Alienated-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$879

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved (90d)

7,399

Trades (90d)

20,473

48,007 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$37.8K

$146.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-06 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$3,298

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$255	188	187	+1	Down	+$5	09-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$181	183	182	+0	Up	-$29	09-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$180	151	151	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:55 UTC	6	$176	114	114	+0	Up	+$16	06-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$171	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	09-13 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	3	$167	193	105	+88	Up	-$33	06-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$166	129	129	+0	Down	+$46	09-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	6	$161	126	126	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$161	108	101	+7	Up	+$1	09-13 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:30 UTC	7	$157	134	129	+5	Down	-$8	06-08 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$154	126	126	+0	Down	+$34	06-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	5	$152	107	107	+0	Down	+$22	06-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:15 UTC	6	$150	115	115	+0	Down	-$10	06-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	3	$150	187	81	+106	Up	-$50	07-18 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:15 UTC	6	$148	116	116	+0	Up	-$12	06-08 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	7	$146	107	107	+0	Up	-$4	06-08 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	7	$143	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	06-12 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	4	$141	113	113	+0	Down	+$21	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	6	$139	95	95	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:10 UTC	5	$138	105	105	+0	Up	+$18	06-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC	2	$137	93	93	+0	Up	+$37	06-12 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$133	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$132	118	118	+0	Down	-$28	09-14 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:25 UTC	3	$131	80	80	+0	Down	+$11	06-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:40 UTC	2	$131	82	82	+0	Up	+$31	06-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	6	$129	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	06-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:25 UTC	2	$128	88	88	+0	Down	+$28	06-12 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:45 UTC	4	$128	80	80	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	3	$128	93	88	+5	Down	+$23	06-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:00 UTC	4	$126	67	67	+0	Down	+$6	06-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x7aa8a8…
11-06 08:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd6f8d0…
11-06 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xd7001c…
11-06 08:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x40fffb…
11-06 07:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x40500a…
11-06 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x25fc57…
11-06 07:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xafdde1…
11-06 07:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x32aacc…
11-06 07:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x95d752…
11-06 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdbeac9…
11-06 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x35c4d4…
11-06 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b3185…
11-06 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa60a2f…
11-06 07:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x23166a…
11-06 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbf489e…
11-06 07:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd237d8…
11-06 07:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xbd0113…
11-06 07:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1e60c2…
11-06 07:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe976ff…
11-06 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf59d6e…
11-06 07:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3ee7c2…
11-06 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xefcb32…
11-06 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe173bc…
11-06 07:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa6bd07…
11-06 07:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa8510b…
11-06 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xf3757a…
11-06 07:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa3be56…
11-06 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9603d5…
11-06 07:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf4d117…
11-06 06:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05cf52…
11-06 06:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x48247f…
11-06 06:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xdd9240…
11-06 06:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x131599…
11-06 06:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb8cc67…
11-06 06:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x97a000…
11-06 06:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x1f9add…
11-06 06:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4ac1c0…
11-06 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x17e45d…
11-06 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xca242c…
11-06 06:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xc062de…
11-06 06:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe39e86…
11-06 06:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xc3cba1…
11-06 06:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83410e…
11-06 06:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe0f3d9…
11-06 06:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xf3b38e…
11-06 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x20ac79…
11-06 06:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8ac762…
11-06 05:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xe5efaf…
11-06 05:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4927df…
11-06 05:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x35a7b4…
11-06 05:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7f35c4…
11-06 05:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x101cf9…
11-06 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xda53d0…
11-06 05:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9a4327…
11-06 05:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x18bf62…
11-06 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x21cd84…
11-06 05:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfd6104…
11-06 05:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x251ed5…
11-06 05:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb61cc…
11-06 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xadd7ff…
11-06 05:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x718fdc…
11-06 05:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7433f3…
11-06 05:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8a7839…
11-06 05:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x95e67f…
11-06 05:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x34ecbc…
11-06 05:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa0e70c…
11-06 05:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x14eb74…
11-06 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17f48b…
11-06 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x54668d…
11-06 04:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa1936c…
11-06 04:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x68f14a…
11-06 04:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x80848b…
11-06 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x08eb8a…
11-06 04:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x26cfa7…
11-06 04:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe706c…
11-06 04:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1f6d91…
11-06 04:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xd0485a…
11-06 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcf00e1…
11-06 04:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc84af6…
11-06 04:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9dfca6…
11-06 03:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x21068a…
11-06 03:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa77566…
11-06 03:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6e74e7…
11-06 03:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x2d3971…
11-06 03:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0b5132…
11-06 03:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6c0db5…
11-06 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1e0e6d…
11-06 03:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4b25cd…
11-06 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3db91d…
11-06 03:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf8b019…
11-06 03:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcc69f3…
11-06 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd04c16…
11-06 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d58b4…
11-06 03:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdef437…
11-06 03:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c9906…
11-06 03:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc69196…
11-06 03:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5b1c5…
11-06 03:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x1d043d…
11-06 03:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x66295a…
11-06 03:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14542a…