Realized P&L (30d)
-$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.02K
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved (30d)
218
Trades (30d)
3,645
5,829 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$213.8K
$579.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$66.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 10-30 08:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
80% 38% +$4,791
Politics
18% 42% -$1,844
Tech
2% 67% +$886
Sports
0% 42% +$91
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$227
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,800 $6,750 89¢ $15.8K +$9,092 10-19 11:10
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +12,225 $5,645 36¢ $4.3K -$1,305 10-27 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +6,230 $4,376 55¢ $3.4K -$949 10-20 21:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,861 $2,882 45¢ $3.1K +$206 10-02 19:26
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +6,578 $2,780 44¢ $2.9K +$147 10-27 08:37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,595 $2,623 34¢ $2.9K +$257 10-26 21:08
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5,213 $3,640 55¢ $2.9K -$773 10-19 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +11,636 $3,403 24¢ $2.7K -$668 10-29 10:52
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +3,771 $3,026 69¢ $2.6K -$424 10-30 08:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7,275 $1,873 30¢ $2.2K +$346 10-29 13:46
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3,678 $2,556 56¢ $2.1K -$478 09-17 02:39
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,100 $4,376 20¢ $2.1K -$2,306 10-17 20:45
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +3,760 $2,382 54¢ $2.0K -$351 10-28 03:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4,774 $1,361 34¢ $1.6K +$238 10-26 20:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,549 $1,886 62¢ $1.6K -$311 10-22 20:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,202 $1,630 70¢ $1.5K -$99 10-08 18:06
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +2,225 $1,306 64¢ $1.4K +$129 10-22 12:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,577 $337 38¢ $1.4K +$1,030 10-30 03:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,883 $1,592 72¢ $1.4K -$236 10-26 19:49
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +1,517 $441 89¢ $1.4K +$909 10-02 13:49
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +2,049 $1,371 57¢ $1.2K -$193 10-22 15:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,926 $387 38¢ $1.1K +$739 10-28 23:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3,281 $1,311 30¢ $1.0K -$311 10-27 22:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +10,500 $1,035 6¢ $682 -$352 10-29 13:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,800 $583 32¢ $567 -$16 10-27 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +876 $692 62¢ $539 -$153 10-12 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +560 $477 94¢ $529 +$52 10-04 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,800 $576 29¢ $522 -$54 10-18 05:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,512 $429 31¢ $474 +$45 10-25 18:20
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,038 $646 44¢ $457 -$190 10-21 23:05