Mixed-Forecast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-31 07:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$1

Sports

26% — —

Other

13% 75% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$418	210	210	+0	open	—	04-04 05:46
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$403	202	202	+0	open	—	01-24 06:52
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$369	185	185	+0	open	—	02-02 09:27
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	02-13 10:19
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	02-07 06:50
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	02-10 09:38
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-24 05:47
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-03 08:13
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	04-25 11:44
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-19 07:06
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-19 07:23
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$217	109	109	+0	open	—	03-24 11:52
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	04-20 12:13
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$215	107	107	+0	open	—	04-20 12:41
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$215	107	107	+0	open	—	03-03 08:39
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	04-08 09:48
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	03-18 07:42
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	03-18 08:03
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	03-08 12:24
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	03-08 12:55
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	01-21 04:35
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	01-21 04:49
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	01-24 07:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-21 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-21 07:15
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	01-24 08:13
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	01-24 08:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	05-30 04:14
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	01-30 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	05-26 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 07:31:30	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5bfdd9…
05-31 07:28:19	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x446abb…
05-30 04:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0xa7393a…
05-30 04:20:30	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x97008d…
05-30 04:14:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xa6239b…
05-30 03:54:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfa3523…
05-28 13:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0xe92c08…
05-27 12:22:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x931811…
05-26 12:51:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x20491e…
05-25 05:34:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xbe10c4…
05-25 05:24:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x838096…
05-24 11:38:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x062335…
05-24 11:31:14	Roland Garros WTA: Magdalena Frech vs Gabriela Ruse	Magdalena Frech	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x08a626…
05-23 17:58:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfa6751…
05-22 06:38:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0877ec…
05-21 12:48:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x1f2422…
05-20 06:47:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x1315b9…
05-20 06:16:20	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Katarina Zavatska	Darja Semenistaja	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xd94e0a…
05-19 05:40:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x2cf6d5…
05-19 05:36:48	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez	Magdalena Frech	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x09c5a3…
05-18 10:54:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa38cb1…
05-17 07:43:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xaf97dc…
05-15 04:08:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xfa494f…
05-14 09:02:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4bd59f…
05-14 08:57:21	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Punjab Kings	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xf18c74…
05-13 05:35:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x74a19c…
05-10 11:34:18	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7835a8…
05-10 11:09:32	Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	ex-RUBY	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0efef6…
05-09 05:42:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x594e40…
05-08 06:38:28	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $292 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9bde77…
05-08 06:29:59	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x7c21e3…
05-06 11:20:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x85b04d…
05-06 10:59:08	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xefd4d0…
05-05 16:27:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb1cf0b…
05-04 07:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb9af0c…
05-03 06:50:08	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xadb201…
04-30 10:22:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x904a1f…
04-28 06:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xbdee85…
04-27 10:28:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x21a1eb…
04-26 08:33:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xfa9a72…
04-25 11:46:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xafb8e1…
04-25 11:44:02	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x66cc9b…
04-25 11:26:26	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1f693d…
04-25 11:23:56	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x5c060d…
04-24 05:51:14	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x995143…
04-24 05:47:28	Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf714c3…
04-24 05:30:32	Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xada9d6…
04-23 11:15:48	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x537f6a…
04-22 03:33:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 22	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x4c8d9d…
04-21 07:18:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xfc94bc…
04-21 07:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xbb6e09…
04-21 06:58:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x3fc764…
04-21 06:57:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x8717ad…
04-21 06:40:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4e9ebf…
04-21 06:36:14	New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x141ed6…
04-20 12:44:26	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x677c6d…
04-20 12:41:08	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xb73511…
04-20 12:14:20	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xecbba7…
04-20 12:13:24	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x7fe0e9…
04-20 11:46:20	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x0cc70e…
04-20 11:44:02	Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2b17a5…
04-19 07:25:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5cc6cd…
04-19 07:23:04	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x681636…
04-19 07:06:56	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd1504e…
04-19 07:06:02	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x76247d…
04-19 06:44:54	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x912f8e…
04-19 06:43:00	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xccc88e…
04-17 05:08:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xbe4702…
04-16 06:44:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xe6f4b3…
04-15 11:50:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x0a1656…
04-14 12:18:09	ethereum above 2600 on april 14	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x56832d…
04-14 11:35:27	mlb tor mil 2026 04 14	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x020f69…
04-11 11:22:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x0dd0dd…
04-09 06:28:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xad44f4…
04-08 09:52:17	ethereum above 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xd19eec…
04-08 09:48:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x1f6a0d…
04-08 09:32:03	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x342df2…
04-07 04:25:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x59f8e1…
04-07 03:26:49	mlb cin mia 2026 04 07	Miami Marlins	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x8e333c…
04-06 10:48:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xeeb258…
04-05 10:31:41	ethereum above 2200 on april 5	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9da903…
04-04 06:00:37	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x5e0f78…
04-04 05:46:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x4bcef8…
04-04 05:25:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xcbe2ab…
04-02 10:41:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa9dc49…
04-01 11:59:39	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0x2792b9…
03-31 11:37:17	will mrbeast hit 118 billion views by march 31 749 928	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb05ba2…
03-30 04:45:38	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3ca9f1…
03-29 10:10:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 29	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xb8b479…
03-29 10:07:18	mlb pit nym 2026 03 29	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x319f0f…
03-28 08:48:31	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xed6fcf…
03-28 08:04:57	mlb wsh chc 2026 03 28	Washington Nationals	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x014a81…
03-27 08:44:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xef9884…
03-27 08:39:19	dehl koe sch 2026 03 27	Koelner Haie	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x320e18…
03-26 12:37:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 26	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x791d63…
03-25 12:27:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1d2c0e…
03-24 11:55:17	ethereum above 2400 on march 24	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4335cc…
03-24 11:52:25	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x022e9a…
03-24 11:19:47	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x8eeda0…
03-22 09:01:45	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xbf7484…