Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

94 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$141

$168 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-30

last 10-14 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

71% 56% +$6

Politics

27% 55% -$5

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+3	$2	87¢	$3	+$1	08-15 06:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$4	8	+8	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$4	18	+18	Yes	-$4	08-04 04:46
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	2	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	08-02 21:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-10 07:37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-12 00:30
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-09 02:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-08 00:07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-23 07:32
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-14 05:58
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 02:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-11 15:21
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-14 13:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 21:47
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-22 11:48
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-20 21:39
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-21 05:57
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-11 04:05
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-13 21:36
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-15 23:33
will amzn dip to 244 by september 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-16 15:37
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 07:34
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt17 in september	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-23 23:59
will abnb dip to 164 by september 7 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 22:42
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-29 21:52
will coin reach 172 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-16 23:46
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-09 12:50
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 22:14
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-23 15:58
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 10:26
will wti dip to 100 by september 14 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-14 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 02:49:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8f71f7…
10-13 18:27:58	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x140b6e…
10-07 05:49:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4ab2d3…
10-06 17:46:20	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x750eed…
10-06 09:31:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa18c03…
10-05 12:32:40	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x74e0a3…
10-05 00:14:01	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe6e810…
10-02 09:17:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x492295…
10-01 12:26:08	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6b69ba…
10-01 04:11:15	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x574564…
09-30 18:59:47	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0ce5cc…
09-30 10:20:59	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x853179…
09-30 02:20:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdf6c93…
09-29 06:16:20	will hood reach 120 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8455b2…
09-28 22:16:15	will meta reach 750 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8fdbec…
09-28 14:15:00	will abnb dip to 152 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcea915…
09-28 05:01:57	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbe620b…
09-27 21:01:45	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x58df51…
09-27 05:35:50	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6f8a90…
09-26 21:30:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3e54a0…
09-26 07:41:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd795de…
09-25 17:19:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd0094…
09-25 08:53:14	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc27f0f…
09-24 20:31:51	will hood reach 125 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x39be73…
09-23 23:59:04	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt17 in september	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1d4777…
09-23 15:58:44	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x269618…
09-23 07:32:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x519f9a…
09-22 23:18:16	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x132db8…
09-22 10:26:43	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe1da9b…
09-22 02:26:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x76f849…
09-21 05:57:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17821d…
09-20 21:39:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf0c317…
09-19 06:34:52	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd412bb…
09-19 05:24:28	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf58544…
09-18 08:18:52	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x36084b…
09-17 22:14:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xba3d0b…
09-16 23:46:10	will coin reach 172 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb335f3…
09-16 15:37:38	will amzn dip to 244 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7cc1df…
09-16 07:34:18	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4d85ce…
09-15 23:33:22	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x86e09f…
09-14 22:20:18	will wti dip to 100 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x969b84…
09-14 13:40:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x207cc9…
09-14 05:38:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x228920…
09-13 21:36:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1cf108…
09-12 00:30:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x0c0175…
09-11 15:21:01	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0afe88…
09-11 04:05:28	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb6c38a…
09-10 07:37:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5bdbd5…
09-09 22:42:52	will abnb dip to 164 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x64cedd…
09-09 12:50:13	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x026e57…
09-09 02:02:25	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xd474a9…
09-08 12:31:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xaf4299…
09-08 00:07:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x315c5a…
09-07 13:48:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4871c3…
09-03 21:47:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2a19a3…
09-02 06:38:21	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x159908…
09-01 17:40:54	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd41140…
09-01 03:24:10	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x003a2a…
08-30 07:18:27	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa0aed4…
08-29 21:52:12	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x496556…
08-29 13:45:43	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd4c488…
08-24 08:16:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xafb3e7…
08-23 22:57:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc8efea…
08-23 07:27:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x860018…
08-22 22:32:19	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe925b0…
08-22 11:48:09	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x7e6fe0…
08-22 00:59:42	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x24ecf8…
08-18 09:38:52	will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbfbd43…
08-17 21:25:06	will rklb dip to 80 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9d151b…
08-17 12:53:13	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x444f5e…
08-17 04:50:40	will spy reach 785 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe915ea…
08-17 04:48:52	will meta reach 620 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x45814c…
08-16 20:39:01	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x236183…
08-15 06:04:10	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x84fe63…
08-14 05:58:15	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f5247…
08-13 09:31:09	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9ed584…
08-13 01:30:01	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3f806e…
08-11 17:15:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x44fcce…
08-08 09:02:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd52436…
08-08 01:02:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x15e0a3…
08-04 04:46:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x891847…
08-03 20:32:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xae7daa…
08-03 10:07:12	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x99252e…
08-03 10:05:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc66ba4…
08-02 21:32:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0a8fa0…
08-02 20:53:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3fe483…
08-02 11:39:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe3a9c8…
08-01 23:15:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xff1fa8…
08-01 15:04:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfa695e…
08-01 04:28:27	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb04eeb…
07-31 20:24:56	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x20465c…
07-31 12:24:02	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xae8fb3…
07-31 03:28:42	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1b15a6…
07-30 14:05:12	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd4f1b9…