Realized P&L (24h)
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$5.60K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
3
6,202 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$12
$613.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$24.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 11-09 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
77% 41% -$16,618
Politics
21% 26% -$28,013
Tech
2% 60% +$86
Sports
0% 42% +$91
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$227
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,800 $6,750 88¢ $15.8K +$9,003 10-19 11:10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,202 $1,630 98¢ $2.2K +$532 10-08 18:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,883 $1,592 40¢ $753 -$839 10-26 19:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,094 $968 34¢ $722 -$246 11-02 04:22
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? No +667 $523 91¢ $607 +$84 10-21 04:24
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +561 $537 100¢ $559 +$22 09-27 06:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +560 $477 96¢ $539 +$61 10-04 14:57
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,512 $429 33¢ $498 +$69 10-25 18:20
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October? Yes +1,116 $296 40¢ $447 +$150 10-30 02:14
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? No +785 $514 56¢ $440 -$74 10-29 09:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +374 $386 98¢ $367 -$18 10-29 13:32
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October? Yes +4,252 $657 6¢ $255 -$402 11-04 14:52
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +242 $159 86¢ $208 +$48 09-20 04:57
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +200 $172 99¢ $198 +$26 09-27 07:55
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? Yes +309 $128 44¢ $136 +$8 11-07 02:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7,275 $1,873 2¢ $135 -$1,739 10-29 13:46
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +230 $25 57¢ $131 +$105 09-21 08:41
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,024 $520 3¢ $125 -$395 10-25 22:02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October? No +127 $114 88¢ $111 -$3 11-03 23:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +230 $178 43¢ $99 -$78 09-16 14:15
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +146 $99 64¢ $93 -$7 10-08 00:03
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? No +178 $101 50¢ $88 -$12 11-02 16:52
GTA VI released by November 30? No +6,156 $271 1¢ $86 -$185 10-19 18:27
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? Yes +555 $65 15¢ $83 +$18 10-22 09:06
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +80 $73 96¢ $77 +$4 10-08 09:39
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October? No +114 $81 60¢ $69 -$12 10-29 09:10
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? No +2,343 $627 2¢ $56 -$571 10-21 15:46
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +60 $50 91¢ $55 +$5 10-17 13:38
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? Yes +52 $6 96¢ $50 +$44 10-29 12:15
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +47 $44 95¢ $45 +$1 10-27 21:30