Sociable-Supermarket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$526

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-20

Other

24% 0% $-154

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-117

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	+210	$136	80¢	$169	+$33	05-28 14:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	+161	$100	62¢	$99	$-1	06-09 14:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$92	92¢	$92	+$0	05-31 13:28
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	+$0	05-31 13:29
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	+$0	05-31 18:40
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	+40	$39	97¢	$39	+$0	05-31 13:29
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$48	64¢	$39	$-9	06-01 16:33
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	05-31 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$4.2K	4,557	3,807	+750	open	—	05-01 16:18
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.9K	1,242	957	+286	open	—	02-24 11:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	24	$1.8K	2,000	1,624	+376	open	—	05-10 01:09
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	24	$1.3K	1,240	1,070	+170	Arizona Diamondbacks	$-117	05-10 00:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	18	$1.1K	1,386	308	+1,078	open	—	04-22 22:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$992	1,040	0	+1,040	open	—	02-28 19:57
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	46	$943	1,022	1,138	-116	Team Envy	$-85	05-10 00:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$873	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	03-17 12:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$666	400	350	+50	open	—	05-10 15:38
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	10	$624	808	808	+0	Yes	$-38	03-17 12:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$620	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$-20	05-04 19:51
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$563	727	727	+0	open	—	04-30 22:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$393	500	0	+500	open	—	05-27 11:02
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	22	$392	433	400	+33	open	—	05-13 16:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$328	400	0	+400	open	—	05-27 20:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$290	300	0	+300	open	—	05-31 15:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$261	438	385	+53	open	—	03-23 21:47
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	2	$243	999	999	+0	open	—	05-01 01:33
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$234	213	213	+0	open	—	01-15 03:13
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$225	312	312	+0	open	—	01-15 03:13
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	2	$208	112	112	+0	open	—	02-24 17:36
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$203	172	172	+0	open	—	03-17 12:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	4	$200	310	310	+0	open	—	05-13 16:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$189	2,128	2,128	+0	open	—	03-17 12:58
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	05-31 13:31
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	5	$166	645	382	+263	open	—	06-07 19:20
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$166	170	85	+85	open	—	02-23 19:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$136	210	0	+210	open	—	05-28 14:49
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$136	233	0	+233	open	—	04-12 18:36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$135	455	455	+0	open	—	03-05 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:20:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x66e911…
06-07 19:20:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x7955c1…
06-07 19:20:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x330361…
06-07 12:44:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	382	4¢	$16	0xcf2a78…
06-07 10:22:13	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x279654…
06-07 10:21:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x235085…
06-06 14:16:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x7e2c5d…
06-06 00:02:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	255	43¢	$110	0xd26566…
06-03 15:37:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x5433ba…
06-03 15:19:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x1fad70…
06-02 21:56:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xfd63f4…
06-01 21:52:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,143	1¢	$22	0x899aae…
06-01 21:51:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$10	0x280de1…
06-01 18:55:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,150	0¢	$2	0x88759b…
06-01 16:33:55	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xb95398…
06-01 12:02:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x87a757…
06-01 12:01:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd241fd…
05-31 18:40:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x20c5a9…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x8bd50b…
05-31 13:31:58	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x25d27b…
05-31 13:30:04	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4637c0…
05-31 13:29:57	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2cfacd…
05-31 13:29:50	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8fb9e5…
05-31 13:29:45	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x07ad49…
05-31 13:28:33	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x422f9e…
05-28 14:49:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x097c0a…
05-28 13:43:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x275a5e…
05-27 20:36:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	82¢	$226	0xc7f734…
05-27 20:31:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xf75f1a…
05-27 20:18:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x57a300…
05-27 19:43:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	82¢	$34	0x42f9f7…
05-27 11:02:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	412	79¢	$324	0x981faa…
05-27 10:31:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	88	79¢	$69	0xc1fd05…
05-21 18:11:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	319	5¢	$16	0xe7bc3f…
05-21 17:26:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xc9dc71…
05-21 14:10:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0xd13605…
05-20 21:18:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2d0694…
05-20 19:40:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x8dfab5…
05-20 13:54:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x647e4a…
05-13 16:06:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	400	31¢	$124	0xe0906b…
05-13 16:06:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	310	14¢	$44	0xfc420d…
05-12 05:26:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x2b7bb7…
05-12 04:41:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0xc35b56…
05-12 04:25:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2317b0…
05-12 04:23:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff7ced…
05-12 04:07:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb5f970…
05-12 04:00:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x64a3b0…
05-12 03:51:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x792277…
05-12 03:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xefbab9…
05-12 03:31:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x6615d1…
05-10 15:38:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0xa00383…
05-10 10:36:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x4300c0…
05-10 10:36:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x02e34e…
05-10 01:09:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x653034…
05-10 01:05:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x314b7a…
05-10 01:01:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xe1668e…
05-10 01:01:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1c2a9e…
05-10 00:44:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0xbe52f4…
05-10 00:11:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfd9fad…
05-10 00:11:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x5afb32…
05-10 00:11:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe01415…
05-10 00:10:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xa2fbf1…
05-10 00:09:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xe05fdc…
05-10 00:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xfcfe29…
05-10 00:08:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xd9819b…
05-10 00:08:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3b2605…
05-10 00:07:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7cc09f…
05-10 00:06:52	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0xcd2291…
05-10 00:06:13	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xcd4926…
05-10 00:06:12	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x221d94…
05-10 00:06:06	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xc7b7e1…
05-10 00:06:01	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x74534e…
05-10 00:06:01	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	50	45¢	$23	0x1a01a6…
05-10 00:03:46	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	89	38¢	$34	0xf6b696…
05-10 00:03:45	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x443324…
05-10 00:03:17	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x79bb48…
05-10 00:03:03	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x5520fb…
05-10 00:02:00	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	SELL	119	44¢	$53	0xd62576…
05-10 00:01:19	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x4fb833…
05-10 00:01:18	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	74	59¢	$44	0xfdf450…
05-10 00:01:16	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	119	59¢	$70	0x73c71d…
05-10 00:01:02	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x99dedd…
05-10 00:01:00	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	3	59¢	$1	0x234c7a…
05-10 00:00:51	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	102	51¢	$52	0x9febe7…
05-10 00:00:51	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	48	51¢	$24	0x5a0dc2…
05-10 00:00:46	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xf06f4d…
05-10 00:00:44	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	56	59¢	$33	0x7550a1…
05-10 00:00:27	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	141	58¢	$81	0x0802f2…
05-10 00:00:20	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xf9cf2e…
05-10 00:00:20	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x6aaec9…
05-10 00:00:15	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	188	56¢	$105	0x6788e7…
05-09 23:59:31	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x656523…
05-09 23:59:12	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x81bc43…
05-09 23:59:06	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xf256ca…
05-09 23:58:56	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xf2d87e…
05-09 23:58:52	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x203b19…
05-09 23:58:28	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0xdac12e…
05-09 23:57:04	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	BUY	238	58¢	$138	0xc8af27…
05-09 23:57:02	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x1d3215…
05-09 23:56:57	Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xeebef0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	97	$933.5K	16,371	06-09 23:21
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	83	$18.4M	26,310	06-10 01:19
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	83	$38.9K	3,817	06-08 12:01
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	82	$191.9K	1,170	06-08 20:20
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	80	$285.8K	23,830	06-01 02:10
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	67	$89.7K	9,178	04-05 18:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	66	$11.8K	2,376	06-09 22:17
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	65	$359.8K	27,649	06-09 23:42