Realized P&L
+$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.56K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
381
Trades
5,761
lifetime
Volume
$573.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$73.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 10-29 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
81% 38% +$4,772
Politics
17% 42% -$1,844
Tech
2% 67% +$886
Sports
0% 42% +$91
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$227
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,800 $6,750 88¢ $15.8K +$9,003 10-19 11:10
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +9,483 $6,961 70¢ $6.6K -$371 10-28 17:40
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +12,225 $5,645 40¢ $5.0K -$694 10-27 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +6,230 $4,376 57¢ $3.6K -$825 10-20 21:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,861 $2,882 47¢ $3.2K +$343 10-02 19:26
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +6,578 $2,780 46¢ $3.1K +$279 10-27 08:37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,595 $2,623 36¢ $3.1K +$428 10-26 21:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +11,636 $3,403 26¢ $3.0K -$435 10-29 10:52
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5,213 $3,640 55¢ $2.9K -$773 10-19 22:54
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +3,760 $2,382 58¢ $2.2K -$182 10-28 03:18
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3,678 $2,556 58¢ $2.2K -$404 09-17 02:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7,275 $1,873 29¢ $2.1K +$237 10-29 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,100 $4,376 20¢ $2.0K -$2,356 10-17 20:45
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,443 $1,787 70¢ $1.7K -$89 10-29 17:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4,774 $1,361 35¢ $1.7K +$310 10-26 20:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,549 $1,886 63¢ $1.6K -$269 10-22 20:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,202 $1,630 71¢ $1.6K -$66 10-08 18:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,883 $1,592 74¢ $1.4K -$199 10-26 19:49
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +2,225 $1,306 60¢ $1.3K +$18 10-22 12:40
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +1,517 $441 87¢ $1.3K +$879 10-02 13:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,607 $348 37¢ $1.3K +$970 10-29 14:33
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +2,049 $1,371 60¢ $1.2K -$141 10-22 15:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3,281 $1,311 34¢ $1.1K -$212 10-27 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,926 $387 35¢ $1.0K +$637 10-28 23:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +10,500 $1,035 6¢ $682 -$352 10-29 13:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,800 $583 32¢ $585 +$2 10-27 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +876 $692 65¢ $569 -$123 10-12 07:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,800 $576 32¢ $567 -$9 10-18 05:52
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,038 $646 53¢ $550 -$96 10-21 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +560 $477 94¢ $524 +$46 10-04 14:57