Alienated-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$451

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved (30d)

2,690

Trades (30d)

7,230

48,353 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$13.2K

$147.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-07 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$3,300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$255	188	187	+1	Down	+$5	09-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$181	183	182	+0	Up	-$29	09-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$180	151	151	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:55 UTC	6	$176	114	114	+0	Up	+$16	06-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$171	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	09-13 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	3	$167	193	105	+88	Up	-$33	06-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$166	129	129	+0	Down	+$46	09-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	6	$161	126	126	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$161	108	101	+7	Up	+$1	09-13 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:30 UTC	7	$157	134	129	+5	Down	-$8	06-08 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$154	126	126	+0	Down	+$34	06-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	5	$152	107	107	+0	Down	+$22	06-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:15 UTC	6	$150	115	115	+0	Down	-$10	06-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	3	$150	187	81	+106	Up	-$50	07-18 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:15 UTC	6	$148	116	116	+0	Up	-$12	06-08 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	7	$146	107	107	+0	Up	-$4	06-08 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	7	$143	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	06-12 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	4	$141	113	113	+0	Down	+$21	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	6	$139	95	95	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	5	$138	105	105	+0	Up	+$18	06-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC	2	$137	93	93	+0	Up	+$37	06-12 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$133	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$132	118	118	+0	Down	-$28	09-14 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:25 UTC	3	$131	80	80	+0	Down	+$11	06-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:40 UTC	2	$131	82	82	+0	Up	+$31	06-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	6	$129	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	06-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:25 UTC	2	$128	88	88	+0	Down	+$28	06-12 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:45 UTC	4	$128	80	80	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	3	$128	93	88	+5	Down	+$23	06-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:00 UTC	4	$126	67	67	+0	Down	+$6	06-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xe41e42…
11-07 12:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe89e79…
11-07 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcca467…
11-07 12:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x96f04e…
11-07 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0dbf7b…
11-07 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x860733…
11-07 12:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1a6e5…
11-07 12:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x6bdd9d…
11-07 12:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x364c77…
11-07 12:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x439b69…
11-07 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x07feb7…
11-07 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5ce024…
11-07 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5e2846…
11-07 12:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x916127…
11-07 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2ef722…
11-07 12:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xcf88c4…
11-07 12:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xda7549…
11-07 12:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x7af93b…
11-07 12:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x668a6a…
11-07 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb8c106…
11-07 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x18b748…
11-07 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ff0ec…
11-07 11:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x55316c…
11-07 11:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	66	87¢	$57	0x551a0a…
11-07 11:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x505978…
11-07 11:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x66e790…
11-07 11:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe954a5…
11-07 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0f5788…
11-07 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xad786c…
11-07 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5442d2…
11-07 11:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd3e11f…
11-07 11:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d61cb…
11-07 11:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x630df4…
11-07 11:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfbf510…
11-07 11:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb366ae…
11-07 11:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x196814…
11-07 11:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5adf32…
11-07 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x02d0bc…
11-07 11:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x358ece…
11-07 11:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x94b628…
11-07 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0ac0d4…
11-07 11:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07e3f1…
11-07 11:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x97a9d9…
11-07 11:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x22d427…
11-07 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9c1481…
11-07 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x65aa30…
11-07 10:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfccbcf…
11-07 10:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4438ba…
11-07 10:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc0ab6c…
11-07 10:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xc2206a…
11-07 10:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4b2eb5…
11-07 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c010d…
11-07 10:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd36cb0…
11-07 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x35aaec…
11-07 10:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7c147…
11-07 10:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7a74c…
11-07 10:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7d3bb…
11-07 10:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0a4aa2…
11-07 10:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x84b220…
11-07 09:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x43b0e8…
11-07 09:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x55e03d…
11-07 09:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x672da8…
11-07 09:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xecf513…
11-07 09:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x68f186…
11-07 09:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x924860…
11-07 09:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x0ad203…
11-07 09:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x70428b…
11-07 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc66b31…
11-07 09:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x61ba55…
11-07 09:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf9057f…
11-07 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xf12e7a…
11-07 09:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x326d46…
11-07 09:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x18e410…
11-07 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf4607f…
11-07 09:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x721ad5…
11-07 09:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xa25cf6…
11-07 09:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x053a6d…
11-07 08:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7e0af7…
11-07 08:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e8e39…
11-07 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6cecc4…
11-07 08:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0e4ccd…
11-07 08:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf4bb4f…
11-07 08:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3cfcf2…
11-07 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb6ee3e…
11-07 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18d2d8…
11-07 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x968f82…
11-07 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x07041e…
11-07 08:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b03d8…
11-07 08:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad4759…
11-07 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6230af…
11-07 08:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb2c6b…
11-07 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc81cc3…
11-07 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdcb68a…
11-07 08:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x94e78b…
11-07 08:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x498d08…
11-07 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xfc3bbc…
11-07 08:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x50ef0c…
11-07 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x530f9a…
11-07 07:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc62835…
11-07 07:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x9d31cc…