Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

101 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$14

$101 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 11-07 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

81% 56% +$1

Politics

17% 56% -$1

Tech

2% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:33
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	54¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:46
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	+3	$1	20¢	$1	$0	11-07 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:19:36	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x456ba9…
11-06 22:46:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbdab2d…
11-06 14:38:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd9af70…
11-05 13:22:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xda8dbe…
11-05 02:55:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ae5c5…
11-05 02:52:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4729b…
11-03 11:34:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x069999…
11-03 03:33:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x177740…
11-01 19:33:01	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1f94b…
11-01 07:07:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x07f99c…
10-31 21:55:13	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x557e20…
10-17 21:51:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0d290e…
10-17 06:41:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0cf05a…
10-13 17:12:31	will mu reach 960 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x85284c…
10-08 19:20:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3a37d9…
10-08 06:23:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe9770b…
10-07 10:21:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbff1c4…
10-07 02:19:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc9666e…
10-06 18:18:47	will coin reach 190 by october 5 2026 from october 6	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x51a13b…
10-06 09:05:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe2c36d…
10-06 01:04:25	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6a9d5d…
10-05 15:29:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf2ef89…
10-04 23:07:19	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7c0192…
10-03 04:34:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6666f5…
10-02 14:49:39	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x63dcd6…
10-02 05:55:14	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x63c6ed…
10-01 11:58:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7d5545…
10-01 11:58:15	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x39d8e0…
10-01 03:56:15	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x37a59f…
09-28 17:09:08	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d7923…
09-28 04:51:20	will coin dip to 180 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x188d94…
09-27 20:50:45	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x20c193…
09-27 06:03:38	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc31c0a…
09-26 21:28:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1a12aa…
09-26 10:55:35	will hood reach 120 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa32e85…
09-26 10:48:32	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd601c…
09-26 02:07:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x26a3da…
09-25 04:09:17	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1af155…
09-24 19:13:15	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8f4f52…
09-24 10:39:02	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe255e3…
09-24 02:38:43	Will BlackBerry say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0ccf88…
09-23 18:01:02	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3b07d9…
09-22 20:31:20	will tsla dip to 375 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x18a63c…
09-22 12:30:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xad5742…
09-22 02:48:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc1aafc…
09-21 18:48:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 21?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb4b2cd…
09-21 05:58:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x809acd…
09-20 21:53:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x11797b…
09-19 07:29:37	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x74b9e3…
09-17 22:14:34	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x352ec7…
09-17 11:45:39	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5f61e6…
09-16 23:33:16	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33bd3c…
09-16 15:31:27	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37eef5…
09-16 07:16:09	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8a1d42…
09-15 23:10:43	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa78341…
09-15 13:27:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5bc4b4…
09-14 05:14:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x733037…
09-13 21:13:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x42ec71…
09-13 07:31:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2a18a1…
09-11 12:25:25	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c0b19…
09-11 02:02:22	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcc380e…
09-10 17:51:52	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbdefea…
09-10 08:59:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf608ca…
09-10 00:54:58	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5d904c…
09-09 16:53:36	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1171c4…
09-09 08:47:48	wti closes above 96 on september 9 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x50756d…
09-08 16:01:30	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdc5185…
09-08 06:25:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x97d42b…
09-07 16:26:37	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0da623…
09-03 11:05:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25abe1…
09-02 20:21:40	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9ddfc8…
09-01 10:03:48	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd1436f…
08-31 13:55:43	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4b661…
08-31 05:39:31	will dell say dividend 3 times during earnings call 20260901	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x391e5a…
08-30 21:38:37	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9bce52…
08-30 11:55:42	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95877a…
08-30 01:04:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90d19a…
08-29 16:59:24	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe3b6b8…
08-29 08:57:21	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1611f7…
08-29 00:51:16	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe03469…
08-27 16:47:13	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa754fd…
08-27 08:42:55	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf8dde0…
08-27 00:40:34	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6dafd0…
08-26 16:02:12	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9e72a3…
08-26 08:01:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8a2581…
08-25 23:48:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6af73c…
08-25 06:39:12	will trump say flag during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe32299…
08-24 22:38:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa4132f…
08-24 14:31:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3da7b5…
08-24 06:26:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8e17b0…
08-23 22:25:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70fd0d…
08-23 04:02:36	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc3cf10…
08-21 16:17:58	will trump say weightlifting weightlifter during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf029c9…
08-21 02:18:12	will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2fda50…
08-21 02:15:46	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2dc804…
08-20 18:04:55	spy closes above 765 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x78c700…
08-20 02:23:43	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21157f…
08-19 18:18:34	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x125cd4…
08-19 08:30:51	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd249d4…
08-18 22:35:27	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8ee47…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$0	11-05 02:55
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-26 16:02
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:29
will mu reach 960 by october 12 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-13 17:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-08 06:23
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	09-21 05:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-01 07:07
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-16 23:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 06:41
will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-23 18:01
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-03 04:34
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 17:51
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 19:33
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-31 21:55
wti closes above 96 on september 9 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-09 08:47
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	09-16 15:31
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 06:25
Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 10:39
will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-28 17:09
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-07 12:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	11-03 11:34
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-13 07:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 02:07
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-07 02:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-08 19:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-06 22:46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-03 11:05
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-20 21:53
Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-24 19:13
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Up	-$1	09-11 12:25