Realized P&L (90d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
24
74 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$157
$836 lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$62
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-04 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
59% 29% -$87
Sports
25% 20% -$8
Politics
13% 13% +$89
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +53 $15 54¢ $28 +$13 09-28 09:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +11 $5 99¢ $11 +$6 11-03 23:26
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +62 $10 18¢ $11 +$1 10-04 11:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +66 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 04-29 12:24
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +17 $4 20¢ $3 -$1 11-01 13:54
Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? Yes +27 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 11-01 13:34
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-15 19:28