Plush-Folklore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-18 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

43% 0% $-2

Other

41% 33% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	18	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	$-2	03-26 12:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	16	$1.3K	692	692	+0	open	—	04-13 23:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$1.0K	531	531	+0	Yes	$-1	03-31 11:29
Netanyahu out by April 30?	7	$873	528	376	+152	open	—	03-30 20:54
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$702	362	362	+0	open	—	03-11 07:14
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$681	350	350	+0	open	—	03-11 02:37
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$568	291	291	+0	No	+$1	03-18 06:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$379	196	196	+0	open	—	04-10 15:42
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$364	191	191	+0	open	—	03-04 17:48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$360	188	188	+0	open	—	04-24 16:40
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$342	182	182	+0	open	—	03-09 21:36
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$342	176	176	+0	open	—	03-11 13:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$334	174	174	+0	open	—	03-13 08:59
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$331	170	170	+0	open	—	03-08 04:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$323	166	166	+0	No	$-0	03-10 14:32
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	03-16 16:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$318	166	166	+0	open	—	03-17 16:40
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$317	168	168	-0	open	—	03-12 09:51
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$314	163	163	+0	open	—	03-13 01:28
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	4	$313	161	161	+0	open	—	03-12 18:13
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$312	164	164	+0	open	—	03-15 18:36
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	3	$309	160	160	+0	open	—	03-18 17:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$309	158	158	+0	open	—	03-24 21:56
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$307	165	165	+0	open	—	03-19 23:26
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-22 09:27
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$301	155	155	+0	open	—	03-26 18:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$298	159	159	+0	open	—	03-22 15:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$292	152	152	+0	open	—	03-24 14:19
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$266	151	151	+0	open	—	03-28 06:19
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$246	126	126	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 17:38:52	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9fd8d1…
06-19 17:34:04	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x220aba…
06-19 17:03:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xefbbc7…
06-19 13:01:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x4977bd…
06-18 07:45:46	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x78630e…
06-18 03:37:50	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x36160e…
06-17 21:18:35	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x467de1…
06-17 13:15:31	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x53f70d…
06-15 23:37:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0xbc7d93…
06-15 16:31:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x2b47da…
06-14 05:47:57	will australia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149722	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xb55c9e…
06-13 21:47:46	will australia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149722	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb9416c…
06-13 05:57:09	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x5be69e…
06-12 21:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x76c205…
06-10 18:32:19	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x83c191…
06-10 11:28:06	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa43a14…
06-05 18:44:01	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	No	SELL	58	87¢	$51	0xdec07f…
06-05 10:42:12	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x14aed8…
06-05 10:09:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0x7b50ff…
06-05 02:09:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$62	0x20917f…
06-04 10:20:07	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xdae407…
06-04 04:15:12	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x63a81f…
06-02 16:53:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x67ea10…
06-02 10:48:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x00c7db…
05-27 06:05:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0xb1b108…
05-23 13:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x5ec92a…
05-23 13:00:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9f7085…
05-19 02:55:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x3a7fa4…
05-18 20:55:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$64	0x95e9b3…
05-16 09:46:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x7d9511…
05-16 04:45:23	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe5055b…
05-15 20:29:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x214928…
05-15 14:29:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x8d1674…
04-27 21:05:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x4efd37…
04-27 13:04:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x70551e…
04-27 13:04:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x636d74…
04-27 13:02:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x1bd632…
04-27 12:39:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x122bfd…
04-27 08:32:58	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x88ea52…
04-25 06:10:24	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x2899c2…
04-25 00:05:46	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x4407d0…
04-24 16:40:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	129	97¢	$125	0x371963…
04-24 09:38:40	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0xfb48a1…
04-21 12:54:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0xe0af3e…
04-21 08:09:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x885a0b…
04-21 07:48:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf5360f…
04-13 23:53:49	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xe3cecd…
04-13 19:52:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x2581f7…
04-12 17:06:05	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0xe3df6c…
04-12 09:03:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xd94311…
04-12 00:56:29	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x29b203…
04-11 19:52:41	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x90dca4…
04-11 17:26:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x0c8cf1…
04-11 10:42:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0x12f9b4…
04-11 10:32:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xcd82dd…
04-11 10:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x92aa37…
04-11 03:12:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$50	0x160dfc…
04-11 01:17:31	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x4785a2…
04-10 20:12:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x5a870d…
04-10 15:42:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0xe4f60b…
04-10 09:18:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x215d20…
04-10 03:28:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x9521ea…
04-09 18:47:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x571218…
04-09 18:44:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x7976fb…
04-09 18:19:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xa7b355…
04-09 13:41:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0x9b02f4…
04-09 02:49:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xe02807…
04-08 20:07:59	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x07a06a…
04-08 14:53:51	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0xf39595…
04-08 13:41:37	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0x6376d5…
04-08 07:55:13	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xb6f4e9…
04-08 04:05:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0x6ea357…
04-07 23:46:51	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0xb49d77…
04-07 23:45:55	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x44deca…
04-07 12:01:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x116cf1…
04-01 00:02:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xe11710…
03-31 11:29:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x883c9f…
03-31 04:23:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xf3affd…
03-30 20:54:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0x689127…
03-30 13:49:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xd7a62e…
03-30 04:29:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	143	95¢	$136	0x801149…
03-29 19:36:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	143	96¢	$137	0x461eb0…
03-29 18:16:04	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x3aa945…
03-29 10:18:54	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x5f7f4a…
03-28 23:32:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	134	97¢	$129	0xaa7934…
03-28 19:10:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	97¢	$129	0xd97f40…
03-28 06:19:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	151	84¢	$127	0xa394f5…
03-27 22:49:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	121	92¢	$112	0x425bfa…
03-27 22:27:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x3e469a…
03-27 21:31:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0x3d9001…
03-27 13:28:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x5e8a8d…
03-26 18:52:29	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0x117c30…
03-26 13:56:51	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7f49b9…
03-26 13:41:19	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	116	97¢	$112	0x0c9741…
03-26 13:41:13	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5bce51…
03-26 12:54:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0x07516e…
03-26 08:18:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0x601613…
03-26 07:14:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x235b85…
03-26 02:44:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0xdfb71a…
03-25 14:14:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x5975af…