UTC	6	$150	115	115	+0	Down	-$10	06-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	3	$150	187	81	+106	Up	-$50	07-18 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:15 UTC	6	$148	116	116	+0	Up	-$12	06-08 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	7	$146	107	107	+0	Up	-$4	06-08 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	7	$143	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	06-12 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	4	$141	113	113	+0	Down	+$21	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	6	$139	95	95	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	5	$138	105	105	+0	Up	+$18	06-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC	2	$137	93	93	+0	Up	+$37	06-12 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$133	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$132	118	118	+0	Down	-$28	09-14 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:25 UTC	3	$131	80	80	+0	Down	+$11	06-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:40 UTC	2	$131	82	82	+0	Up	+$31	06-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	6	$129	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	06-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:25 UTC	2	$128	88	88	+0	Down	+$28	06-12 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:45 UTC	4	$128	80	80	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	3	$128	93	88	+5	Down	+$23	06-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:00 UTC	4	$126	67	67	+0	Down	+$6	06-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 14:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30922d…
11-11 14:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x78b202…
11-11 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaca17f…
11-11 14:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x00e5e7…
11-11 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc39e29…
11-11 14:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe41a82…
11-11 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5a6119…
11-11 14:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5fc873…
11-11 14:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c95a8…
11-11 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x8b567f…
11-11 13:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a725b…
11-11 13:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bea96…
11-11 13:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8dc974…
11-11 13:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdc36d5…
11-11 13:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb61083…
11-11 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x86dd10…
11-11 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x40123e…
11-11 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcfb725…
11-11 13:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x738302…
11-11 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x3b91da…
11-11 13:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdb6f11…
11-11 13:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x076577…
11-11 13:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x418ca9…
11-11 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x53666d…
11-11 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x23fd11…
11-11 13:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdc5fe2…
11-11 13:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x047c1d…
11-11 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa7ba09…
11-11 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x421e64…
11-11 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbb7fa1…
11-11 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x40623a…
11-11 13:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20cc1b…
11-11 12:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4da496…
11-11 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x478598…
11-11 12:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7023c4…
11-11 12:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa891cc…
11-11 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd610b4…
11-11 12:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x32d53c…
11-11 12:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4c86a5…
11-11 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf5fdd9…
11-11 12:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x83523f…
11-11 12:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x073bb8…
11-11 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xd899c4…
11-11 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x42f86e…
11-11 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb1f0df…
11-11 12:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdc4c0f…
11-11 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdd3809…
11-11 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x34ec21…
11-11 12:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa77b8b…
11-11 12:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x43b518…
11-11 12:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa18945…
11-11 12:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6d2c45…
11-11 12:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1fb9e5…
11-11 12:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xb3c1d9…
11-11 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x05a5a2…
11-11 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x4c74e5…
11-11 12:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8b30ab…
11-11 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbde9ed…
11-11 12:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ba0d2…
11-11 11:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x959668…
11-11 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23168a…
11-11 11:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x176a24…
11-11 11:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x9e2caa…
11-11 11:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x27bebe…
11-11 11:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x80b0b4…
11-11 11:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7325d2…
11-11 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x76f1b3…
11-11 11:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x19c717…
11-11 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0368af…
11-11 11:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	42¢	$12	0x9b93ac…
11-11 11:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xaa339d…
11-11 11:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe111bb…
11-11 11:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa78507…
11-11 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xb654ea…
11-11 11:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x811445…
11-11 11:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x82797e…
11-11 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x798933…
11-10 23:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd11879…
11-10 23:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa9ed85…
11-10 23:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x167fdd…
11-10 23:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4711f1…
11-10 22:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x89f8fb…
11-10 22:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x87ecbe…
11-10 22:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca10b9…
11-10 22:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x303272…
11-10 22:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xfb5068…
11-10 22:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4cd467…
11-10 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x46e3f5…
11-10 22:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1059fd…
11-10 22:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb62628…
11-10 22:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x288d95…
11-10 22:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7933e2…
11-10 22:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x621897…
11-10 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd7d739…
11-10 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc0160b…
11-10 22:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x962906…
11-10 22:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x0c54ff…
11-10 22:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbacc9b…
11-10 22:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x718ec3…
11-10 22:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x993dda…